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Manchester City (18 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) welcome Manchester United (14-2-10) to Etihad Stadium Sunday. Kickoff in the historic rivalry is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City is a strong 9-4-0 at home this season. Throughout its 26 EPL games, Man City is averaging 2.27 goals per game (59 total), while allowing 1.0 (26). City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 17 goals in 21 matches. Man City is 9-2-0 in its last 11 EPL matches, last losing a league game Dec. 6, 2023. Man City’s last EPL match was a 1-0 win at Bournemouth Feb. 24.
United comes into this match with the exact same road and home record at 7-1-5 apiece. It has 36 goals for and 36 goals against, a 1.38 per-game average. United is led by F Scott McTominay, who is tied for a team-high 7 goals with F Rasmus Hojlund. Man U’s most recent EPL match was a 2-1 home loss to Fulham Feb. 24.
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Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook (OR FanDuel Sportsbook); access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Manchester City -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Manchester United +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Draw +550
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)
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Manchester City vs. Manchester United picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester City 3, Manchester United 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
United (+950) has faired well on the road, but it hasn’t played well against top-3 sides. While Man U did draw Liverpool, it lost to Arsenal on the road. In both games, Man U had 1.4 or fewer expected goals.
City (-400) is just too good in the middle of the field for United to keep pace. It has also been a strong home side, so expect it to get the result. However, at -400, there’s no value in betting it.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (-104).
United’s offense has been terrific on the road over the last few weeks. It has had at least 1.8 expected goals in 3 straight games and tallied 8 goals in the last 3.
United’s defense will have little resistance to a dynamic City attack. City has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 8 games throughout all competitions. They have had at least 1.5 expected goals in every game since that Dec. 6 loss.
Both teams have attacks that are surging, so back OVER 3.5 (+100).
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