Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Manchester City (18 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) welcome Manchester United (14-2-10) to Etihad Stadium Sunday. Kickoff in the historic rivalry is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City is a strong 9-4-0 at home this season. Throughout its 26 EPL games, Man City is averaging 2.27 goals per game (59 total), while allowing 1.0 (26). City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 17 goals in 21 matches. Man City is 9-2-0 in its last 11 EPL matches, last losing a league game Dec. 6, 2023. Man City’s last EPL match was a 1-0 win at Bournemouth Feb. 24.

United comes into this match with the exact same road and home record at 7-1-5 apiece. It has 36 goals for and 36 goals against, a 1.38 per-game average. United is led by F Scott McTominay, who is tied for a team-high 7 goals with F Rasmus Hojlund. Man U’s most recent EPL match was a 2-1 home loss to Fulham Feb. 24.

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Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook (OR FanDuel Sportsbook); access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Manchester United +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Draw +550
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Manchester City vs. Manchester United picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 3, Manchester United 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

United (+950) has faired well on the road, but it hasn’t played well against top-3 sides. While Man U did draw Liverpool, it lost to Arsenal on the road. In both games, Man U had 1.4 or fewer expected goals.

City (-400) is just too good in the middle of the field for United to keep pace. It has also been a strong home side, so expect it to get the result. However, at -400, there’s no value in betting it.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (-104).

United’s offense has been terrific on the road over the last few weeks. It has had at least 1.8 expected goals in 3 straight games and tallied 8 goals in the last 3.

United’s defense will have little resistance to a dynamic City attack. City has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 8 games throughout all competitions. They have had at least 1.5 expected goals in every game since that Dec. 6 loss.

Both teams have attacks that are surging, so back OVER 3.5 (+100).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Arsenal (5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Manchester City (6-0-1) to Emirates Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Arsenal is 2-2-0 at home this season. It is led in scoring by F Bukayo Saka, who has 4 goals in 7 matches but whose status remains unknown for Sunday as he’s been dealing with injury. Arsenal has played 11 games throughout all competitions and has lost just once, a 2-1 defeat against Lens Tuesday in the UEFA Champions League. The Gunners beat Bournemouth 4-0 in their last EPL match and have scored 15 goals and allowed 6 through 7 league games.

Man City is 3-0-1 on the road this season and had its perfect start snapped with a 2-1 road loss at Wolverhampton on Sept. 30 in its last EPL match. City is 1-0-2 throughout its last 3 games in all competitions, beating RB Leipzig in the Champions League 3-1 Wednesday. It is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 8 goals in 7 matches.

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arsenal +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Manchester City +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Draw +230
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -120)

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Arsenal 2, Manchester City 2

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+230).

Arsenal hasn’t lost at home, but it also hasn’t been overly dominant. It has drawn 2 of 4 league matches at Emirates, drawing Tottenham 2-2 and Fulham 2-2. It also drew Man City 1-1 on a neutral site in full-time in the FA Community Shield before the season. Both sides are among the best in the league and are familiar opponents.

With City having lost 2 of its last 3 in all competitions, it may be tough to go on the road and get a win, but its pace and quality should help it in this fixture. This should be a close, high-entertainment battle and there is some value on DRAW (+230).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-130).

Arsenal is averaging 2.14 goals per game and has scored 9 goals in 4 home matches, tallying at least 2 in all 4. City has scored 2 or more in 4 of its last 5 league matches and has scored at least 3 in 2 of its last 4.

Both games last season between these sides topped even 3.5 goals (3-1 and 4-1 wins for City).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

RB Leipzig (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Manchester City (1-0-0) to Red Bull Arena Leipzig Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City beat Crvena zvezda 3-1 in the 1st matchday of the UEFA Champions League. City had 37 shots and 16 on frame which compared favorably to Crvena zvezda’s 3 and 2. City should get a tougher test Wednesday. They are 6-0-1 in EPL, the top English league, and are 3-0-1 on the road. City is led by star F Erling Haaland, who has 8 goals in 7 matches. City was the Champions League last season.

RB Leipzig sits 5th in the Bundesliga, the top German league. It is 4-1-1 on the season and 2-1-0 at home. It has scored 16 goals (2.67 per game) while allowing 6 (1 per game). RB Leipzig is led by F Lois Openda, who has 4 goals in 6 matches. Leipzig beat the Young Boys 3-1 on the road to open Champions League play. It ended with 2.6 expected goals to Young Boys’ 0.5.

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RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: RB Leipzig  +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Manchester City -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +115)

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RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 1, RB Leipzig 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+300).

RB Leipzig crushed Young Boys in its opener and has been strong at home. It drew Bayern Munich, one of the top teams in all of Europe 2-2 Saturday at home and has wins this season over Union Berlin 3-0 and Bayern Munich 3-0 (DFL-Supercup).

It has the capability of getting a draw here, just as it did in the Round of 16 against Man City last season. City has lost its last 2 matches, losing 1-0 in the EFL Cup to Newcastle Wednesday and 2-1 to the Wolves Saturday. It also has Arsenal on Saturday to prepare for.

City has played numerous games and could overlook this one. For the value, take DRAW (+300).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+115).

In 3 of its last 5 games, Leipzig has held its opponent to 1.0 or fewer expected goals. It has had a strong defense this season, and while its offense has been electric, City has one of the best backlines in the EPL as well.

City has allowed multiple goals in just 1 of 11 games throughout all competitions this season. It has scored just 1 goal in its last 2 games though, so the offensive woes may start to come on for the ultra-talented City.

Back UNDER 2.5 (+115).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Manchester City (1 win, 0 losses, 0 draws) welcomes Newcastle United (1-0-0) to Etihad Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Man City kicked off its English Premier League season with a 3-0 win over Burnley Aug. 11. It lost to Arsenal in the FA Community Shield Final 1-1 (4-1 penalties) Aug. 6 but won 1-1 (5-4 penalties) while playing its top team vs. Sevilla in the UEFA Super Cup Aug. 16.

City is led by F Erling Haaland, who scored twice against Burnley and led the league in goals last season. The home side will be without star M Kevin de Bruyne as he will be out for several months with a hamstring injury.

Newcastle United could be a contender for the title this season as it has all the right pieces to compete at the highest level. It thrashed Aston Villa 5-1 Saturday as 23-year-old Swedish star F Alexander Isak—who could rival Haaland for the Golden Boot—scored twice. Newcastle ended with 17 shots, 13 of which were on target. That has been its lone non-friendly match to commence the 2023-24 season.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Newcastle United +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +110)

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).

Newcastle has some strong, up-and-coming talent like M Bruno Guimaraes, who is a 24-year-old Brazilian center-mid, but it also has veteran leadership on its backline in 32-year-old English D Kieran Trippier.

United is a well-rounded club, and its fresh legs should give City—who will be down de Bruyne—some issues. City beat but didn’t destroy Burnley, ending with just 8 shots on frame. It drew 1 of 2 matches last season.

This should be a close, hard-fought battle, and for a small unit, I’d play a DRAW (+290).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+110).

The high-level EPL matches are where these top-tier teams are tried the most. City has a strong backline with D Kyle Walker and D Nathan Ake. Without de Bruyne to bring the pace into the attack, City’s opportunities could be limited.

With their top players on the pitch, they scored just 1 on Sevilla and ended with 7 shots on frame. Newcastle has some new faces, and while it pummeled Aston Villa, it will get a far greater challenge against arguably the best backline in the league.

One of 2 matches went Under last season—the one played at Etihad Stadium. Expect the strong defenses to limit opportunities, unlike both teams’ openers. Back UNDER 2.5 (+110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UEFA Champions League Final: Man City vs. Inter odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Man City vs. Inter odds and Champions League final lines, with expert soccer picks and predictions.

Manchester City battles Inter in the UEFA Champions League Final Saturday. Kickoff from Atatürk Olympic Stadium in Istanbul, Turkey is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Man City vs. Inter odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

With a win Saturday, Man City would become only the 2nd English team to win the 3 biggest trophies in a season — the English Premier League, the Champions League and FA Cup. Man City ripped through the EPL, claiming the title a few weeks prior to the season’s ending, and It won the FA Cup 2-1 against Man U last weekend. To get to Saturday’s final, City beat Real Madrid a combined 5 to 1 in the semifinals. F Erling Haaland leads Man City with 36 goals in 35 EPL matches. Man City has just 1 loss since a 1-0 setback to Tottenham Feb. 5.

Inter finished 3rd in Serie A, the top league in Italy. It posted a 9-7-3 record (7 losses) on the road this season. Inter did win 11 of its last 12 games throughout all competitions, so it is also coming into this battle red hot as well. Inter took down AC Milan a combined 3 to 0 in the semifinals. F Lautaro Martínez leads the club with 21 goals in 38 matches in league play.

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Man City vs. Inter odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Man City -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Inter +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +350
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: +100)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Man City vs. Inter picks and predictions

Prediction

Man City 1, Inter 1 (City wins in extra time)

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+350).

City is the best team in the world, but away from home, it hasn’t necessarily played like it. City has actually drawn its last 5 Champions League road matches.

That’s a strong enough trend to take this match going to extra time. City has either had fewer expected goals or less than 0.5 more in all but 2 of those road matches as well, so it hasn’t necessarily been just getting unlucky.

Inter has drawn 3 of 6 road matches in Champions League competitions. Considering both trends, for a small unit, BACK DRAW (+350).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+100).

Both of these teams thrive on the defensive end of the pitch. Inter gave up just 1.11 goals per game during Serie A competition while City allowed a mere 0.87 goals per EPL game. Inter had 5 clean sheets in its last 9 games throughout all competitions. It has a strong backline.

City has a thriving attack but hasn’t score more than 2 goals in a game for 4 straight matches. Defensively, it hasn’t allowed 2 goals in a game since Jan. 19 vs. Tottenham in a 4-2 victory.

Considering these trends for both teams, TAKE UNDER 2.5 (+100).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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FA Cup Final: Man City vs. Manchester United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Man City vs. Manchester United odds and lines, with soccer expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

Man City and Manchester United square off Saturday for the FA Cup Final at Wembley Stadium. Kickoff is set for 10 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Man City vs. Manchester United odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Man City, which claimed the English Premier League after a late-season surge, will look to continue its reign over English football in Saturday’s FA Cup title game. City should be at full strength for this game.

It ended the 2022-2023 season with a strong 11-4-4 (win-loss-draw) road record. It was led by F Erling Haaland, who scored 36 goals in 35 matches. City took down Chelsea, Arsenal, Bristol City, Burnley and Sheffield United in that order and by a combined 17-0 score to earn a trip to the final.

United, on the other hand, will be without F Anthony Martial, who is out with a hamstring injury. The Red Devils were led this season by F Marcus Rashford, who scored 17 goals in 35 matches. United was 8-8-3 (3 draws) on the road. It did win its final 4 games, which included 1 on the road.

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Man City vs. Manchester United odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Man City -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Manchester United +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Draw +340
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +120)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Man City vs. Manchester United picks and predictions

Prediction

Man City 3, Manchester United 2

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

United ended the season on fire, so it may be worth a play at +470.

Nonetheless, given City hasn’t had to pull its best XI on the pitch the last few weeks, it should be rested and primed to play top-tier football.

City is the best team in the world, and I would ultimately PASS as it isn’t worth a play at -190.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER ALTERNATE 3.5 (+144).

The City attack is lethal. It averaged 2.47 goals per game during the Premier League. Again United, City scored 6 in a 3-goal win, and tallied 1 in a 2-1 loss. As you see, United scored multiple goals in both matches against City.

Man U scored multiple goals in 3 of its last 4 EPL matches and went Over this total in 2 of its last 3 FA Cup battles as well. It gave up 1.13 goals per game during the EPL season as well.

City’s lethal attack mixed with United’s success against the EPL champs makes the ALTERNATE OVER 3.5 (+145) a good value.

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Brentford vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Brentford vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

Brentford (14 wins, 9 losses 14 draws) welcomes Manchester City (28-4-5) to Gtech Community Stadium Sunday. Kickoff for this regular-season finale is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brentford vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Unlike last season, Brentford’s offense has been the more notable strength for this team. The Bees, who sit 9th on the EPL table, have averaged 1.54 goals per game and allowed 1.24 this season. They are coming off a 3-1 win at Tottenham Hotspur last weekend and have won 4 of their last 5. F Ivan Toney leads the Bees with 20 goals, but he will be unavailable due to an 8-month suspension for a gambling addiction.

Man City, on the other hand, has already won the league, surging over the last few months, going 14-0-2. City is 11-3-4 on the road this season and is coming off a 1-1 draw at Brighton & Hove Albion. City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has a team-best 36 goals in 35 matches. City, which hasn’t lost since Feb. 5, leads the EPL with 2.54 goals per game this season.

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Brentford vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Brentford +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Manchester City -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Brentford vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Brentford 2, Manchester City 2

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).

Brentford has been on fire as of late, scoring 9 goals in its last 5 matches. The Bees have been able to come out on top consistently as well. They have lost just 2 games at home this season, making it a fortress for the 9th-place side.

While City is the better team, it may be resting Haaland with the Champions League title game and FA Cup title on deck. Considering City doesn’t need this game to reign supreme, it may not put its best foot forward. City has been within an expected goal of its opponent in 3 straight games as well.

With that in mind, it still is the better side and has a deep roster, but for the value, sprinkle a small wager on DRAW (+290).

Over/Under (O/U)

You can bet OVER 2.5 (-175) with the heavy juice, but I prefer the alternate line of OVER 3.5 (+140).

Simply put, Brentford has struggled to defend and has scored at will while Man City has the best attack in the EPL. City has scored 3 or more goals in 6 of its last 10 games and conceded a goal in 7 of those 10 as well.

As for Brentford, it has a surging attack, scoring multiple goals in 4 of its last 5 matches. It has allowed a goal in 8 of its last 10, too. Both sides have a strong attack, and even without Toney, Brentford has been able to find the back of the net.

TAKE OVER 3.5 (+140).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Brighton vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Brighton vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

Brighton (18 wins, 11 losses, 7 draws) welcomes Manchester City (28-4-4) to American Express Community Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brighton vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Brighton is a far different side than it was last season. It is averaging 1.94 goals per game, having scored 70 this season. It has a strong 10-5-3 record at home as well. Last season, it was known for its defense, but it has had 5 players score at least 7 goals this season, led by 10 from M Alexis Mac Allister. Brighton sits 6th on the EPL table with 2 games remaining.

City has already clinched the league title with Arsenal’s loss to Nottingham last weekend. City is a strong 11-3-3 on the road, and it is led by F Erling Haaland, who has scored 36 goals in 34 matches. It will end its season with Brentford before taking on Man U and then Inter in the FA Cup final and Champions League final respectively.

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Brighton vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:02 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Brighton +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Manchester City -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Draw +300
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Brighton vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Brighton 2, Manchester City 2

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+300).

Simply put, Brighton is still fighting for a Europa League spot while City doesn’t have much to play for and should be resting its players to be prepared for more important matches in early June. That’s not to say that its talent, even with some 2nd-stringers, isn’t among the best in the EPL, but the urgency may not be there.

Brighton has won 4 of its last 6 matrches while City hasn’t even drawn a league match since Feb. 18. With both teams playing well, back a DRAW (+300) given the value.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (+120).

As noted above, Brighton’s attack has been lethal and diverse. It has gone Over in 3 of its last 4 matches and has allowed 10 goals in its last 4 games as well. It is allowing 1.39 goals per game which won’t bode well against a top-tier City attack.

City has gone Over this in 4 of its last 9. It has scored 3 or more goals in 6 of its last 9 as well. City is averaging 2.58 goals per game. With D Nathan Ake doubtful, its defense may not be as formidable. Ultimately, back the OVER 3.5 (+120).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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UEFA Champions League: Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Manchester City welcomes Real Madrid to Etihad Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal is set for 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

At home in the 1st leg, Real Madrid struck first as F Vinícius Júnior scored in the 36th minute. Man City star M Kevin De Bruyne evened it up at 1 apiece in the 67th minute, and that is where it ended.

Real ended the game with 13 shots, 4 on target. City had 10 shots with 6 on target. The possession favored City with the road side owning the ball with 56% of the match.

City basically has the English Premier League locked up after a late-season push. It is led in scoring by F Erling Haaland, who has 36 goals in 33 league matches. It is 16-1-1 at home in league play.

Real sits second in La Liga, only trailing Barcelona. It has scored 70 goals and allowed just 32 in 34 league matches. F Karim Benzema has led the way with 17 goals in 21 games.

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Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Real Madrid +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +333
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Manchester City vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 1, Real Madrid 0

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

If there is any value, it is in this 90-minute battle ending in a draw. The two sides were within 0.2 expected goals in the 1st leg, and both the possession and shots were similar. City has simply been too good at home this season to bet against.

Real is 10-6-1 (6 losses) on the road in league play, so it hasn’t had much success away from home. It is a quality side with big-time players that have been in this position before, having won the Champions League last season.

The City moneyline is enticing, but it has no value. Ultimately PASS here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+125).

City had 0.5 expected goals, and Real had 0.7 expected goals in the 1st leg. While the shots were there, the opportunities were not, and the quality chances were slim.

That’s what often happens when top-tier teams battle. Real allows 0.94 goals per game in league play and had 3 straight Champions League clean sheets coming into the first leg with City.

As for City, it allows 0.89 goals per game in league play and has 6 clean sheets in 11 Champions League matches. It has also scored just 1 goals in 3 of its last 5 Champions League battles.

Both defenses are elite and, at this value, take the UNDER 2.5 (+125).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UEFA Champions League: Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Real Madrid welcomes English Premier League-leading Manchester City to Santiago Bernabéu Tuesday for the first leg of a UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

This match will have a final-like feel as these teams are among the best in the world. Real, which beat Liverpool 1-0 in the 2022 Champions League final, took down Chelsea a combined 4-0 in its 2 quarterfinal battles. Real also beat Liverpool a combined 6-2 in the Round of 16. Real sits 3rd in La Liga and averages 2.09 goals per game in league play.

Man City recently took over the top spot in the Premier League and averages 2.41 goals per game. City defeated Bayern Munich a combined 4-1 in the quarterfinals and RB Leipzig a combined 8-1 in the Round of 16. Man City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 35 goals in 32 matches.

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Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Manchester City +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -145 | U: +105)

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Real Madrid vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 1, Manchester City 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+250).

Man City is the best team in the world, but it will be on the road against a team with a good track record against EPL opponents.

Real took down Chelsea 2-0 in both matches in the quarterfinals and defeated Liverpool 1-0 in the final last season. Real also beat City a combined 6-5 in the semifinals a year ago. Real has the talent to win, but it hasn’t been as good this season compared to last, sitting 3rd in league play.

City drew Bayern on the road in its quarterfinal road match and is 10-3-3 on the road in league play. Man City hasn’t lost since Feb. 5 and has won 13 of its last 14 games.

Ultimately, City has been surging, but on the road against a team arguably better than any other in the world against EPL sides, I would take DRAW (+250) for a fraction of a unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+105).

Both teams have aggressive offense with high-quality finishers, but Man City is coming off a match in which it had just 2 goals against a likely relegation side in Leeds United.

Man City has gone Under in both its road matches in the knockout rounds, and it had under 2 expected goals in 3 of its 4 knockout stage matches. In EPL play, Man City allowed just 0.91 goals per game (31 in 34 matches).

Madrid had gone Under in 3 of 4 knockout stage games and has an equally as dominant defense, allowing just 0.97 goals per game in La Liga matches (32 goals in 33 games).

Combine it all and I’m confident in BETTING UNDER 2.5 (+105).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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