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The Boston Red Sox (18-14) and Minnesota Twins (17-13) meet Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Target Field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; tied 3-3 last season
Boston lost 3-1 vs. the San Francisco Giants Thursday while failing to cover as a -117 home favorite. Reliever Zack Kelly suffered the loss, allowing 4 H and 2 ER in 2/3 IP. The loss ended a 4-game win streak for the Red Sox.
Minnesota beat the Chicago White Sox 10-5 Wednesday while covering as a -214 road favorite. Minnesota has scored double-digit runs in 3 of its last 5 wins. The Twins have won 10 consecutive games, including 4 straight at home.
Red Sox at Twins projected starters
RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Chris Paddack
Houck (3-2, 1.60 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 39 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 9 K in a 5-4 win over the Chicago Cubs Sunday
- Career vs. Minnesota: 2-0, 3.12 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 16 H, 5 BB, 17 K in 3 starts
Paddack (2-1, 5.88 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 26 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in a 16-5 win over the Los Angeles Angels Saturday
- Career vs. Boston: 0-1, 23.14 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 1 start
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Red Sox at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Red Sox at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
BET TWINS (-115).
Minnesota is the much hotter team entering this matchup, winning 10 consecutive games while the Red Sox have lost 2 of their last 3 road games. The Twins have also won back-to-back games vs. Boston.
There is always a slight risk when backing a team on such a hot streak as they will likely get the best of every opponent because opponents will want to end their win streak.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I fully expect the Twins to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but they are not worth the risk of backing here with the line set this heavily. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105).
The Over has hit in back-to-back games for the Twins and is 4-1 in their last 5 games and 7-3 in their last 10. For Boston, the Over hit in its last road game, but the Under has hit in 3 consecutive games for Boston. The Over has also hit in 8 of the last 10 Boston-Minnesota matchups.
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