FA Cup: Man City vs. Chelsea odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Man City vs. Chelsea odds and lines, with expert soccer picks, predictions and best bets.

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Man City and Chelsea battle at Wembley Stadium in the semifinal of the FA Cup Saturday. Kickoff is set for 12:15 p.m. ET. Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Man City vs. Chelsea odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

While City, who sit atop the English Premier League, may have the statistical advantage, they are coming off a lengthy match against Real Madrid, playing 120 minutes and losing in penalty kicks Wednesday. City have played 7 games in the last 21 days. They are led by F Erling Haaland, who has 20 goals in 26 EPL matches but is a doubt for Saturday. City beat Newcastle 2-0 in the quarterfinals and Luton Town 6-2 in the 5th round to earn this appearance.

Chelsea beat Everton 6-0 Monday behind 4 goals from F Cole Palmer. Chelsea have won 2 of their last 4 games with the Blues drawing the other 2. They beat fellow EPL competitor Leeds United in the 5th round of the FA Cup 3-2 and then took down Leicester City 4-2 in the quarterfinals. Chelsea are led by Palmer, who has tallied 20 goals in 27 matches.

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Man City vs. Chelsea odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Man City -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Chelsea +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Draw +320
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +126 | U: -176)

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Man City vs. Chelsea picks and predictions

Prediction

Man City 1, Chelsea 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+320).

This is a competition City should want to win, and they’ve shown that, starting F Phil Foden and Haaland in the quarterfinal. However, M Kevin De Bruyne, Foden and Haaland all gave a lengthy performance Wednesday and have been used frequently as of late. De Bruyne and Foden should be tired and may show that Saturday. City have drawn 2 of their last 5 EPL matches.

As for Chelsea, while they are a strong underdog, they have won 3 of their last 5 games and haven’t lost since a 1-0 defeat in the EFL Cup final against Liverpool. Chelsea have won or drawn 6 straight games, including a 4-3 home win over Man U April 4 and a 3-2 victory over Newcastle at Stamford Bridge March 11. Chelsea have played well enough lately to suggest they can keep this game close.

Back DRAW (+320).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET ALT TOTAL UNDER 2.5 GOALS (+134).

Man City and Chelsea have played twice in the English Premier League, and those games couldn’t have been much different. In the 1st, City and Chelsea drew 4-4, and in the 2nd, they drew 1-1. Against Newcastle in the quarterfinal matchup, City allowed just 1 shot on frame, while Chelsea allowed just 1 shot on frame in their quarterfinal battle as well.

City have allowed multiple goals in just 1 of their last 12 EPL games, so they have been able to consistently limit opponents. Expect more of that on both sides Saturday, and back UNDER 2.5 (+134).

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Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Manchester City (18 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) welcome Manchester United (14-2-10) to Etihad Stadium Sunday. Kickoff in the historic rivalry is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City is a strong 9-4-0 at home this season. Throughout its 26 EPL games, Man City is averaging 2.27 goals per game (59 total), while allowing 1.0 (26). City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 17 goals in 21 matches. Man City is 9-2-0 in its last 11 EPL matches, last losing a league game Dec. 6, 2023. Man City’s last EPL match was a 1-0 win at Bournemouth Feb. 24.

United comes into this match with the exact same road and home record at 7-1-5 apiece. It has 36 goals for and 36 goals against, a 1.38 per-game average. United is led by F Scott McTominay, who is tied for a team-high 7 goals with F Rasmus Hojlund. Man U’s most recent EPL match was a 2-1 home loss to Fulham Feb. 24.

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Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook (OR FanDuel Sportsbook); access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Manchester United +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Draw +550
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Manchester City vs. Manchester United picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 3, Manchester United 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

United (+950) has faired well on the road, but it hasn’t played well against top-3 sides. While Man U did draw Liverpool, it lost to Arsenal on the road. In both games, Man U had 1.4 or fewer expected goals.

City (-400) is just too good in the middle of the field for United to keep pace. It has also been a strong home side, so expect it to get the result. However, at -400, there’s no value in betting it.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (-104).

United’s offense has been terrific on the road over the last few weeks. It has had at least 1.8 expected goals in 3 straight games and tallied 8 goals in the last 3.

United’s defense will have little resistance to a dynamic City attack. City has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 8 games throughout all competitions. They have had at least 1.5 expected goals in every game since that Dec. 6 loss.

Both teams have attacks that are surging, so back OVER 3.5 (+100).

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Man City vs. Brighton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Man City vs. Brighton odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Manchester City (6 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) welcomes Brighton (5-1-2) to Etihad Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 10 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Man City vs. Brighton odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Man City started off their first 6 games a perfect 6-0-0 but have since lost their last 2 league matches, losing to the Wolves 2-1 on Sept. 30 and to Arsenal 1-0 on Oct. 8. They are 3-0-0 at home this season. City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 8 goals in 8 matches. It has struggled without star M Kevin De Bruyne, who was injured earlier in the season.

Brighton has exceeded expectations so far this season and is 2-0-1 on the road. They are averaging 2.63 goals per game while also allowing 2.00 per game. Brighton is 1-1-1 over its last 3 and drew Liverpool 2-2 at home on Oct. 8. Brighton is led in scoring by F Evan Ferguson, who has scored 4 goals in 8 games.

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Man City vs. Brighton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:33 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Man City -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Brighton +575 (bet $100 to win $575) | Draw +425
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -110 | U: -130)

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Man City vs. Brighton picks and predictions

Prediction

Man City 3, Brighton 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

City is the better side and has yet to lose at home. The weakness of Brighton’s defense is also concerning given the talented forwards on the City roster.

While Brighton has looked competent this season, it is 0-1-2 on the road in its last 3 games across all competitions. It has been outscored 9-3 in those games.

Don’t expect it to win or draw here, and pass on City to win at -250.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (-110).

City has scored 2 or more goals in 4 of its last 6 EPL matches, and it conceded in 5 of its last 6. It has scored 8 goals in 3 home matches. The Brighton defense is weak and has allowed 8 goals in 3 road matches.

Brighton has scored 8 goals in 3 road league games as well. All 3 road games for Brighton have gone Over even this total. Both teams have strong attacks and defenses that haven’t played up to pair.

Considering that, take OVER 3.5 (-110).

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Arsenal (5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Manchester City (6-0-1) to Emirates Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Arsenal is 2-2-0 at home this season. It is led in scoring by F Bukayo Saka, who has 4 goals in 7 matches but whose status remains unknown for Sunday as he’s been dealing with injury. Arsenal has played 11 games throughout all competitions and has lost just once, a 2-1 defeat against Lens Tuesday in the UEFA Champions League. The Gunners beat Bournemouth 4-0 in their last EPL match and have scored 15 goals and allowed 6 through 7 league games.

Man City is 3-0-1 on the road this season and had its perfect start snapped with a 2-1 road loss at Wolverhampton on Sept. 30 in its last EPL match. City is 1-0-2 throughout its last 3 games in all competitions, beating RB Leipzig in the Champions League 3-1 Wednesday. It is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 8 goals in 7 matches.

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arsenal +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Manchester City +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Draw +230
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -120)

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Arsenal 2, Manchester City 2

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+230).

Arsenal hasn’t lost at home, but it also hasn’t been overly dominant. It has drawn 2 of 4 league matches at Emirates, drawing Tottenham 2-2 and Fulham 2-2. It also drew Man City 1-1 on a neutral site in full-time in the FA Community Shield before the season. Both sides are among the best in the league and are familiar opponents.

With City having lost 2 of its last 3 in all competitions, it may be tough to go on the road and get a win, but its pace and quality should help it in this fixture. This should be a close, high-entertainment battle and there is some value on DRAW (+230).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-130).

Arsenal is averaging 2.14 goals per game and has scored 9 goals in 4 home matches, tallying at least 2 in all 4. City has scored 2 or more in 4 of its last 5 league matches and has scored at least 3 in 2 of its last 4.

Both games last season between these sides topped even 3.5 goals (3-1 and 4-1 wins for City).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Brighton & Hove Albion (5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) welcomes Liverpool (5-1-1) to Falmer Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Brighton is 3-0-1 at home this season but is coming off a discouraging 6-1 loss on the road to Aston Villa Sept. 30. Between the 2 weekends, it drew Marseille 2-2 in the Europa League. Brighton has a 3-1 home win over Newcastle and 3-1 road win over Man U this season. It is led in scoring by 18-year-old Irish F Evan Ferguson, who has 4 goals in 7 matches.

Liverpool is 2-1-1 on the road this season. It lost 2-1 on the road to Tottenham Sept. 30. That was Liverpool’s first draw or loss since its season-opening 1-1 draw with Chelsea. It has won 5 straight matches which included a 2-1 road win over Newcastle. Liverpool is led by F Darwin Nunez and F Mohamed Salah, both of whom have 3 goals on the season.

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Liverpool odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Brighton +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Liverpool +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Draw +300
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -125 | U: -110)

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Liverpool picks and predictions

Prediction

Liverpool 3, Brighton 2

Moneyline (ML)

BET LIVERPOOL (+105).

Through all competitions, the EFL Cup and Europa League included, Brighton is 1-1-3 over its last five competitions. It hasn’t performed well over the last few weeks, losing to AEK Athens 3-2, Chelsea 1-0 and Aston Villa 6-1.

Liverpool had won 5 straight EPL matches before its loss to Tottenham and had won its last 2 away matches. It has the high-level talent to push Brighton’s lacking defense.

Take LIVERPOOL (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (-125).

Liverpool has scored 3 or more goals in 4 of 7 EPL matches and has allowed a goal in all but 1 match as well. Goals have been in Brighton’s gameplan as well.

It has scored 3 or more in 3 of 4 home matches and have allowed 2 goals per game. Both teams score often and haven’t defended much. Back OVER 3.5 (-125).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with English Premier League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Tottenham Hotspur (4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Liverpool (5-1-0) to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Tottenham drew Arsenal last week 2-2 with captain F Son Heung-Min netting both goals for a brace. On the other side of the field, it was D Cristian Romero who had an own goal and conceded a penalty that allowed Arsenal its 2 goals. Tottenham has come out victorious in both its home matches this season scoring 2 goals in each game.

Liverpool has been on fire this far, scoring 3 goals in each of its last 5 matches, 3 of which were Premier League matches. Its last EPL action came last Sunday when it defeated West Ham 3-1. It was F Darwin Nunez who found the back of the net in the 60th minute to give Liverpool the lead. Liverpool is 2-0-1 on the road this season, outscoring opponents 6-3 in those matches. Nunez and F Mohamed Salah lead the team with 3 goals each through the first 6 matches.

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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:54 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Tottenham +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Liverpool +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -110 | U: -130)

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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool picks and predictions

Prediction

Liverpool 3, Tottenham 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET LIVERPOOL +115.

While Liverpool will face a difficult test on the road, it has had no trouble finding the back of the net this season especially away from home. Still playing without star Harry Kane, Tottenham will not be able to keep up with the talented Reds.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 3.5 (-130).

In 3 of the last 5 matches between these clubs, there have been 4 or more goals including the last time they faced off which had 7 goals. Both of these clubs have talented offenses that are more than capable of creating scoring opportunities.

Liverpool has allowed at least 1 goal in all but 1 match this season while Tottenham has allowed a total of 5 goals in its last 3 matches.

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Liverpool vs. West Ham odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Liverpool vs. West Ham odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Liverpool (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes West Ham (3-1-1) to Anfield Sunday. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liverpool vs. West Ham odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Liverpool is 2-0-0 at home this season and, throughout all EPL competitions, has scored 12 goals and allowed 4. It has scored at least 3 goals in 3 of its 5 matches. Its lone draw (0-0) was a road match with Chelsea to start the season. Three players have 2 goals each for Liverpool, but F Mohamed Salah is the most lethal with 2 goals and a team-high 4 assists in 5 matches.

West Ham is 2-1-0 on the road this season, and it has scored 10 goals and allowed 7 in its 5 EPL matches. West Ham has scored 3 goals in 2 of 5 games but has allowed at least 1 goal in each game and may struggle on the road against a high-octane Liverpool attack. Offensively, West Ham is led by F Jarrod Bowen, who has 3 goals in 5 starts.

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Liverpool vs. West Ham odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Liverpool -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | West Ham +575 (bet $100 to win $575) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -105 | U: -130)

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Liverpool vs. West Ham picks and predictions

Prediction

Liverpool 3, West Ham 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

There’s no value on the moneyline.

West Ham has a good record and sat 6th in the league coming into the weekend, but it hasn’t performed well against top-tier competition. It lost 3-1 to Manchester City at home last weekend.

West Ham is one of the better mid-tier sides, but Liverpool should be able to win this game with relative ease. Liverpool was a strong 13-5-1 at home last season.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (-105).

Liverpool averaged 1.97 goals per game last season, and it is topping that through 5 games. It is averaging 2.40 goals per game and has scored 3 or more in 3 of its last 4. It has had 2.5 or more expected goals in 3 of its last 4 as well.

Liverpool’s defense is competent, but it has allowed a goal in all but one game as well. A similar style of play can be said of West Ham. The West Ham attack should be able to get one through as it has had success this season, averaging 2.0 goals per game. It has also allowed a goal in every game.

Both defenses have been average as both attacks have ramped up as the season has continued. Take OVER 3.5 (-105).

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Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Arsenal (4 wins, 0 losses, 1 draw) welcomes Tottenham (4-0-1) to Emirates Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Arsenal has scored 9 goals and allowed 4 through 5 games. It has won 3 games in a row, including a 4-0 victory in the 1st Champions League matchday Wednesday. Arsenal’s last EPL game was a 1-0 win on the road over Everton. Arsenal has 3 players tied with 2 goals. Its most notable attacker is F Bukayo Saka, who has 2 goals and 2 assists through 5 matches.

Tottenham is 2-0-1 on the road this season. It has scored 13 goals and allowed 5 through its 5 games. Without F Harry Kane, the Tottenham offense hasn’t missed a beat, and F Son Heung-min is leading the charge with 3 goals through 5 matches. Tottenham beat Burnley 5-2 in its last road match on Sept. 2 and Sheffield United 2-1 at home in its last EPL match Saturday.

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Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Tottenham +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Draw +320
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)

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Arsenal vs. Tottenham Hotspur picks and predictions

Prediction

Arsenal 2, Tottenham 0

Moneyline (ML)

BET ARSENAL (-145).

When you look at the actual record, Arsenal and Tottenham are the same, but Arsenal has been more dominant, holding its opponent to 1 or fewer expected goals in 4 of 5 games.

Tottenham has allowed its opponent to top that mark in 3 of 5 games and has had fewer expected goals in 2 of 3. Arsenal has played well against Tottenham lately too, taking down its opponent in both games last season a combined 5-1.

At these odds, taking the home side presents good value. Back ARSENAL (-145).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (+150).

The defenses here will be the best both sides have faced this season. Neither team has played a top-4 side. Tottenham has pitched 2 shutouts and has scored 2 goals in all but 1 game. Arsenal has 2 shutouts.

Throughout all competitions, it has had 3 shutouts in 7 matches. Arsenal won 3-1 and 2-0 last season, so this total would’ve been 1-1. The value in this game is on the Under. Take UNDER 2.5 (+150).

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Arsenal vs. Manchester United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arsenal vs. Manchester United odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Arsenal (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes Manchester United (2-0-1) to Emirates Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET (NBC). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arsenal vs. Manchester United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Arsenal beat Manchester City 1-1 (4-1 penalty kicks) in the FA Community Shield prior to the season. It then took down Nottingham Forest 2-1 and Crystal Palace 1-1 before drawing 2-2 at home against Fulham on Tuesday. The Reds are led by F Bukayo Saka, who is tied for a team-high 2 goals so far this season. M Martin Odegaard is the captain for Arsenal.

Man U lost its lone road game so far this season. It has scored 4 goals and allowed 4 goals through the 3 matches. United’s star in the attack is F Marcus Rashford, but he has yet to score this season. Four players have scored once for Man U, which beat the Wolves 1-0 and Nottingham Forest 3-2, both at home. It lost to Tottenham 2-0 on the road on Aug. 19. They finished 3rd on the EPL table a season ago and were 8-3-8 on the road.

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Arsenal vs. Manchester United odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Manchester United +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)

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Arsenal vs. Manchester United picks and predictions

Prediction

Arsenal 3, Manchester United 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET ARSENAL (-130).

Man U was not good on the road last season, and it is starting off that trend again for this season. United lost 8 of 19 road matches last season and lost their lone away game so far this year.

Arsenal is 1-1-0 at home and also showed its competence in a 1-1 (4-1 penalty kicks) win over Manchester City in the FA Community Shield. Arsenal finished 2nd in the EL last season and was a strong 14-3-2 at home. Expect it to come out and take care of business.

Back ARSENAL (-130).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 3.5 (+120).

With similar players on each side from last season, this game should replicate those. Last season, Arsenal beat Man U 3-2 at home then lost to it 3-1 on the road. Every game was high scoring as both Rashford and Saka are a couple of the most dominant forwards in the league.

Arsenal has scored in every game and scored 2 or more goals in 2 of 3 games. Man U has scored 4 goals in 3 games and put 3 on Nottingham Forest in its last match. Considering past trends for this matchup and both teams’ strong attacks, take OVER 3.5 (+120).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Newcastle United (1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Liverpool (1-1-0) to St. James’ Park Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Newcastle went to Etihad Stadium to take on Manchester City last weekend and left with a 1-0 loss. It did end with 7 shots. Newcastle won its season-opening match at home 5-1 over Aston Villa. 23-year-old F Alexander Isak is the team’s key attacker, having scored 2 goals throughout the 2 matches. Newcastle ended last season with an 11-6-2 home record, winning 5 of its last 7 home matches.

Liverpool, a team with aspirations to win the league this season, drew Chelsea 1-1 on the road in its opener. It ended with 13 shots yet just 35% possession. It then beat Bournemouth 3-1 at home last weekend despite a 58th-minute red card. F Luis Diaz leads the team with 2 goals through the 2 matches, scoring the team’s only shot on frame in its opener. Liverpool was 6-5-8 on the road last season.

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Liverpool +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, Liverpool 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).

Newcastle lost to both Liverpool and Arsenal at home last season and then drew Man City 3-3 at home. This is a better Newcastle team, but those same struggles against top-tier sides at home could remain. It had 7 fewer shots and just 41% possession against Man City last weekend, so it might not quite be as good as expected.

Liverpool wasn’t too competent last season on the road, drawing or losing 13 of 19. It drew 5 last season. Liverpool drew Chelsea on the road to open the season and should find a similar result here.

For a small unit, sprinkle DRAW (+290).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER ALTERNATE 2.5 (+150).

Liverpool was tied for the fewest goals allowed in the 2021-22 season and had a strong defense again last year. D Virgil van Djik still leads the backline, and it has given up just 1 goal per game this season, allowing up 4 shots goal against Chelsea. Liverpool scored in its lone shot on frame against Chelsea, so that wasn’t an overly convincing showing for its attack.

Newcastle had just 1 shot on frame against City, which countered the 5 goals it put on Aston Villa in its opener. Newcastle has allowed 1 goal per game and scored 2.5, but again, this will be a highly competitive match with likely fewer opportunities.

Take UNDER 2.5 (+150).

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