Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) and San Diego Padres (54-56) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 8:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-1

Los Angeles won 10-5 as +114 road underdogs in the series opener Friday. San Diego led 3-1 after 7 innings, but L.A. scored 5 runs in the 8th and 3 more in the 9th to win a 6th straight in the head-to-head series.

The Dodgers have won 4 straight, are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and are 29-25 on the road this season.

The Padres, who are 29-26 at home, had a 2-game win streak snapped with Friday’s loss. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and 6-4 in their last 10.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Michael Grove vs. LHP Blake Snell 

Grove (2-3, 6.75 ERA) is slated to make his 12th start of the season — and 15th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 9-0 home loss to Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 1-1, 8.85 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 2.21 WHIP, 5.8 K/9
  • Never faced Padres before — made MLB debut May 15, 2022

Snell (8-8, 2.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 119 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER (1 unearned), 4 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win vs. Texas Rangers Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 7-4, 2.58 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 12.6 K/9
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-2, 2.61 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 11 starts

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1,5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 1

Moneyline

LEAN DODGERS (+135).

As mentioned, Los Angeles has dominated San Diego this season, winning 6 in a row. Plus, the Dodgers are 3-1 the last 4 times they faced Snell in a regular-season contest.

Snell is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA (21 IP, 9 ER) and 1.24 WHIP in those 4 starts, including 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER) and a 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts this season.

Look for the DODGERS (+135) to continue their hot streak vs. the Padres Saturday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I’m confident the Dodgers will cover the run line, but at +1.5 (-150), the juice eliminates the value. Bet the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 7-2 in the Padres last 9 games, 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts, and 4-0 in Snell’s last 4 starts vs. the Dodgers — which includes a 2022 playoff game.

Prior to Friday’s opener cashing an Over ticket — thanks to the Dodgers’ late runs — the Under was 6-0 in the previous 6 head-to-head meetings.

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