The 5 best prop bets: NFL Week 11

The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 11.

This week, we’re looking for nothing but positivity – everybody gets a car! We have four players hitting the Over, including two elite players, a new face in a new place, and a very young reclamation project. To top it off, we have a player scoring a touchdown against a team he absolutely owns.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 11

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 11 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 11.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 11

OFF = No odds currently listed.


The 5 best bets for NFL Week 11

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 11.

This week’s bets are based on history, including the continuance of a pair of one-sided division rivalries, two matchups of preseason playoff hopefuls now trying to save their seasons with one going Over and one staying Under, and getting the undefeated defending champs plus points.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL Line: Week 11

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 11 action.

This week if the official beginning of the 2024 big point spreads as the unofficial tanking may or may not begin in the NFL.

The Detroit Lions are this year’s first 14-point favorite over the hapless/hobbled Jacksonville Jaguars. To bet on the Lions to win outright, your investment is 10-to-1 against the return. As franchises start looking more to 2025 while they limp through the remainder of 2024, this won’t be the last time we see a 14-point spread (or higher).


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Washington Commanders (+150) at Philadelphia Eagles (-185)

The Eagles are light betting investment favorites (3.5 points at -115 Commanders, -105 Eagles). The Eagles have the chops to make a home statement. If they don’t? Then the temperature changes. Take the Eagles and lay 3.5 points (-105).


Green Bay Packers (-250) at Chicago Bears (+200)

The Packers are healthy favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). This isn’t a rivalry. It’s a statement. Green Bay has dominated since 2019 and by more than 5.5 points every time. Take the Packers and lay 5.5 points (-110).


Jacksonville Jaguars (+650) at Detroit Lions (-1000)

The Over/Under is pretty high (47 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Not touching 14 points on an official bet. The Lions might score 40 out of saltiness, but if the Jags defense shows up, Detroit will run to prevent Jared Goff yips and an easy win. Take Under 47 points (-110).


Minnesota Vikings (-250) at Tennessee Titans (+200)

The Vikings are solid road favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). The Vikings played down to the competition last week and almost lost – almost. This time, they get it right and dominate. Take the Vikings and lay 6 points (-110).


Las Vegas Raiders (+300) at Miami Dolphins (-375)

The Over/Under is low (44 points at -110 for both). The Raiders give up a lot of points. When the band is together is at home, the Dolphins can score a lot of points. Take Over 44 points (-110).


Los Angeles Rams (-225) at New England Patriots (+180)

The Rams are good road favorites in the early window (4.5 points at -115 Rams, -105 Patriots). Matthew Stafford takes the Patriots to school. Drake Maye will have to keep pace. Stafford wins this one. Take the Rams and lay 4.5 points (-110).


Cleveland Browns (-105) at New Orleans Saints (-115)

The Over/Under is suspicious (44.5 points at -110 for both). These are the two most disappointing offensive teams in the league and suddenly someone is going to light up the scoreboard? Hard pass. Take Under 44 points (-110).


Indianapolis Colts (+170) at New York Jets (-210)

The Over/Under is pedestrian (44 points at -110 for both). Anthony Richardson is back from being benched. Aaron Rodgers is having his legacy questioned. Two guys with a lot to gain and not as much to lose. Take Over 44 points (-110).


Baltimore Ravens (-175) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+145)

The Ravens are given road respect as favorites (3 points at -115 Ravens, -105 Steelers). This has classic trap-game repercussions, but take Lamar Jackson vs. Russell Wilson every day – much less on Sunday. Take the Ravens and lay 3 points (-115).


Atlanta Falcons (+110) at Denver Broncos (-135)

The Broncos are mild home favorites (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). Two teams that don’t beat playoff teams … but, thanks to being in NFC South, the Falcons are a playoff team. Take the Falcons plus 2.5 points (-110).


Seattle Seahawks (+240) at San Francisco 49ers (-300)

The 49ers are robust home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). For a divisional rivalry, the Niners own this one and being less than a TD favorite will be viewed as insulting. Take the 49ers and lay 6.5 points (-110).


Kansas City Chiefs (+115) at Buffalo Bills (-135)

Anyone who gives Patrick Mahomes points does so at his own peril. Historically, it doesn’t end well. Until further notice, any time you get the Chiefs in addition to points you jump. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline (+115).


Cincinnati Bengals (+105) at Los Angeles Chargers (-125)

The Bengals are on the brink of legitimate extinction as 1.5-point underdogs in LA in prime time. Cincinnati has more firepower than the Chargers, and this isn’t Big Ten football. Take the Bengals on the moneyline (+105).


Houston Texans (-400) at Dallas Cowboys (+310)

The Texans are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Texans haven’t earned being this type of favorite on the road. If the Cowboys don’t cover this point, they should start firing now. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-110).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 11

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 11 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


The 5 best bets for NFL Week 10

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.

This week’s picks include a pair of teams currently destined to make a deep playoff run padding their resumes, one high number going Over, one low number going Under, and a three-point underdog making more noise against a division leader.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL Line: Week 10

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.

The demarcation between the good teams, struggling teams, and bad teams is playing itself out this week for those looking to wager on point spreads.

Only three of the 14 games have a current point spread of three points or fewer on the Week 10 slate, while six games have a spread of 6.5 points or more.

Numbers like scream that could be a lot of blowouts this week … or at least the perception that beat-downs are coming is clear.


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Cincinnati Bengals (+220) at Baltimore Ravens (-275)

The Ravens are big favorites (6.5 points at -120 Bengals, -110 Ravens). Divisional games between playoff-hardened teams is rarely this high, but Baltimore is clicking – winning their last four games and seven of nine games this year by eight points or more. Take the Ravens and lay 6.5 points (-110).


New York Giants (-275) at Carolina Panthers (+220)

The Over/Under is low (40.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). There is a reason. Both teams have hit Under this number in six of their nine games. They play field-position games that have field goals deciding them. Take Under 40.5 points (-105).


New England Patriots (+230) at Chicago Bears (-275)

The Bears are strong home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots are in rebuild mode and that shows up on the road. Their last four losses included deficits of 21, 17, and 16 points. Take the Bears and lay 6.5 points (-110).


Buffalo Bills (-210) at Indianapolis Colts (+170)

The Bills are road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Colts are teetering on irrelevance, while the Bills are looking to stay with the other AFC big dogs. Buffalo has scored 30 or more points in six of nine games and the Colts aren’t equipped to compete with that. Take the Bills and lay 4 points (-110).


Denver Broncos (+310) at Kansas City Chiefs (-400)

Once again, the Chiefs are big favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). We’ve been down this road before. The Chiefs win, but they don’t cover because their number is too high. I’ve taken the bait before. I am again. Take the Chiefs and lay 8.5 points (-110).


Atlanta Falcons (-200) at New Orleans Saints (+165)

The Falcons are decent road favorites (3.5 points at -115 Falcons, -105 Saints). The Saints fired their head coach, and the Falcons have won five of the last six. Don’t buy into the “new coach bump” routine here. Take the Falcons and lay 3.5 points (-115).


San Francisco 49ers (-250) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+200)

The Chiefs are stiff road favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Bucs are likely without their top two receivers on a short week after going five quarters against the Chiefs, and Christian McCaffrey may be back. Take the 49ers and lay 5.5 points (-110).


Pittsburgh Steelers (+120) at Washington Commanders (-145)

If you at the hindsight strength of the opponents both teams have played, there hasn’t been a “signature win” among any of them. The Steelers defense is legit and make plays against those who take risks. Jayden Daniels takes risks. Take the Steelers on the moneyline (+120).


Minnesota Vikings (-225) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+185)

The Vikings are an impressive road favorite (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). Minnesota still needs to make some believers, and the banged-up Jaguars are starting to book January vacation destinations. Take the Vikings and lay 4.5 points (-110).

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Tennessee Titans (+300) at Los Angeles Chargers (-375)

The Chargers are prohibitive favorites (7.5 points at -105 Titans, -115 Chargers). In all six Tennessee losses, the Titans have scored 17 or fewer points. The Chargers’ five wins have come by 12, 23, 7, 18, and 7 points. Those are a good combination. Take the Chargers and lay 7.5 points (-115).


Philadelphia Eagles (-350) at Dallas Cowboys (+280)

The Eagles are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Cowboys). These may be the most overrated teams in the league. Dak Prescott is out, but it’s hard to give a home team on the brink of disaster more than a TD cushion at home. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-115).


New York Jets (-110) at Arizona Cardinals (-110)

The Cardinals are favored by only one point at home. The Jets are on life support, so they will take more risks. Aaron Rodgers in a death match works here, because one more loss kills their season. Take the Jets on the moneyline (-110).


Detroit Lions (-190) at Houston Texans (+155)

Detroit is a road favorite (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Lions are not only beating people, they’re beating up people. The Texans are a good team but can’t trade punches with a heavyweight from Detroit. Take the Lions and lay 3.5 points (-110).


Miami Dolphins (+100) at Los Angeles Rams (-120)

The Over/Under is huge (50 points at -110 for both Over and Under). It took until Week 10 for both teams to have all their star offensive players together on the same field, and they’re going let it fly under the primetime lights. Take Over 50 points (-110).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 10

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 10 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 9

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

This week’s picks have a couple wide receivers showing why they were first round fantasy draft picks, a maligned quarterback lighting it up and two of the best at their respective positions going under their projections because of defensive attention.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 9

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 9 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 9.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 9

OFF = No odds currently listed.