When they last met: Commanders and Browns

These teams last met just two years ago with Carson Wentz under center for Washington.

“When they last met” is an ongoing series during the NFL season, recalling the preceding game between Washington and the next opponent on the Commanders’ schedule.

Cleveland 24, Washington 10 – Week 17, January 1, 2023

In what was perhaps Ron Rivera’s most revealing moment as Washington’s head coach, the Cleveland Browns defeated the Commanders 24-10 in Landover at FedEx Field.

Washington had been sitting in the sixth seed position with a 7-5 record when Rivera’s team suddenly went winless over the next four weeks. They tied the Giants, lost to the Giants, lost to the 49ers, and, on this day, lost to the Browns.

Rivera seemed to lose the team when he started Carson Wentz over Taylor Heinicke. Heinicke was the favorite of the team, of the coaches, of the fan base. Yet the truth is Heinicke struggled three consecutive games and Rivera really was attempting to stop the mudslide, beat the Browns at FedEx and make the playoffs.

But the Commanders came out lifeless for the game. It was inexplicable and inexcusable that the team played as they did that day.

Even more, following the disappointing and frustrating loss to the Browns, in the press conference, Grant Paulsen asked Rivera, “To clarify, you said you would talk about quarterback next week. If you guys are eliminated today by what happens at four o’clock, is Sam Howell in consideration?”

The Commanders had just fallen to 7-8-1 and, depending upon the final outcome of a 4:00 p.m. game, could be eliminated from the playoffs. So Paulsen asked if rookie Sam Howell might play in what would be a meaningless final regular season game.

Then the shocking moment occurred. Rivera paused, remained silent, moved his head to the side and asked Paulsen, “We can be eliminated?” Paulsen responded, “Yeah, if the Packers beat the Vikings, then you guys are eliminated.” Rivera, surprised, simply responded, “Ah.”

I certainly understand an NFL head coach not being aware of all the playoff scenarios with three games or perhaps even two games left to play. But when you only have one game remaining, how did he know they were in danger of being eliminated after the loss to the Browns? How had no assistant coach, scout, executive, or player not brought this up with Rivera all week?

It spoke volumes not only of Rivera’s lack of what was transpiring right in front of him but also that he had not led in managing the staff, to assign someone to inform him each of those last weeks of where the team stood in the playoff race.

It was also here that Rivera lost the confidence of many in the building and, now, the fan base in the DMV. 2023 turned out to be a lame-duck year for Rivera and the staff.

Washington had led 7-3 at the half when Deshaun Watson riddled the Commanders’ defense with touchdown passes in the second half of 46, 13, and 33 yards. Meanwhile, Carson Wentz struggled in the second half, and frankly, the Commanders crashed and burned when these two teams last met.

NFC West Watch: more brutal injury news for 49ers

NFC West Watch: more brutal injury news for 49ers

The Seattle Seahawks’ primary rivals, the San Francisco 49ers, are off to a tough start this year. Their campaign to defend their conference championship has hit a few snags already, and we aren’t even a month into the season. The biggest issue facing San Francisco so far has been their overall health, which has their roster looking closer to being a skeleton crew than it does a juggernaut.

When healthy, we know how lethal the 49ers offense can look. Unfortunately for them, they haven’t been able to field everyone. In San Francisco’s Week 3 loss to the Rams, they were without wide receiver Deebo Samuel (calf) and tight end George Kittle (hamstring), which is already on top of them not having star running back Christian McCaffrey – who was placed on Injured Reserve on September 14th.

Now, ESPN’s Adam Schefter is reporting more bad news for McCaffrey, who is apparently seeking a specialist all the way in Germany for his Achilles tendinitis.

The news regarding McCaffrey from Schefter followed two other bits of equally troubling injury updates for the 49ers. Defensive tackle Javon Hargrave suffered a partial triceps tear, and as a result is likely out for the remainder of the season. Losing Hargrave is a massive blow to San Francisco’s incredibly talented defensive line.

Of course, the 49ers’ injury woes would not be complete without bad news surrounding their quarterback. Schefter also announced Brock Purdy is dealing with back soreness, making him day-to-day as the team gears up for their Week 4 game against New England. Of course, one can’t help but to make the joke about his back being sore from carrying this team, because Purdy certainly did so in Week 3. I’ve been as tough on Purdy as anyone, but even I will give him credit for his solid play thus far.

Regardless, San Francisco is in a world of hurt right now… both literally and figuratively. They are 1-2 following two-straight losses. One where they were bullied by Minnesota, and one where they blew it against an even more depleted Rams team. The 49ers should be fine against the Patriots no matter who suits up, but from there the road back to the Super Bowl is starting to look a little more treacherous for them.

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49ers open as slight favorites over Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII

The 49ers open as favorites over the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII.

The San Francisco 49ers are set for a rematch against the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII. Their first meeting in Super Bowl LIV to conclude the 2019 season finished with a 31-20 Chiefs win. Early odds have the 49ers as the favorites to avenge that defeat.

BetMGM has San Francisco listed as 1.5-point favorites over the Chiefs on the opening line. With two weeks to go until the game though there’s plenty of time for that line to move.

The 49ers have been favored in all three of their playoff games, including by 9.5 over the Packers in the divisional round and 7 over the Lions in the conference championship game.

They’ve yet to cover a spread after a pair of three-point victories. They’ll need to cover this one against the Chiefs if they want to get a win and their sixth Lombardi Trophy.

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49ers open as heavy favorite to win NFC championship

The 49ers open as big favorites over the Lions:

The 49ers will host the Lions in the NFC championship game at Levi’s Stadium. While Detroit played better than the 49ers did in the divisional round, San Francisco is still a 7-point favorite over the Lions according to BetMGM.

While it’s a little surprising to see such a big number on the 49ers to open, there’s certainly a path to a big win for a San Francisco team that’s in its third NFC championship game in as many years.

It would make sense if the number started trending toward Detroit given what they can do in the run game and how they might be able to keep the game tight the same way the Packers did.

Injuries could also play a key role in how the line moves. 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel is banged up, as is Lions center Frank Ragnow. Both players are huge pieces to their offenses and in a game that should be closely contested, those injuries could make a huge difference.

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49ers open as favorites at Philadelphia

The 49ers opened as favorites in Philly.

The 49ers are the No. 2 seed in the NFC and two games back of the Philadelphia Eagles heading into their Week 12 NFC rematch at Lincoln Financial Field. San Francisco, despite being two games worse and visiting from the opposite coast, opened as 1.5-point favorites over the Eagles according to BetMGM.

There’s no guarantee the line will stay in the 49ers’ favor, but it’s not a huge surprise they opened as the favorite. They’ll be coming off 10 days rest while the Eagles will be coming off a hard-fought overtime win over the Bills.

The 49ers have also been more dominant in their wins this year despite a stretch of play in the middle of the season where they were demonstrably worse.

Sunday’s game in Philadelphia should be a good one though as evidenced by the tight line. It’s unlikely that line will inflate in either direction. Both teams are very good and coming off a big wins. Vegas is expecting a close one, and that’s probably the safest bet to make.

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49ers favored big in Sunday Night Football game vs. Chargers

The #49ers are primed for a big game against the Chargers, and the point spread shows it.

The 49ers are coming off their bye week with a chance to get healthy enough to resemble the team some considered a Super Bowl contender before the season. Optimism around the club is apparent in the point spread for their showdown against the 5-3 Chargers. Tipico Sportsbook has San Francisco favored by seven points at home Sunday night.

It’s not a huge surprise the spread has ballooned from a lookahead line near a field goal up to a touchdown. The 49ers have another week to get running back Christian McCaffrey acclimated and involved in their offense. They’ll also have wide receiver Deebo Samuel back, and they could have RB Elijah Mitchell back from an MCL sprain as well. All of this comes together in time to face a Chargers club that’s one of the worst run-stopping units in the league.

This is the kind of game the 49ers could run away with if they generate a turnover or two and control the clock with a heavy dose of a run game that gets the ball into the hands of their best playmakers.

Meanwhile, the Chargers’ receiving corps is banged up and their run game hasn’t been particularly strong all year behind a beat up offensive line. A newly-healthy 49ers defense could have a big day to complement a good offensive showing.

When San Francisco plays complementary football, they’re very hard to beat, and they have a tendency to pull away and win by multiple scores.

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49ers favored to sweep East Coast swing

The #49ers are favored by almost a touchdown vs. Atlanta, but the Falcons could pose some problems in perhaps the 49ers’ “easiest” game over the next couple months.

The 49ers are favored by nearly a touchdown Sunday in Atlanta. Tipico Sportsbook has them sitting at 5.5-point favorites heading into the weekend despite a handful of injury issues on both sides of the ball for San Francisco. Looking ahead to their schedule this could be the last time they’re favored by upwards of a touchdown for a couple months.

After Atlanta they head home to face the Chiefs, then they hit the road to take on the Rams before a showdown with the Chargers at Levi’s Stadium coming out of the Bye. They also face the Cardinals, Saints, Dolphins and Buccaneers before going to Seattle for a Thursday night game. Their game after the Thursday game is Dec. 24 at home against the Washington Commanders, which may be the next time they’re favored by as many points as they are in Atlanta.

This isn’t necessarily to say the Falcons are going to be a pushover for San Francisco. Atlanta is 2-3, but their three losses have come by a combined 11 points. Their largest loss was a six-point defeat at the hands of the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay last week, and even that game was swung by a very questionable roughing the passer call on Falcons DL Grady Jarrett late.

Atlanta has struggled some defensively where they rank 27th in Football Outsiders’ Defensive DVOA metric. Offensively though they’re 10th in the NFL in that same stat despite ranking near the bottom of the league in pass attempts and passing yards.

Their run game has thrived though, and that’s where the concern sets in for the 49ers. San Francisco’s defense has been very good this year, but injuries will eventually catch up with them. Starting CB Emmanuel Moseley is out for the year with a torn ACL, and all four of their starting defensive linemen were out of practice Wednesday. There’s a chance the 49ers face one of the NFL’s most effective rushing attacks with what amounts to a backup defensive line.

It’s not that the 49ers shouldn’t be favored by nearly a touchdown. After all, sportsbooks are looking to get equal money on both sides of a number. However, just because this game is perhaps near the bottom of their schedule in terms of quality of opponent over the next couple of months doesn’t mean it’ll be easy for San Francisco.

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49ers sign RB Tevin Coleman to active roster

The 49ers have signed RB Tevin Coleman to the active roster and added RB Marlon Mack and K Sam Sloman to the practice squad.

The San Francisco 49ers have announced several roster moves ahead of their Week 6 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons.

The 49ers have promoted running back Tevin Coleman to the active roster from the team’s practice squad. San Francisco has also signed running back Marlon Mack and kicker Sam Sloman to the practice squad. They released quarterback Kurt Benkert in a corresponding move.

Coleman has appeared in two games this season, where he’s rushed for 23 yards on eight carries with a touchdown and added three catches for 44 yards and a touchdown.

The 49ers released Mack on Tuesday to make room for Coleman. But they wasted no time signing Mack to the practice squad. He appeared in two games this season, where he only played five snaps on special teams, including recovering a fumble.

Sloman, a seventh-round pick in 2020, appeared in seven games with the Los Angeles Rams in 2020, where he connected on eight of 11 field goals (72.8%) and 18 of 21 extra points (85.7%).

Last season, Sloman appeared in one game with the Tennessee Titans and also was on the Pittsburgh Steelers practice squad.

Can 49ers cover big spread vs. Panthers?

Can the #49ers cover a pretty big spread against the Panthers?

The 49ers are heavy favorites on the road in Carolina on Sunday, and they probably should be. Tipico Sportsbook has them favored by 6.5 points despite a cross country trip on a short week after Monday Night Football.

That’s probably about the right number. Carolina’s offense is one of the NFL’s worst, ranking 31st in offensive DVOA per Pro Football Outsiders. Pick any offensive metric though and the Panthers are at or near the bottom of the league.

Meanwhile, the 49ers’ defense is No. 1 in defensive DVOA and at or near the top of virtually any metric that measures total defense. There’s a very easy scenario to envision where the Panthers simply can’t move the ball effectively for most of Sunday’s game and the 49ers offense puts up a couple scores and they cover easily.

On the other hand, it’s not a slam dunk that the 49ers’ offense will move the ball against Carolina. While the Panthers have had their offensive issues this season, their defense has mostly been okay behind star pass rusher Brian Burns.

The version of the 49ers offense we’ve seen the last two weeks hasn’t been particularly inspiring, and now they’re starting third-string left tackle Jaylon Moore. Uneven offensive performances make it easy to also envision a scenario where San Francisco’s offense looks something like it did in Denver or through most of the second half against the Rams.

Ultimately the matchup to watch is the 49ers’ defense against Carolina’s offense. Even if San Francisco struggles some offensively, a combination of defensive takeaways and a couple of explosive plays by the offense should allow them to comfortably outscore whatever it is the defense gives up.

There’s also the world where the 49ers offense hits its stride after a couple of early-season hiccups and they roll Carolina by multiple touchdowns.

Either way, there are more outcomes where the 49ers cover the 6.5 than outcomes where they don’t. Even if a full touchdown feels like a lot for a struggling offense, it’s probably the safe pick this week.

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49ers favored at home vs. Rams despite Week 3 stumble

Despite a Week 3 hiccup, the 49ers are favored at home vs. the Rams.

A hiccup in Week 3 that pushed the 49ers to 1-2 on the season didn’t sway bettors from favoring San Francisco in their Week 4 home bout against the Rams. Tipico Sportsbook has the 49ers favored by 1.5 points on Monday night when they host Los Angeles.

Sportsbooks are far less reactionary than fans. While the 49ers’ performance in Denver was certainly dreadful, chances are that wasn’t the version of their offense we’ll see for the rest of the season. There’s a ton of bounce-back potential at home against a divisional opponent. Not to mention the 49ers have owned that divisional opponent in the regular season with six consecutive head-to-head wins.

There’s more to consider than just the 49ers’ Week 3 offensive performance though. Their defense, for example, has allowed just 3.9 yards per play through the first three weeks and they’re third in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA. While they’ve faced three struggling offensive, any defense that allows 28 points in three games is doing something right.

Pitting that 49ers defense against a Rams club that’s had a hard time protecting quarterback Matthew Stafford makes it easy to draw a path to a low-scoring output for Los Angeles.

If San Francisco’s offense can get right against a defense head coach Kyle Shanahan has consistently found ways to move the ball against, that 1.5 points should get covered.

Of course, there’s always a chance the 49ers offense bogs down again and even another sterling defensive performance can’t save them.

Either way, Monday night should be close despite the avalanche of criticism levied against the 49ers for their dreary Week 3 outing. They had a bounce-back win over the Rams in Week 10 last year, and Vegas is favoring them to do it again this season.

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