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The San Diego Padres (80-62) welcome the San Francisco Giants (69-72) to Petco Park Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 4-3
The Giants beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2 Thursday to avoid a sweep in that series. San Francisco lost 8-7 Tuesday and 6-4 Wednesday and has lost 4 of its last 5 games. It sits 4th in the NL West. The Giants are 29-40 on the road and 66-75 against the spread (ATS).
The Padres lost 4-3 Thursday, missing out on the sweep over the Detroit Tigers. San Diego won the prior 2 games a combined 9-5. It has won 7 of its last 11 and is 2nd in the NL West. The Padres are 39-33 at home, having won 4 of their last 6 home games, and are 72-70 ATS.
Giants at Padres projected starters
RHP Mason Black vs. RHP Michael King
Black (0-2, 7.45 ERA) makes his 5th career start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home loss to the Miami Marlins Saturday
- 2024 away stats: 0-1, 11.57 ERA (7 IP, 9 ER), 2.29 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
- Has never faced Padres
King (11-8, 3.17 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 150 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 4-1 road loss to the St. Louis Cardinals on Aug. 29
- 2024 home stats: 3-5, 3.56 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 12 starts
- Career vs. Giants: 1-1, 2.84 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Giants at Padres odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +176 (bet $100 to win $176) | Padres -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-125) | Padres -1.5 (+104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Giants at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Giants 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no value on the moneyline here. The Padres are far too expensive to play here, and the Giants, especially considering their starting option, aren’t worth a play either.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PADRES -1.5 (+105).
The Giants are among the worst road-covering teams in the MLB with a 35-33 ATS record away from home. They are 2-6 in their last 8 games and have lost 4 of those 6 by multiple runs.
The Padres have covered in 4 of King’s last 7 starts. San Diego has a major pitching advantage with Black having struggled this season. Black has allowed 4 or more ERs in 3 of his 5 appearances. Expect San Diego to score often and enough to cover here.
Back PADRES -1.5 (+105).
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-122).
The Padres have consistently gone Over this season and are 76-63-3 O/U. They are 3-2-1 O/U in their last 6 games, scoring at least 4 in 4 of their last 6.
The Giants are 71-64-6 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 3 of their last 4, allowing at least 6 in 3 of 4. Considering those trends, take OVER 7.5 (-122).
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