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The Philadelphia Phillies (29-13) and New York Mets (19-21) meet for the 2nd-game of a 4-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 1-0
Philadelphia won 5-4 win in 10 innings in Monday’s series opener while covering as a +106 road underdog. 2B-SS Bryson Stott went 2-of-4 at the plate with 1 HR and 2 RBIs, including the game-winning sacrifice fly.
New York led 4-2 entering the 9th, but allowed the Phillies to tie it and win it in the 10th. The Mets have allowed 4 or more runs in each of their last 3 losses.
Phillies at Mets projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Jose Butto
Nola (4-2, 3.67 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 49 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-3 loss at Toronto Wednesday
- Career vs. Mets: 9-8, 3.40 ERA (150 2/3 IP, 57 ER), 123 H, 48 BB, 190 K in 26 starts
Butto (1-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 33 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 7-5 loss at St. Louis Tuesday
- Career vs. Phillies: 0-2, 8.36 ERA (14 IP, 13 ER), 18 H, 6 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
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Phillies at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -146 (bet $146 to win $100) | Mets +124 (bet $100 to win $124)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+114) | Mets +1.5 (-137)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Mets 3
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (-146).
Philadelphia has won 3 of its last 4 road games and is 8-2 in its last 10 overall while the Mets are only 1-3 in their last 4 and 4-6 in their last 10. The Phillies have also won back-to-back games against New York and are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Phillies have both the better record and more talented roster. Because of this and Philly’s current streak, I expect the Phillies to cover as -1.5 (+112) favorites. However, Philadelphia’s odds are safer on the moneyline and I am not a fan of doubling down, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-115).
The Over has hit in 4 consecutive road games for the Phillies and is 7-2-1 in its last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Philadelphia-New York matchups in New York, being 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings overall.
Be aware that the Over is only 5-5 in New York’s last 10 games.
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