1. UCLA at Colorado
LINE UCLA -21.5
ATS PICK UCLA
Oh do I want this one.
I went big in this spot last week on Rutgers beating Temple by 17.5. I was right that the Rutgers defense was going to be terrific. I was wrong that I didn’t see that the Rutgers offense wasn’t planning on making the trip.
So to close out the gimmicky aspect of this in full force, what’s the one thing we know above all else so far as we’re just over three weeks into the college football season?
We know to always take Georgia, but I just can’t bring myself to give away 45. The Dawgs could beat Kent State 41-0 as they rest up for the SEC world ahead.
That, and we know that something massive is missing with Colorado.
I was crazy enough to pick the Buffs over TCU to start out the season, and I still think enough parts are in place to maybe pull up out of the nosedive, but until proven otherwise …
How do you pick Colorado against the spread right now?
I thought the Buffs getting 17.5 against Air Force was madness. They lost 41-10.
I thought they’d at least bring something to Minnesota as a 28-point dog. They weren’t even close in the 49-7 loss.
So now they’re back at home, and they’re only a 21.5 underdog to UCLA, and why?
UCLA should’ve lost at home to South Alabama. Never underestimate the ability of the Bruins to underwhelm.
However, Colorado has the worst run defense in the nation, and it’s by a MILE.
It’s allowing 348 rushing yards per game. Louisiana Tech has the second-worst run D in college football, and it’s giving up 249 yards an outing. Charlotte is allowing just over 243 rushing yards, which means Colorado is giving almost 100 more rushing yards per game than all 130 other teams.
To put that in perspective, 36 teams don’t give up 100 rushing yards a game – including UCLA.
The Bruins have too many good runners, Dorian Thompson-Robinson is throwing too well, and they should bring more energy after last week’s near disaster.
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