Week 1 2023 Mountain West Football: Best Bets

It’s all football, all fall. College football is really back this week and we take a look at what Vegas is saying about the Mountain West.

Nevada @ #6 USC (-38.5, O/U 66.5)

The Alex Grinch train may all but be over for USC fans. They beat San Jose State by 28 points, but should’ve beaten them by more. That could lead to the Trojans looking past Nevada again and the Wolf Pack sneaking in some scores. Expect the Trojans to win by a lot and the over to hit.

Pick: Over

New Mexico @ #23 Texas A&M (-38.5 O/U 48.5)

The over seems low here for a non-Iowa top 25 game, so I’m going to be greedy and take it. Texas A&M might be still working out the kinks in their offense, but they’re playing the Lobos who’ve barely won anything over the past five seasons.

Pick: Over

Washington State @ Colorado State (+10.5, O/U 54.5)

Colorado State was one of the worst teams in college football last year. They lost to the Cougars 38-7 in 2022. But they return a ton of key skill players and bring a revamped offensive line. Meanwhile Washington State has to replace a ton of key skill players and is questionable on of the offensive line. Take the Rams to cover and if you’re feeling risky potentially put $10 on the Rams to win outright.

Pick: Colorado State +10.5

Texas Tech @ Wyoming (+14, O/U 50.5)

Texas Tech plays at 3200 feet normally. But this time, they’re playing at 7100. Playing at around 1.4 miles above sea level with lower oxygen will take the wind out of you. The Red Raiders are going to play an up tempo air raid style of game that could come back to bite them against a top defensive unit in the Cowboys. I expect them to cover, but I could also see the Cowboys covering as well.

Pick: Texas Tech -14

Idaho State @ San Diego state (NO LINE)

San Diego State is still without an offensive identity. Idaho State has a new head coach in Cody Hawkins, the son of former Boise State coach Dan Hawkins. The Aztecs should win this one, but it still won’t be pretty.

Pick: San Diego State ML

#18 Oregon State @ San Jose State (+16.5, O/U 55.5)

The Spartans have a game under their belt. DJ Uiagalelei gets his first action under center for the Beavers. San Jose State will face a tougher defensive test this week, but there still should be plently of offensive fire power on both sides of this matchup.

Pick: Over

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