Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Washington Nationals (36-70) and Philadelphia Phillies (56-48) meet Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 4-game NL East series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 6-2

The Nationals are on the road after a 2-4 home stand. Washington has leveled off a bit since going 2-17 from June 29-July 23. The last-place club in the NL East is 5-5 over its last 10 games.

The Phillies are back at home after a 5-1 road trip against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves. Philadelphia is 35-19 (.648) with a 3.62 ERA since June 1. The Phils are 14-2 against Washington since July 29 last season.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Paolo Espino vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Espino (0-3, 3.78 ERA) has appeared in 29 games (9 starts) this season. He owns a 1.25 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: allowed 4 R on 7 H and 1 BB in 4 2/3 IP Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over 26 IP across his last 6 games.
  • Owns a 6.65 ERA across his last 5 starts vs. Philadelphia.
  • Current Phillies bats own an aggregate .802 OPS against him.

Syndergaard (5-8, 3.83 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start of the season. The new Philly hurler owns a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 80 IP.

  • Was acquired from the Los Angeles Angels just before Tuesday’s trade deadline.
  • Has posted a 3.74 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 21 2/3 IP over his last 4 starts.
  • Has not pitched since July 25 at the Kansas City Royals.

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 4

Money line

PASS: no value here.

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Run line/Against the spread

Espino is a fly-ball pitcher, and especially on a hot, humid-breeze-blowing-out night at Citizens, that spells an advantage for a Philadelphia attack that hits fly-ballers well.

The Syndergaard rest is a wildcard facet to this one, but the veteran righty has fared well on long rest throughout most of his career. An upgraded Philadelphia bullpen looks to be in decent shape heading into this contest.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

As bad as Washington has been, the club’s offense has been about average in road games (.700 OPS, 16th MLB).

Both starting pitchers have surface numbers buoyed by generous rates around the margins.

Consider a play on the Over 8.5 if the price gets to -125 or better, but PASS for now.

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