The Washington Nationals (45-53) and Philadelphia Phillies (49-49) begin a four-game series Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 4-4
Washington enters on a four-game slide after getting swept in three at the Baltimore Orioles. Philly owns a one-game win streak following a four-game split at home against the Atlanta Braves.
Nationals RHP Joe Ross is expected to be activated off the injured list for Monday’s start. Ross, who landed on the IL July 8 with right elbow inflammation, is 5-8 with a 4.02 ERA (87 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 16 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 5-1 home defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers July 4
- Career vs. Phillies: 2-1, 2.65 ERA (34 IP, 10 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
RHP Spencer Howard is slated to start for the Phillies. He is 0-2 with a 5.11 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 6.2 BB/9 in 10 games, including 6 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-5 loss at New York Yankees Wednesday
- As starter in 2021: 0-2, 3.86 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 6 outings
- Career vs. Nationals: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 2 starts
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Nationals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Phillies 4, Nationals 2
Money line (ML)
Back the PHILLIES (-115) to WIN 1 UNIT.
Philadelphia is decent at home this season at 29-19, while the Nationals are 18-28 on the road.
This will be the second time Howard and Ross face off this season. In the first meeting, the Phillies won at home 5-2 June 5.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
AVOID. Neither club is worthy of a run line bet.
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last six games and is 23-24 ATS at home.
Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 and is 20-26 ATS on the road.
If you’re looking for a trend, the Phillies are 6-2 ATS in the eight head-to-head meetings.
ATS records: Nationals 43-55 | Phillies 48-49
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 9.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.
The Nationals own the majors’ best Under record at 59-35-4 with a 25-18-3 Under mark on the road.
The Phillies have cashed more Over tickets, going 51-46-1 O/U overall but just 24-23-1 at home.
The Under is 6-2 in the eight head-to-head meetings, including the 5-2 final when Ross and Howard faced off. Neither pitcher allowed an earned run in that contest.
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
SINCE JULY 8 | 7-2 | 2-1 | +5.325 |
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment |
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