The Washington Nationals (25-38) and Atlanta Braves (40-24) wrap up a 3-game series on Sunday at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 1:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 4-1
The Nationals lost 6-4 Saturday for their 6th straight defeat and 9th in their last 11 games. They’ve allowing opponents to score 6.6 runs per game during the current losing streak.
Atlanta won their 7th straight game Saturday behind HRs from Ronald Acuna Jr and Marcel Ozuna. The Braves have won 8 of their last 9 games. They are scoring nearly 7 runs per game in their current win streak.
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Nationals at Braves projected starters
RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Williams (2-4, 4.15 ERA) will make his 13th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 60 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 11-3 home loss vs Philadelphia Phillies Sunday
- Last start vs Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 5-0 road loss on April 27, 2021
Elder (4-0, 2.26 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-4 home victory vs New York Mets Tuesday
- Last start vs Nationals: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 8-0 road victory on Sept. 26, 2022
Nationals at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Braves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-135) | Braves -2.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Nationals at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Nationals 2
Moneyline
The Braves are a huge favorite and with good reason. They will likely win this game but the moneyline is not the play. You need to put down nearly 3 units to win 1, that’s not a smart bet. Look to the run line.
AVOID.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -2.5 (+115)
These are 2 teams going in opposite directions. The Braves will complete their 2nd straight sweep to finish the homestand 6-0. Williams has not won a game on the road since April 8th and owns a 4.55 road ERA.
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Over/Under
I would lean to the UNDER 9.5 (-105) because Elder has owned the Nationals. He threw 6-hit shutout against them last year and is 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA in 3 starts, allowing only 4 ER in 20 1/3 IP with 3 BB and 16 K’s.
Washington is averaging just 3 runs per game over their 6-game losing streak and are in the bottom 10 in MLB in runs scored per game.
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