Updated Sooners game-by-game win probabilities per ESPN FPI after win over Texas

An updated look at Oklahoma’s game-by-game win probabilities per ESPN FPI after the Sooners’ incredible win over the Texas Longhorns.

The Oklahoma Sooners came up with an incredible win over the Texas Longhorns on Saturday. It was a game that, to the casual observer, would have looked out of reach for the average team.

For the Sooners, however, they’ve shown before that they can overcome large deficits in the Lincoln Riley era. You only have to go back to the game against Baylor when the Sooners fell behind big only to see Jalen Hurts provide a Herculean effort to bring Oklahoma back to win the football game in Waco.

With the win, the Oklahoma Sooners remain favorites per ESPN’s Football Power Index to win every single game. The win probability margin narrowed in four of their six remaining games. Only against Kansas and Texas Tech did their win probability grow from last week to this week.

The Sooners are in the driver’s seat in the Big 12, though they have a huge question to answer at quarterback this week. With a typically tough matchup against TCU on the horizon, the Sooners can’t afford to keep playing from behind every week. TCU’s offense poses some problems and Oklahoma will need to have a strong week at practice to be prepared for the challenge.