Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (65-69) and the Boston Red Sox (68-64) meet Wednesday to continue their 5-game series (including a makeup game). First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-3

Boston ended its 4-game losing streak Tuesday with a 6-3 victory behind some early offense. CF Jarren Duran led off with a HR and DH Masataka Yoshida’s singled in 2 more in the 1st inning. The Red Sox scored 3 runs in the 5th to take control.

Toronto left 9 runners on base, compared to Boston’s 4, as the Red Sox won as -135 home favorites. The Under (9.5) also hit.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Bassitt (9-12, 4.41 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 145 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-4 home win against Los Angeles Angels Friday.
  • 2024 road stats: 3-5, 3.90 ERA (60 IP, 26 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in last 5 starts vs. Red Sox

Bello (11-6, 4.95 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 129 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 12-2 home loss against Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-4, 5.54 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 12 starts
  • is 2-3 with a 6.94 ERA in last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 9, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The Red Sox are struggling to get the home field-advantage you would expect with a team with a winning record. They are just 30-37 (44.8%) in Fenway Park. And as a home favorite, the Red Sox post an even worse 20-29 record (40.8%).

Coming off a loss, Toronto usually bounces back with a record of 37-31 (54.4%). You can get them at plus money, which is a great value.

BET BLUE JAYS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

While I like Toronto straight up and to cover this, I don’t like them at a -175 run line. PASS and stick with the moneyline.

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Over/Under

In division games the Red Sox go Over 60% of the time (18-12-4), while the Blue Jays post the 2nd-highest Over rate at 65.9% (29-15). After going Under on Tuesday, the Over is the smart pick on Wednesday.

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-105).

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