The Toronto Blue Jays (62-50) and Boston Red Sox (57-53) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 7-2
The Blue Jays won 5-4 as -101 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Toronto has won 3 of its last 4 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the division-leading Baltimore Orioles.
The Red Sox lost on a double play when C Connor Wong flew out to left-center field and C Reese McGuire was doubled up at 2nd base. Boston has lost 3 straight contests and is last in the division, 11½ games behind Baltimore.
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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Chris Bassitt vs. LHP Brennan Bernardino
Bassitt (10-6, 4.00 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 132 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Orioles Monday
- 2023 road stats: 4-4, 5.63 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 39 ER) in 12 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road win with Oakland Athletics May 11, 2021
Bernardino (1-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 6th start and 34th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K as opener in 4-3 loss in 11 innings at San Francisco Giants last Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 1-1, 2.75 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts and 15 relief appearances
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.91 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 4 relief appearances – Most recent: Loss, 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in Saturday’s loss
Blue Jays at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
The Red Sox should avoid the sweep Sunday after dropping 2 straight vs. the Blue Jays. Boston has won 7 of 9 meetings this season vs. Toronto and the Blue Jays have lost in back-to-back games when Bassitt is starting. Toronto is just 10-23 in divisional games this season and it’s unlikely that it will sweep Boston Sunday.
BET RED SOX (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
The Blue Jays are 17-11 on the run line as road underdogs. Toronto +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Boston ML is the better play.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Under has hit in 9 of Toronto’s last 10 games and is 35-21-5 when the Blue Jays are coming off a win.
The Under has also hit in 8 of Boston’s last 11 games and should cash again Sunday in this divisional matchup.
BET UNDER 10 (-105).
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