Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (24-24) and Philadelphia Phillies (34-14) meet Tuesday to start a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rangers swept 3-0 last year

Texas was handed a 4-1 loss by the Los Angeles Angels Sunday, while failing to cover as a -155 home favorite. The Rangers scored their run in the 4th inning, but the Angels crossed the plate 4 times in the top of the 7th on 4 hits and 2 walks to take the rubber match of the 3-game set. The Rangers have dropped 7 of their last 9 outings.

Philadelphia routed the Washington Nationals 11-5 Sunday, covering as a -217 home favorite. 3B Alec Bohm homered and drove in 5 runs in the win as the Phillies completed a 3-game sweep of the Nats. Philadelphia has won 6 of its last 7 contests.

Rangers at Phillies projected starters

RHP Jon Gray vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Gray (2-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 52 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-0 home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 5-3, 4.18 ERA (56 IP, 26 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 across 10 starts

Suarez (8-0, 1.37 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 59 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER (2R), 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-5 home victory vs. New York Mets Wednesday
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1 start, loss, 5 IP, 3 ER (5R), 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-4 home defeat in 2022

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Rangers at Phillies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Phillies -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-154) | Phillies -1.5 (+128)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Rangers at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Rangers 3

Moneyline

LEAN PHILLIES (-162).

Philadelphia is 3-0 in its last 3 home outings and is 8-2 in its last 10 games overall, while the Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Phillies are also 19-8 at home this season.

This is a very slight lean because I am not a fan of betting on a line as juiced as this one, and because the Rangers are 12-0 in their last 12 matchups vs. Philadelphia dating back to 2014.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

Expect the Rangers to cover as +1.5 (-154) underdogs, especially given their recent dominance over the Phillies. However, this line is not worth the risk of betting on, so back the spread and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for the Rangers and is 4-2 in their last 6 road games. In their last 10 games overall, the Under is 6-4.

The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 6 Texas-Philadelphia matchups.

Be aware that the Over is 7-2-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 games.

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