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The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.
This week’s picks include a pair of teams currently destined to make a deep playoff run padding their resumes, one high number going Over, one low number going Under, and a three-point underdog making more noise against a division leader.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.
The demarcation between the good teams, struggling teams, and bad teams is playing itself out this week for those looking to wager on point spreads.
Only three of the 14 games have a current point spread of three points or fewer on the Week 10 slate, while six games have a spread of 6.5 points or more.
Numbers like scream that could be a lot of blowouts this week … or at least the perception that beat-downs are coming is clear.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Ravens are big favorites (6.5 points at -120 Bengals, -110 Ravens). Divisional games between playoff-hardened teams is rarely this high, but Baltimore is clicking – winning their last four games and seven of nine games this year by eight points or more. Take the Ravens and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (40.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). There is a reason. Both teams have hit Under this number in six of their nine games. They play field-position games that have field goals deciding them. Take Under 40.5 points (-105).
The Bears are strong home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots are in rebuild mode and that shows up on the road. Their last four losses included deficits of 21, 17, and 16 points. Take the Bears and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Bills are road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Colts are teetering on irrelevance, while the Bills are looking to stay with the other AFC big dogs. Buffalo has scored 30 or more points in six of nine games and the Colts aren’t equipped to compete with that. Take the Bills and lay 4 points (-110).
Once again, the Chiefs are big favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). We’ve been down this road before. The Chiefs win, but they don’t cover because their number is too high. I’ve taken the bait before. I am again. Take the Chiefs and lay 8.5 points (-110).
The Falcons are decent road favorites (3.5 points at -115 Falcons, -105 Saints). The Saints fired their head coach, and the Falcons have won five of the last six. Don’t buy into the “new coach bump” routine here. Take the Falcons and lay 3.5 points (-115).
The Chiefs are stiff road favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Bucs are likely without their top two receivers on a short week after going five quarters against the Chiefs, and Christian McCaffrey may be back. Take the 49ers and lay 5.5 points (-110).
If you at the hindsight strength of the opponents both teams have played, there hasn’t been a “signature win” among any of them. The Steelers defense is legit and make plays against those who take risks. Jayden Daniels takes risks. Take the Steelers on the moneyline (+120).
The Vikings are an impressive road favorite (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). Minnesota still needs to make some believers, and the banged-up Jaguars are starting to book January vacation destinations. Take the Vikings and lay 4.5 points (-110).
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The Chargers are prohibitive favorites (7.5 points at -105 Titans, -115 Chargers). In all six Tennessee losses, the Titans have scored 17 or fewer points. The Chargers’ five wins have come by 12, 23, 7, 18, and 7 points. Those are a good combination. Take the Chargers and lay 7.5 points (-115).
The Eagles are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Cowboys). These may be the most overrated teams in the league. Dak Prescott is out, but it’s hard to give a home team on the brink of disaster more than a TD cushion at home. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-115).
The Cardinals are favored by only one point at home. The Jets are on life support, so they will take more risks. Aaron Rodgers in a death match works here, because one more loss kills their season. Take the Jets on the moneyline (-110).
Detroit is a road favorite (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Lions are not only beating people, they’re beating up people. The Texans are a good team but can’t trade punches with a heavyweight from Detroit. Take the Lions and lay 3.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is huge (50 points at -110 for both Over and Under). It took until Week 10 for both teams to have all their star offensive players together on the same field, and they’re going let it fly under the primetime lights. Take Over 50 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 10 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 10.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
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The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
Sometimes the best thing to do when making prop bets is to go against the grain. So, this week, we do just that – we go against one of the top quarterbacks and the league’s most prolific fantasy scorer not hitting their numbers, a dynamic yet underachieving running back having his best game in a month, a running back who needs just seven yards to hit the Over, and midlevel tight end scoring a touchdown.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.
The second half of the 2023 season games began Thursday with the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears – not a matchup the NFL was particularly proud of, but it was on the schedule.
As the stretch run begins, this week’s picks spread across the board – a game to go Over, a game to stay Under, a road favorite taking care of business, the smallest home favorite making a stand, and the most under-the-radar Super Bowl favorite continuing to hand out beatings.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.
In Week 1, every NFL team had a plan and much of which revolved around the quarterback. But 2023 has been a strange animal, and players not expected to be starters have become them at an alarming rate.
Nine weeks into the 2023 season, the list of starting quarterbacks includes Joshua Dobbs, Clayton Tune, Taylor Heinicke, Andy Dalton, Tyson Bagent, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, PJ Walker, Brett Rypien, Brian Hoyer, Aidan O’Connell, Jaren Hall, Tyrod Taylor and Tommy DeVito. This list doesn’t include four highly touted rookies, who have started part of all of the season, or Jordan Love, who was handed the starting job after the Green Bay Packers traded Aaron Rodgers.
We’re only halfway through the season and the carnage at QB has been pronounced.
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These teams have combined for just three wins, which is why the Bears are small home favorites (2.5 points at -115 Panthers, -105 Bears). Carolina has been competitive at home but has been crushed on the road, losing by 14, 10, 18 and 21 points. It won’t be a blowout, but the Bears should have enough to cover vs. an injury-ravaged defense. Take the Bears and lay 2.5 points (-105).
The Patriots have been awful, because they average allowing their opponent to have the ball for seven more minutes a game. The Colts are a slight road favorite (1.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots have been brutal and nondescript on both sides of the ball, and I’m giving up on them. Take the Colts and lay 1.5 points (-110).
The Bengals are on a roll after winning four straight games, including beating playoff favorites Seattle, San Francisco and Buffalo. None of those games went past this Over/Under (47.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Houston has showed a lot of improvement, but the only way this games hits the over will require a shootout, which is unlikely. Take Under 47.5 points (-110).
The Vikings have won four straight but remain home underdogs (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Saints have been erratic, but have won their last two games and their last three wins have been by 34, 11 and 7 points. The Vikings are improved on defense, but the Saints have the weapons to do damage. Take the Saints and lay 2.5 points (-110).
The Packers broke a four-game losing streak last week, but they’re still brutal and have been outscored 91-36 in the first half this season. The Steelers are a small favorite (3 points at +100 Packers, -120 Steelers). The Steelers have been outgained by almost 100 yards a game but find ways to win and will do it again against a rebuilding Packers team. Take the Steelers and lay 3 points (-120).
The Buccaneers are the smallest of favorites (1 point at -115 Titans, -105 Buccaneers). The Buccaneers have lost four straight, but all of them have been close games they could have won. The key here is that Tennessee is 0-4 on the road and hasn’t scored more than 16 points in any of them. That should play in the Bucs’ favor. Take the Buccaneers and lay 1 point (-105).
Despite three straight losses, the 49ers are road favorites (3 points at -110 for the 49ers and Jaguars). San Francisco has scored 17 points in each of its last three games. The Jaguars have won five straight games and, while the 49ers have the deeper roster, the Jaguars don’t deserve to be a home underdog at 6-2. Take the Jaguars plus 3 points (-110).
The Ravens have been hammering opponents, which explains being a big home favorite (6 points at -110 for both teams). Baltimore is hitting on all cylinders, outscoring its opponents 106-33 in the last three games. In their first meeting, the Ravens won 28-3 and a blowout win is possible in this one, too. Take the Ravens and lay 6 points (-110).
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Kyler Murray is back, so the Over/Under is higher than expected (44 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Cardinals are 1-8 and have scored just 53 points in their last four games. In four road games this season, the Falcons have scored just 52 points. Too many things add up to this being a low-scoring contest. Take Under 44 points (-110).
The Chargers have won two straight to get back to .500, but the Lions are road favorites (3 points at -110 for both). Both teams are capable of putting up big points, but the Lions are coming off their bye week and are looking to cement their position as one of the top NFC teams. Take the Lions and lay 3 points (-110).
The Giants are massive 16.5-point underdogs, but the Over/Under is the bet here (38.5 points at -110 for both). In their last seven games, the Giants have scored just 70 points and were shut out 40-0 in their first meeting with the Cowboys. Dallas should roll in this one and keep the Giants’ score extremely low. Take Under 38.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under here is a little high (45.5 points at -110 for both), but Washington has scored 20 or more points in seven of nine games, and the Seahawks have scored 20 or more in five of their last seven. But Seattle has hit under this number in each of the last five games, and Washington has hit under this point threshold in three of the last four. Take Under 45.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is the lowest of the week (36 points at -110 for both). This comes despite the Raiders hitting over this number in each of their last four games, while the Jets have been under in their last three games (including two wins). It may take a defensive/special teams TD to go Over, but this point is just too low. Take Over 36 points (-110).
Denver has won two straight games, and Buffalo has been erratic, losing three of its last five games. But, the Bills remain a big favorite (7.5 points at -110 for both). The Bills are 4-1 at home and don’t struggle there as they do on the road. Look for the Bills to play up-tempo and get back to what they do best. Take the Bills and lay 7.5 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
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Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
