Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 10

Breaking down the top players and sleepers for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 10 DFS fantasy football

Am I the only person who finds it odd that we have early Sunday European football games on both of the weeks surrounding Daylight Savings Time but not on the day we all got up early anyhow? With Tom Brady planning a blitzkrieg versus Seattle in Munich and four teams on bye, we are once again left with 20 teams for the main slate. Hopefully, my recommendations this week are better than those of my namesake Sgt. Schultz. I hear that he claims to know nothing.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

Sunday Night

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ SAN FRANCISCO

Justin Herbert (QB2) has another tricky matchup. The injuries to his top WRs have really put a kibosh on my preseason prediction of NFL MVP for him. I still like him to throw for 250-2 here, which should push for QB2.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB3) will push with Herbert — posting roughly the same final line — for a lot less cost. This is why I’d rather start Garoppolo despite the mildly lower ceiling.

Running against the Niners is difficult. Only four RBs have scored a TD against them. Austin Ekeler (RB3) gets enough volume and opportunities to remain an RB1 option, just reduce your expectations. Isaiah Spiller (RB9) should only be used in Showdown contests. Sony Michel (RB11) can be ignored.

In contrast to San Francisco, the Chargers can be run through like a papier-mache wall. Christian McCaffrey (RB1) will have one of the best offensive box scores of the season. He is a must-start. Elijah Mitchell (knee – RB6) could even have flex value against Los Angeles, if he returns as expected.

Mike Williams (ankle – WR6) is still officially not on IR. I doubt he plays, but if he does, give him WR2 consideration. Keenan Allen (hamstring – WR4) suffered a setback last week and ended up missing an easy game against Atlanta. The Niners can be beaten through the air, so he could also draw WR2 value if he suits up. All this said we will likely be treated to another game where Joshua Palmer (WR7) and DeAndre Carter (WR10) lead this aerial attack. If both Allen and Williams remain out, I love Palmer at WR2, and Carter deserves WR3 consideration. Palmer could also be used at WR3 if either Allen or Williams plays. Michael Bandy (WR12) has 14 targets over his last two games. He would also make a very sneaky WR3 option if the team remains shorthanded.

Deebo Samuel (hamstring – WR2) received two weeks off to rest his injured hamstring. Signs point to his return here in a great spot to go off. He is one of my two choices for WR1 if he plays. Brandon Aiyuk (WR3) could also draw WR1 value if Samuel is out. If they both play use just one of them. Ray-Ray McCloud (WR14) and Jauan Jennings (hamstring – WR17) should be left for Showdown contests despite the positive matchup.

Gerald Everett (TE3) did not have the blow-up game I expected last week. San Fran has limited every TE not named Travis Kelce they have faced this year to minimal production. Everett won’t move the needle in that regard here.

Despite struggling against every other position, the Chargers amazingly have been stingy with the TE position. This will keep George Kittle (TE2) as the second option for the position this week. I like him to score a TD, but his yardage will be small.

Monday Night

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA

Taylor Heinicke (QB4) has been an effective game manager while Carson Wentz (finger – IR) has been out. We don’t have a QB controversy yet, but we may when Wentz returns. This is an awful matchup for a QB, so don’t reach here.

This is NOT an awful matchup for a QB. This is the absolute opposite of that. Jalen Hurts (QB1) has the easiest matchup on this slate. Three total TDs are incoming.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB5) and Antonio Gibson (RB4) continue to split the backfield touches for Washington. Gibson is the more talented back and gets the red-zone work, so I prefer him as an RB2 play. That said, either could fill your flex slot. J.D. McKissic (neck – RB8) missed last week with a neck injury. If he suits up, I’d leave him to Showdown for the risk of reinjury.

Washington is much tougher against the run than the pass. Still, this backfield poses headaches because of the collection of backs that Philly rolls out. Miles Sanders (RB2) is the strongest RB2 option on the board, having scored five times in the last five games. Kenneth Gainwell (RB7) doesn’t get the volume to be reliable most weeks. That said, I’d consider him a TD-dependent flex play here and a great Showdown option. Boston Scott (RB10) has had sporadic usage all season. I’m gonna pass on him here.

The Commanders hope to get Jahan Dotson (hamstring – WR13) back this week. It won’t help against this defense, which strangles outside WRs. Even if he plays, I wouldn’t use him outside of a dart throw on Showdown. This defense will also frustrate Terry McLaurin (WR8). The volume alone keeps him as a WR2/WR3 play, but I don’t like it considering his price. Curtis Samuel (WR9) is the best play here as Philly can be beaten by slot WRs. If Dotson remains out, you can maybe consider Cam Sims (WR16) or Dyami Brown (WR18) as a Showdown play. I wouldn’t, but you can.

The Brown that you want to play this slate is A.J. Brown (WR1). He is one of only two WRs that I would consider as my WR1 this week. DeVonta Smith (WR5) went ham in their earlier meeting. He won’t repeat that line, but I still love him as a WR2, if you pivot away from A.J. There is even an argument for playing both of them. Quez Watkins (WR11) could be a flex play if you need to save some money. I wouldn’t waste a spot on Zach Pascal (WR15), though.

Logan Thomas (calf – TE5) is supposedly back. That’s funny because his stat line looks like he belongs on a milk carton. The Eagles are easier to beat over the middle, but I don’t trust him here. If you need to start a Washington TE, consider John Bates (TE4) or Armani Rogers (TE6) as a punt.

Dallas Goedert (TE1) is the best choice on this slate. Build your stack around Hurts, Brown, and him, and then run it back with Samuel.

The Main Slate: recommended DFS lineups

DK Lineup: QB Trevor Lawrence ($5.4k), RB Saquon Barkley ($8.6k), RB Dalvin Cook ($8k), WR Tyreek Hill Jr. ($4.3k), WR Mecole Hardman ($4.5k), WR Amari Cooper ($6.5k), TE Cole Kmet ($3.4k), FLEX David Montgomery ($6k), DST Denver Broncos ($3k)

FD Lineup: QB Trevor Lawrence ($7k), RB Saquon Barkley ($9.5k), RB Khalil Herbert ($5.8k), WR Marvin Jones Jr. ($5.4k), WR Amon-Ra St. Brown ($6.9k), WR Darnell Mooney ($6.2k), TE T.J. Hockenson ($6k), FLEX Travis Kelce ($8.5k), DST Denver Broncos ($4.7k)

FB Lineup: QB Patrick Mahomes ($7.3k), RB Saquon Barkley ($7.3k), RB AJ Dillon ($5.1k), WR JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5.4k), WR Marvin Jones Jr. ($3.8k), WR Phillip Dorsett ($3k), TE Travis Kelce ($6.8k), FLEX Christian McCaffrey ($7.5k), FLEX Tyler Higbee ($3.7k)

Quarterbacks DraftKings FanDuel
Josh Allen $8,600 $9,200
Patrick Mahomes $7,900 $8,500
Kyler Murray $7,200 $7,800
Tua Tagovailoa $6,700 $8,100
Dak Prescott $6,600 $7,400
Justin Fields $6,500 $8,300
Kirk Cousins $6,000 $7,300
Russell Wilson $5,900 $6,900
Daniel Jones $5,700 $7,500
Derek Carr $5,600 $7,100
Matthew Stafford $5,600 $6,700
Andy Dalton $5,500 $6,800
Jared Goff $5,500 $7,200
Jacoby Brissett $5,400 $7,000
Trevor Lawrence $5,400 $7,000
Ryan Tannehill $5,200 $6,700
Davis Mills $5,100 $6,500
Kenny Pickett $5,100 $6,600
Case Keenum $5,000 $6,100
Malik Willis $5,000 $6,700
Sam Ehlinger $5,000 $6,400
Taysom Hill $5,000 N/A
Colt McCoy $4,900 $6,100
John Wolford $4,900 $6,100

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Injury concerns limit Josh Allen‘s appeal despite a decent matchup. This makes Patrick Mahomes and Tua Tagovailoa the top two choices at QB this week. If you don’t opt for those two consider Derek CarrAndy DaltonJacoby Brissett, or my favorite play, Trevor Lawrence.

Fantasy Four-pack

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs vs. JAX
($7,900 DK, $8,500 FD)
Jacksonville allows the fourth-most passing yards per game on the road. That sets up nicely for Mahomes, who leads the league in passing TDs and passing yards despite already having had his bye.

Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins vs. CLE
($6,700 DK, $8,100 FD)
The Browns are competent against the pass, but they are by no means elite. They will struggle to face off against both Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. Tagovailoa is coming off of a pair of 300-plus-yard, three-TD performances. He could get the hat trick here.

Justin Fields, Bears vs. DET ($6,500 DK, $8,300 FD) I don’t fully trust Fields as a passer, just yet. What I do trust, is that Detroit has no defense whatsoever. I also trust the numbers in front of my eyes that say that Fields is averaging over 100 rushing yards per game since Week 6. That rushing yardage should keep Fields very relevant this week.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys @ GB
($6,600 DK, $7,400 FDIt took a full game plus for Prescott to get his game legs back. Now, he faces a Green Bay defense that has a defensive injury list that reads like War and Peace. With 250-2 seeming like his floor here, Dalton Schultz is my favorite stack piece.

DFS Sleepers

Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars @ KC
($5,400 DK, $7,000 FD)
We know that Jacksonville will be forced to throw the ball to stay close to KC. Fortunately, Lawrence has enough weapons to choose from. I suggest stacking him with Marvin JonesZay Jones, or Evan Engram because everyone else will be stacking him with Christian Kirk

Jacoby Brissett, Browns @ MIA
($5,400 DK, $7,000 FD
Miami has an elite passing offense. They also have a vulnerable passing defense and a downright bad defense against QBs that like to run. If you want exposure to this game without using Tua Tagovailoa, consider stacking Brissett with Amari Cooper and running it back with one of the Dolphins WRs.

Running Backs DraftKings FanDuel
Saquon Barkley $8,600 $9,500
Derrick Henry $8,300 $9,400
Nick Chubb $8,100 $9,000
Dalvin Cook $8,000 $7,500
Josh Jacobs $7,600 $8,400
Jonathan Taylor $7,500 $7,000
Alvin Kamara $7,400 $8,600
Aaron Jones $7,200 $7,200
Travis Etienne $7,100 $8,000
AJ Dillon $6,700 $7,000
Tony Pollard $6,500 $7,000
D’Andre Swift $6,400 $6,800
Dameon Pierce $6,300 $7,700
James Conner $6,200 $6,300
Raheem Mostert $6,100 $5,900
David Montgomery $6,000 $6,700
Ezekiel Elliott $6,000 $7,000
Jamaal Williams $5,900 $7,400
Khalil Herbert $5,900 $5,800
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $5,800 $6,200
Eno Benjamin $5,700 $5,500
Melvin Gordon $5,700 $5,700
Alexander Mattison $5,600 $5,200
Devin Singletary $5,600 $5,600
Jeff Wilson Jr.  $5,500 $6,500
Najee Harris $5,500 $6,400
Deon Jackson $5,400 $5,500
Nyheim Hines $5,400 $5,500
Kareem Hunt $5,300 $5,800
Latavius Murray $5,200 $5,700
Darrell Henderson $5,100 $6,100
Isiah Pacheco $5,000 $6,200
Dwayne Washington $4,800 $5,500
James Cook $4,800 $5,200
Jerick McKinnon $4,800 $5,500
Chase Edmonds $4,700 $5,100
Dontrell Hilliard $4,700 $5,700
Zack Moss $4,600 $5,600
Cam Akers $4,500 $5,500
Jordan Wilkins $4,000 $5,400
Phillip Lindsay $4,000 $5,300

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Saquon Barkley should approach 100% ownership, and rightfully so. Nick Chubb and Dalvin Cook are my pivots. I expect Travis Etienne to post a huge game through the air. AJ Dillon could also have a solid game if Aaron Jones (ankle) is limited or out. If you want to go cheap use one of the Bears or one of the Dolphins.

Fantasy Four-pack

Saquon Barkley,  Giants vs. HOU
($8,600 DK, $9,500 FD)
We will consider it a failure if Barkley doesn’t top 170-2 against this defense. Five different individuals have already topped 25 PPR points against Houston and three have topped 30 points. Barkley will pass both of those marks, too.

Nick Chubb, Browns @ MIA
($8,100 DK, $9,000 FD)
I wish Chubb was more involved in the passing offense. He will post his standard floor of 120-1. Of course, if he wasn’t a passing-game afterthought, he could produce a slate-breaking line this week. We know the Browns will also use Kareem Hunt in this game. He could even earn some flex appeal. 

Dalvin Cook, Vikings @ BUF ($8,000 DK, $7,500 FDIn the matchup of Cook versus Cook, we can only recommend one of the Cooks, Dalvin. Over the last two games, both Green Bay and the Jets have rattled the Buffalo defense with their RBs. Plus, if Josh Allen is limited or out, the Vikes will have an even better chance at implementing a ball-control offense here. Oh yeah, Cook also gets the FD discount, which always gets me salivating.

Derrick Henry, Titans vs. DEN
($8,300 DK, $9,400 FD)
  Throwing against Denver is impossible. That is a good trend for Tennessee, since they curmudgeonly refuse to adopt the new concept known as the forward pass. Only five teams are allowing more yards per carry than Denver. Meanwhile, Henry has scored and/or topped 100 yards in each of his last seven games. His 130-1 floor is safe here. 

DFS Sleepers

David Montgomery, Bears vs. DET
($6,000 DK, $6,700 FD) Khalil Herbert
has actually been more efficient with his touches than Montgomery. It won’t matter here as both will approach 100-1 — that is assuming that Justin Fields is willing to share. Since Week 5, Montgomery has a 67% vs 32% opportunity advantage over Herbert, so his floor is the safest.

Jeff Wilson Jr., Dolphins vs. CLE ($5,500 DK, $6,500 FD) Wilson split carries with Raheem Mostert last week. Still, it was Wilson that averaged 5.7 yards per carry versus only 2.9 yards per carry for Mostert. Wilson was also more efficient with his targets. Both backs are in play here, but Wilson seems like the safer choice. Cleveland has allowed the second-most rushing TDs this season. Don’t be surprised if they both score once again.  

Wide receivers DraftKings FanDuel
Tyreek Hill $9,100 $9,000
Cooper Kupp $9,000 $9,200
Justin Jefferson $8,800 $8,600
Davante Adams $8,700 $8,500
Stefon Diggs $8,300 $9,100
DeAndre Hopkins $8,000 $8,300
Jaylen Waddle $7,600 $8,200
CeeDee Lamb $7,000 $7,600
Amon-Ra St. Brown $6,900 $6,900
Chris Olave $6,800 $7,500
Amari Cooper $6,500 $7,800
Gabe Davis $6,400 $6,500
Michael Pittman Jr. $6,200 $6,300
Allen Lazard $6,100 $6,700
JuJu Smith-Schuster $6,000 $7,000
Christian Kirk $5,900 $6,800
Diontae Johnson $5,800 $6,600
Jerry Jeudy $5,700 $6,400
Courtland Sutton $5,600 $6,200
Darnell Mooney $5,500 $6,200
Adam Thielen $5,400 $5,900
Brandin Cooks $5,300 $6,100
Romeo Doubs $5,200 $6,000
Rondale Moore $5,200 $5,800
George Pickens $5,000 $5,600
Kadarius Toney $5,000 $5,500
Michael Gallup $4,900 $5,700
Robert Woods $4,900 $5,600
Allen Robinson $4,800 $5,700
Chase Claypool $4,800 $5,800
Isaiah McKenzie $4,700 $5,200
Wan’Dale Robinson $4,700 $5,600
Darius Slayton $4,600 $5,800
Josh Reynolds $4,600 $5,700
Jarvis Landry $4,500 $5,500
Mecole Hardman $4,500 $6,000
Kalif Raymond $4,400 $5,300
Zay Jones $4,400 $5,500
Donovan Peoples-Jones $4,300 $5,700
Marvin Jones $4,300 $5,400
Tre’Quan Smith $4,300 $5,200
Mack Hollins $4,200 $5,500
Alec Pierce $4,100 $5,500
Marquez Valdes-Scantling $4,100 $5,400
Noah Brown $4,100 $5,200
K.J. Osborn $4,000 $5,200
Nico Collins $4,000 $5,500
Sammy Watkins $4,000 $5,100
Chris Moore $3,900 $5,300
Parris Campbell $3,900 $5,400
Samori Toure $3,900 $5,000
KJ Hamler $3,800 $5,000
Christian Watson $3,700 $5,400
Rashid Shaheed $3,700 $5,300
Marquez Callaway $3,600 $5,000
Phillip Dorsett $3,600 $5,200
Van Jefferson $3,500 $5,100
Greg Dortch $3,400 $4,800
Ben Skowronek $3,300 $5,400
Robbie Anderson $3,200 $4,900
Cedrick Wilson $3,100 $5,000
Amari Rodgers $3,000 $4,700

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – The Dolphins’ dynamic duo can each be considered at WR1. I’d also look at Justin Jefferson or Davante Adams. Unfortunately, I am spending a lot of money on RBs this week. This means that I will price down at WR1 using either Amon-Ra St. Brown or Amari Cooper. For WR2 choose one of the Chiefs, Christian Kirk, or Darnell Mooney. If you don’t use Kirk, use one of the other Jaguars at WR3. You can also roll out one of the Giants or Texans against each other.

Fantasy Four-pack

Justin Jefferson, Vikings @ BUF
($8,800 DK, $8,600 FD)
Buffalo is very good against the pass, but they are dealing with some DB injuries. Pair this with Adam Thielen (ankle) dealing with an injury of his own and we could see the perfect storm for Jefferson to be peppered. Plus, we get another case of FD pricing being below DK, which is always a pleasant find.

Tyreek Hill, Dolphins vs. CLE
($9,100 DK, $9,000 FD)
The price is approaching absurdity for Hill. Still, he keeps on delivering. Hill now has topped 140 receiving yards in five of nine games. I’d like to see more TDs from him, but who is seriously complaining?

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions @ CHI
($6,900 DK, $6,900 FD)
St. Brown has established himself as a legit alpha WR. He can produce as the only weapon for this offense or when sharing the field with other talents. Neither of these teams cares much for the concept of defense, so this game could end up with higher scoring. This would secure the “sun god” a heavenly final line.

Davante Adams, Raiders vs. IND
($8,700 DK, $8,500 FD)
What is up with FD this week? Three of the top WRs have prices below their DK equivalents. Indy ranks among the elite against the pass, but they haven’t been tested at all this season. Adams will once again be without Darren Waller (IR – hamstring) and Hunter Renfrow (IR – oblique), so his already gaudy target share will go through the roof.

DFS Sleepers

Marvin Jones, Jaguars @ KC
($4,300 DK, $5,400 FD)
KC has struggled all season with big-bodied outside WRs, such as Jones. With most of the DFS world playing Christian Kirk, I recommend pivoting and using Marvin or Zay Jones in my stacks with Trevor Lawrence. 

Darnell Mooney, Bears vs. DET
($5,500 DK, $6,200 FD)
Despite his early season struggles, Mooney has seen five or more targets in every game since Week 3. He also finally made it into the end zone last week. Meanwhile, Detroit has allowed four of their last five opponents’ WR1s to go berserk.

Tight ends DraftKings FanDuel
Travis Kelce $7,800 $8,500
Taysom Hill N/A $6,500
T.J. Hockenson $5,300 $6,000
Zach Ertz $5,200 $6,300
Pat Freiermuth $4,200 $5,600
David Njoku $4,100 $5,800
Dalton Schultz $3,800 $5,500
Robert Tonyan $3,700 $5,000
Tyler Higbee $3,600 $6,000
Mike Gesicki $3,500 $5,100
Cole Kmet $3,400 $5,300
Greg Dulcich $3,400 $5,900
Dawson Knox $3,300 $5,000
Evan Engram $3,300 $4,900
Foster Moreau $3,200 $5,200
Juwan Johnson $3,000 $4,800
Mo Alie-Cox $2,800 $4,600
Brock Wright $2,700 $4,500
Harrison Bryant $2,700 $4,800
James Mitchell $2,700 $4,300
Brevin Jordan $2,600 $4,500
Adam Trautman $2,500 $4,500
Austin Hooper $2,500 $4,600
Chigoziem Okonkwo $2,500 $4,400
Teagan Quitoriano $2,500 $4,300
Josiah Deguara $2,600 $4,700
Dan Arnold $2,500 $4,400

Tight End

Weekly strategy – Finally, we get Travis Kelce back in the main slate. The price is high, but he is worth it. T.J. Hockenson and Tyler Higbee are the best pivots up top. I also love the idea of punting with either Greg Dulcich or Cole Kmet on DK.

Fantasy Four-pack

Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. JAX
($7,800 DK, $8,500 FD
Kelce versus a defense that has faced only two top-10 TEs this season? Yes, Please. The price is high, but you are guaranteed 8-100-1.

T.J. Hockenson, Vikings @ BUF
($5,300 DK, $6,000 FD)
Hockenson caught all nine of his targets just five days after arriving with Minnesota. Now, he has had a full week of practice to get in sync with Kirk Cousins. The easiest place to attack Buffalo is in the middle of the field, so another big target game is pending.

Tyler Higbee, Rams vs. ARI
($3,600 DK, $6,000 FD)
The concussion for Matthew Stafford concerns me, as does Higbee’s recent decline in usage. Still, Higbee has had some monster games this season. Plus, backup QBs historically tend to lean on their TEs. Higbee will make a great target to lean on as Arizona has no clue how to cover the position.

Zach Ertz, Cardinals @ LAR ($5,200 DK, $6,300 FD) The same backup QB logic could come into play here if Colt McCoy is forced to start. Whoever is at the helm will want to keep Ertz involved. Ertz’s targets and yards have slipped since the return of DeAndre Hopkins, but he has scored in each of the last two games. I’d settle for 5-50-1.

DFS Sleepers

Cole Kmet, Bears vs. DET
($3,400 DK, $5,300 FD)
Don’t look now but Kmet has scored in back-to-back games as Chicago has opened up their passing offense. Meanwhile, Detroit has surrendered four TE scores in their last five contests. You shouldn’t go crazy and triple-stack this offense, but do up two separate lineups with one stacking Justin Fields and Kmet and one with Fields and Darnell Mooney.

Greg Dulcich, Broncos @ TEN ($3,400 DK, $5,900 FD) Dulcich has emerged as my favorite sleeper TE over the last few weeks. During Weeks 6 through 8, Dulcich was ninth in targets, seventh in receptions, and third in receiving yards at the position. Tennessee’s pass defense is shaky, at best, and Dulcich will finish with another top-five showing here.

Fantasy football start/bench list: Week 10

Check out where your roster options fit into our Week 10 start/bench tiers.

Player analysis and projections can be found in our Start/Bench Tool customized to your myHuddle league scoring and rosters. All player listings by groups are in no particular order.

Key: Upgrade / Downgrade

QUARTERBACKS WIDE RECEIVERS
BEST BETS Opp BEST BETS Opp
Patrick Mahomes JAC Tyreek Hill CLE
Jalen Hurts WAS A.J. Brown WAS
GREAT STARTS Opp Stefon Diggs MIN
Josh Allen MIN Cooper Kupp ARI
Justin Fields DET DeAndre Hopkins @LAR
SOLID STARTERS Opp GREAT STARTS Opp
Tom Brady SEA J. Jefferson @BUF
Andy Dalton @PIT Davante Adams IND
Geno Smith @TB J. Smith-Schuster JAC
Dak Prescott @GB Joshua Palmer @SF
Kirk Cousins @BUF Jaylen Waddle CLE
Kyler Murray @LAR DK Metcalf @TB
Trevor Lawrence @KC Chris Olave @PIT
Tua Tagovailoa CLE DJ Moore ATL
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp SOLID STARTERS Opp
Kenny Pickett NO Terry McLaurin @PHI
M. Stafford ARI DeVonta Smith WAS
Justin Herbert @SF Mike Evans SEA
Marcus Mariota @CAR M. Pittman Jr. @LVR
Russell Wilson @TEN Rondale Moore @LAR
Daniel Jones HOU Amari Cooper @MIA
Aaron Rodgers DAL A. St. Brown @CHI
Jimmy Garoppolo LAC Deebo Samuel LAC
Derek Carr IND T. Marshall Jr. ATL
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp Curtis Samuel @PHI
PJ Walker ATL Chris Godwin SEA
Jared Goff @CHI Darnell Mooney DET
Sam Ehlinger @LVR Adam Thielen @BUF
Ryan Tannehill DEN Gabe Davis MIN
Davis Mills @NYG CeeDee Lamb @GB
Taylor Heinicke @PHI Mecole Hardman JAC
Jacoby Brissett @MIA Allen Lazard DAL
RUNNING BACKS Christian Kirk @KC
BEST BETS Opp Brandon Aiyuk LAC
C. McCaffrey LAC George Pickens NO
Saquon Barkley HOU Tyler Lockett @TB
Derrick Henry DEN Jerry Jeudy @TEN
Austin Ekeler @SF FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
GREAT STARTS Opp Diontae Johnson NO
C. Patterson @CAR Marvin Jones @KC
L. Fournette SEA Brandin Cooks @NYG
D’Onta Foreman ATL Allen Robinson ARI
SOLID STARTERS Opp DeAndre Carter @SF
Josh Jacobs IND Zay Jones @KC
Alvin Kamara @PIT C. Sutton @TEN
K. Walker III @TB Kalif Raymond @CHI
Dameon Pierce @NYG D. Peoples-Jones @MIA
Nick Chubb @MIA Drake London @CAR
Dalvin Cook @BUF Mack Hollins IND
Aaron Jones DAL W. Robinson HOU
D’Andre Swift @CHI SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
Jamaal Williams @CHI Darius Slayton HOU
D. Montgomery DET Chris Moore @NYG
Antonio Gibson @PHI Hunter Renfrow IND
Travis Etienne @KC O. Zaccheaus @CAR
Miles Sanders WAS Chase Claypool DET
Najee Harris NO Kadarius Toney JAC
C. Edwards-Helaire JAC Rashid Shaheed @PIT
James Conner @LAR Damiere Byrd @CAR
Tony Pollard @GB Michael Gallup @GB
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp Parris Campbell @LVR
Jeff Wilson Jr. CLE Alec Pierce @LVR
Rachaad White SEA Robbie Anderson @LAR
Kareem Hunt @MIA Van Jefferson ARI
D. Singletary MIN Keenan Allen @SF
Ezekiel Elliott @GB Jarvis Landry @PIT
D. Henderson ARI Nico Collins @NYG
B. Robinson Jr. @PHI Jahan Dotson @PHI
Tyler Allgeier @CAR Robert Woods DEN
Raheem Mostert CLE DEFENSIVE TEAMS
Khalil Herbert DET BEST BETS Opp
M. Gordon III @TEN Eagles WAS
Latavius Murray @TEN GREAT STARTS Opp
Deon Jackson @LVR Cowboys @GB
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp SOLID STARTERS Opp
Chase Edmonds @TEN Raiders IND
Chuba Hubbard ATL Dolphins CLE
Nyheim Hines MIN Titans DEN
Cam Akers ARI Saints @PIT
Zack Moss @LVR Seahawks @TB
Isiah Pacheco JAC Rams ARI
Jonathan Taylor @LVR FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
Jaylen Warren NO Broncos @TEN
AJ Dillon DAL 49ers LAC
Jerick McKinnon JAC Chiefs JAC
TIGHT ENDS Giants HOU
BEST BETS Opp Bills MIN
Travis Kelce JAC Bears DET
GREAT STARTS Opp SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
T.J. Hockenson @BUF Falcons @CAR
SOLID STARTERS Opp Buccaneers SEA
David Njoku @MIA Commanders @PHI
Dalton Schultz @GB Jaguars @KC
Dawson Knox MIN Colts @LVR
Evan Engram @KC Cardinals @LAR
Pat Freiermuth NO Browns @MIA
Dallas Goedert WAS Texans @NYG
George Kittle LAC Steelers NO
Gerald Everett @SF Lions @CHI
Kyle Pitts @CAR Chargers @SF
Cade Otton SEA Packers DAL
Zach Ertz @LAR Vikings @BUF
Cole Kmet DET Panthers ATL
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
Mike Gesicki CLE
Robert Tonyan DAL
Noah Fant @TB
Taysom Hill @PIT
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
Foster Moreau IND
Logan Thomas @PHI
Tyler Higbee ARI
Darren Waller IND
Austin Hooper DEN

The best fantasy football gamble of Week 10

Win, lose or draw, this rookie has a bright outlook in Week 10.

Every week, at least one player becomes my fascination of whether he’s worthy of a fantasy football start or bench. The decision can be a mental wrestling match, but for the purpose of brevity, only one player can be chosen as the fantasy football gamble of the week.

The best fantasy football gamble for Week 10

Tracking my predictions: 3-6-0
Win: Player produces ≥ 75% of projected fantasy points
Loss: Player produces >75% of projected fantasy points
Tie: Player is ejected or leaves with an injury

It wasn’t pretty, but last week’s recommendation of Jordan Love met the threshold by being 80.1 percent accurate. I projected 272 passing yards, 30 rushing yards, two TDs and an interception. He finished 258-1-1 with 20 yards on the ground, but every moment felt like a struggle.

This week, I’ve decided to stick with the quarterback position and roll the dice on a rookie who has not thrown for more than one TD pass since the season opener. He scored 5.1 fantasy points last week … it doesn’t get much riskier than that!

QB Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

Fresh off a stunning 9-6 win over the Buffalo Bills, the Jaguars’ prized quarterback began his career with three touchdown strikes and 332 yards in a losing bid against the Houston Texans. Since, he has two games without a TD throw, including last week. Lawrence completed five games sandwiched in between with fewer than 240 yards and no more than a score. The only moderate improvement along the way was 273 yards, one TD, an interception and a rushing score against the Tennessee Titans in Week 5.

Jacksonville may have to start backup running back Carlos Hyde again, but James Robinson has a chance to play through his heel injury if it isn’t too painful. The Jaguars have an awful matchup on the ground vs. the Colts this week, which will direct attention toward capable tight end Dan Arnold and the short-area passing game to help act as an extension of the ground game. Lawrence will need to dink and dunk his way down the field more often than not as the Jaguars have no true vertical threat.

[lawrence-related id=461966]

WRs Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault and Jamal Agnew aren’t world-beaters, but we’ve seen enough from them to suggest they are capable of doing enough damage against Indy’s laughably bad defense of the position to elevate Lawrence’s play. Twelve receivers have scored at least 10 PPR points against Indy in 2021, including the likes of such “stars” as Keelan Cole, Elijah Moore and DeVante Parker.

Indianapolis is likely to hang some points on the Jaguars, causing Jacksonville into a pass-heavy script. The New York Jets’ second- and third-string quarterbacks were able to obliterate this pass D last week as a ragtag group of wideouts had their way on Thursday Night Football. This defense has had the misfortune of facing some of the best quarterbacks in the league, which inflates the figures a bit, but it’s impossible to ignore what we witnessed as the Jets’ backups combined for 38.5 fantasy points.

Over the course of the year, the Colts have given up the second-most fantasy points per game (26.0) to the position. Since Week 4, this figure increased to 27.2, and the matchup is 25.4 percent better than the league average in that time.

So, what’s a reasonable expectation for a quarterback who has no more than 22.7 fantasy points in any single game this year? It all comes down to game script. This could go off the rails if the Jaguars play defense like we saw a week ago, but a season’s worth of games argues it is improbable.

The best-case scenario for Lawrence is Indy runs roughshod over them in the first half and the rookie has to throw 40-plus times. He has done that three times in eight outings, and a pair of them resulted in his two best fantasy showings. Considering he has scored twice on the ground in the last five games, there’s also a hint of added upside for a TD, especially if Robinson is out or has limitations.

My projection: 286 passing yards, 22 rushing yards, 2 TD passes, 1 INT (23.5 fantasy points)

Fantasy football start/bench list: Week 10

Check out where your roster options fit into our Week 10 start/bench tiers.

Player analysis and projections can be found in our Start/Bench Tool customized to your myHuddle league scoring and rosters. All player listings by groups are in no particular order.

Key: Upgrade / Downgrade

QUARTERBACKS WIDE RECEIVERS
BEST BETS Opp BEST BETS Opp
Tom Brady @WAS Keenan Allen MIN
Josh Allen @NYJ Davante Adams SEA
Lamar Jackson @MIA Cooper Kupp @SF
GREAT STARTS Opp Mike Evans @WAS
Aaron Rodgers SEA Chris Godwin @WAS
Justin Herbert MIN GREAT STARTS Opp
Dak Prescott ATL M. Pittman Jr. JAC
SOLID STARTERS Opp Amari Cooper ATL
Russell Wilson @GB DK Metcalf @GB
B. Roethlisberger DET Diontae Johnson DET
Kirk Cousins @LAC CeeDee Lamb ATL
Carson Wentz JAC Stefon Diggs @NYJ
Trevor Lawrence @IND J. Jefferson @LAC
Patrick Mahomes @LVR Cole Beasley @NYJ
M. Stafford @SF A.J. Brown NO
Ryan Tannehill NO Marquise Brown @MIA
Matt Ryan @DAL SOLID STARTERS Opp
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp E. Sanders @NYJ
Mike White BUF Tyler Lockett @GB
Mac Jones CLE D. Peoples-Jones @NE
Jalen Hurts @DEN Marvin Jones @IND
Derek Carr KC Robert Woods @SF
Taylor Heinicke TB R. Gage Jr. @DAL
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp Deebo Samuel LAR
T. Bridgewater PHI Hunter Renfrow KC
Baker Mayfield @NE Adam Thielen @LAC
Taysom Hill @TEN Jaylen Waddle BAL
P.J. Walker @ARI Julio Jones NO
Kyler Murray CAR Jamal Agnew @IND
Jimmy Garoppolo LAR Jerry Jeudy PHI
Trevor Siemian @TEN Tyreek Hill @LVR
Jared Goff @PIT DeVonta Smith @DEN
Jacoby Brissett BAL FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
Tua Tagovailoa BAL M. Callaway @TEN
Colt McCoy CAR O. Zaccheaus @DAL
RUNNING BACKS Mecole Hardman @LVR
BEST BETS Opp M. Valdes-Scantling SEA
Dalvin Cook @LAC Tim Patrick PHI
Najee Harris DET Mike Williams MIN
Jonathan Taylor JAC Christian Kirk CAR
GREAT STARTS Opp Allen Lazard SEA
C. McCaffrey @ARI Van Jefferson @SF
C. Patterson @DAL Kendrick Bourne CLE
Alvin Kamara @TEN A. St. Brown @PIT
Austin Ekeler MIN Jarvis Landry @NE
Ezekiel Elliott ATL C. Sutton PHI
SOLID STARTERS Opp Terry McLaurin TB
D’Andre Swift @PIT Jakobi Meyers CLE
James Conner CAR Brandon Aiyuk LAR
Aaron Jones SEA Chase Claypool DET
Brandon Bolden CLE Rondale Moore CAR
Mark Ingram @TEN Rashod Bateman @MIA
Nyheim Hines JAC D.J. Moore @ARI
J.D. McKissic TB Deonte Harris @TEN
Jordan Howard @DEN Tajae Sharpe @DAL
Myles Gaskin BAL Jamison Crowder BUF
Josh Jacobs KC Kalif Raymond @PIT
D. Henderson @SF Zach Pascal JAC
Devonta Freeman @MIA L. Shenault Jr. @IND
M. Gordon III PHI Elijah Moore BUF
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
Michael Carter BUF Corey Davis BUF
Darrel Williams @LVR Zay Jones KC
Mike Davis @DAL Keelan Cole BUF
Ty Johnson BUF N. Westbrook-Ikhine NO
Antonio Gibson TB T. Marshall Jr. @ARI
AJ Dillon SEA DeSean Jackson KC
J. McNichols NO Antonio Brown @WAS
Adrian Peterson NO DeAndre Hopkins CAR
James Robinson @IND Bryan Edwards KC
Elijah Mitchell LAR Quez Watkins @DEN
L. Fournette @WAS Randall Cobb SEA
Javonte Williams PHI Robby Anderson @ARI
D. Singletary @NYJ Devin Duvernay @MIA
Kenyan Drake KC K.J. Osborn @LAC
Alex Collins @GB Nelson Agholor CLE
D’Ernest Johnson @NE Mack Hollins BAL
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp Tre’Quan Smith @TEN
K. Gainwell @DEN Michael Gallup ATL
Boston Scott @DEN Byron Pringle @LVR
Le’Veon Bell @MIA A.J. Green CAR
Carlos Hyde @IND DEFENSIVE TEAMS
Eno Benjamin CAR BEST BETS Opp
Ronald Jones @WAS Bills @NYJ
Latavius Murray @MIA Steelers DET
Nick Chubb @NE GREAT STARTS Opp
Damien Harris CLE Ravens @MIA
Zack Moss @NYJ Cardinals CAR
R. Stevenson CLE Rams @SF
Jamaal Williams @PIT SOLID STARTERS Opp
Sony Michel @SF Buccaneers @WAS
Salvon Ahmed BAL Patriots CLE
Tony Pollard ATL Eagles @DEN
TIGHT ENDS Raiders KC
BEST BETS Opp Colts JAC
Darren Waller KC Titans NO
Travis Kelce @LVR FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
George Kittle LAR Panthers @ARI
GREAT STARTS Opp Cowboys ATL
Mike Gesicki BAL Chargers MIN
Pat Freiermuth DET Chiefs @LVR
SOLID STARTERS Opp Broncos PHI
Kyle Pitts @DAL Saints @TEN
Dan Arnold @IND Browns @NE
Tyler Conklin @LAC SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
T.J. Hockenson @PIT Seahawks @GB
Mark Andrews @MIA Jets BUF
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp Falcons @DAL
Jack Doyle JAC Vikings @LAC
Hunter Henry CLE Lions @PIT
Tyler Higbee @SF Football Team TB
Dallas Goedert @DEN Jaguars @IND
Zach Ertz CAR 49ers LAR
David Njoku @NE Dolphins BAL
Dalton Schultz ATL Packers SEA
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
Logan Thomas TB
Austin Hooper @NE
Gerald Everett @GB
Jared Cook MIN
Donald Parham MIN
Adam Trautman @TEN
R. Seals-Jones TB
Dawson Knox @NYJ
Geoff Swaim NO
Rob Gronkowski @WAS