Tag: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds open their seasons with the 1st game of a 3-game set Thursday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Reds won 4-3 last season

The Nationals finished last season with a 71-91 record, good for last in the NL East. They finished 4 games behind the New York Mets and 33 behind the 1st-place Atlanta Braves. Washington had a 37-44 road record last year.

Cincinnati finished 3rd in the NL Central last season, just 1 game behind the Chicago Cubs. It was 82-80 on the season and 38-43 at home. The Reds were hit hard with injuries during training camp with the most notable being 2B Matt McLain, who tore his labrum and is expected to miss an extended period of time.

Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Gray (8-13, 3.91 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.46 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 159 innings last season.

  • 2023 road stats: 4-7, 2.97 ERA (100 IP, 33 ER) in 18 starts
  • 2023 vs. Reds: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER (5 R), 8 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 9-2 home loss July 5
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts

Montas (5-12, 4.05 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 144 1/3 IP with the New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics in 2022 — only pitched 1 1/3 innings in 2023 due to right shoulder surgery.

  • 2022 home stats: 2-7, 3.11 ERA (89 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 0-0, 33.75 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 relief appearances — last faced Washington in 2017

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Nationals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Reds -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Reds -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the home Reds (-155) to beat a Nationals team that struggled last season and has made minimal offseason improvements.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS -1.5 (+125).

Montas will be the difference maker in this matchup. He is seeing his 1st action in a year and coming off shoulder surgery. Montas has displayed good control over his career and is looking to turn the page after his injury. While the Reds dealt with a difficult spring training, expect their bats to be hot in front of their home crowd.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (+100).

The Under is 7-3 between these teams dating back to Aug. 2022. In last season’s series, the Under went 2-5. Both teams are navigating difficulties, but the Nationals will make the difference here. Both teams finished with a below-.500 Over record last season.

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (59-54) welcome the Washington Nationals (48-63) to Great American Ball Park Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-2

The Nationals took down the Reds 7-3 Saturday and won the series opener 6-3 in 10 innings Friday. Washington is 26-29 on the road this season and is 23 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the NL East.

The Reds are just 3-7 over their last 10 games and have fallen 1 1/2 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. Cincinnati is 28-28 at home this season and had swept Washington in a 4-game set from July 3-6.

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Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Jake Irving vs. RHP Lyon Richardson

Irving (3-5, 4.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 79 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-3 home victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • Home stats: 2-4, 4.83 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 32 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 3-2 loss on July 3

Richardson makes his 1st career start. He is 0-2 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 through 58 IP across 19 starts for A-Dayton, AA-Chattanooga and AAA-Louisville.

  • 2nd round draft pick in 2018
  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K for AAA-Louisville on July 28

Nationals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Reds -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Reds -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nationals will get to face Richardson, a rising prospect. While they should be able to hang close, the run line presents better value. Cincinnati (-160) has struggled lately, so backing it at that price doesn’t make much sense.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-135).

The unknown regarding how Richardson will perform in his MLB is a cause for concern. The Reds have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 straight games, giving up 54 runs in that span.

The Reds are just 13-14 on the run line as a favorite while Washington is 60-45 as an underdog. The Nationals are also 27-20 on the run line following a win. Take NATIONALS +1.5 (-135).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 11 (-115).

Washington is 52-55-4 O/U this season, and it has gone Under in 8 of its last 10 games. The Nationals are 0-3 O/U in their last 3 games as well. They are 0-5 O/U in their last 5 games with a double-digit line.

The Reds are 0-3 O/U over their last 3 games and 3-5 O/U over their last 8. Take UNDER 10.5 (+100).

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (59-53) welcome the Washington Nationals (47-63) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-1.

The Reds swept the Nationals from July 3-July 6 in 4-game series. Cincinnati lost 6-3 Friday, though. It is now 28-27 at home and 4-6 over its last 10.

Washington, which sits last in the NL East, is 25-29 on the road. It has won 6 of its last 10. It won 2 of 3 against the Milwaukee Brewers earlier in the week.

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Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Joan Adon vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Adon (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 3rd appearance and 1st start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Went 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.2 K/9 in 17 starts at Triple-A Rochester
  • 1 career start vs. Reds: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K June 2, 2022

Abbott (6-2, 2.35 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 65 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-5 win at the Chicago Cubs July 31
  • 2023 home stats: 2-1, 1.60 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 5 starts

Nationals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Reds -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Reds -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Reds should be able to bounce back and has performed well with Abbott on the mound this season. They have struggled at home though and are not worth any play at (-225).

Similarly, the Nats haven’t performed at a high level for most of the season and will have the inferior pitcher on the mound. Avoid backing the Nats at (+185) as well.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS -1.5 (-115).

The Reds are the 5th-best team in the majors on the run line after a loss, posting a 31-21 run line record.

Cincinnati is also 9-2 with Abbott on the mound and has won 5 of those 11 starts by 2 or more. Washington is 59-45 as a run line underdog, which ranks in the bottom half of the league in covering as an underdog.

Couple the Reds’ success after a loss and their success with Abbott, and take REDS -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 10.5 (-105).

After giving up 36 runs in 2 games to the Cubs, the Reds have gone Under in 2 straight and are 4-9 O/U over their last 13 games. They have gone Under in 3 of Abbott’s last 4 starts.

The Nationals are 52-54-4 O/U on the season and have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and in 8 of their last 10. Washington is just 20-25-1 O/U following a win.

Take UNDER 10.5 (-105).

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (20-35) and Cincinnati Reds (18-34) close out a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is slated for a 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Washington leads 2-1.

The Nationals had lost 4 consecutive games before earning an 8-5 win Friday and then a 10-8 triumph Saturday. The combined 18 runs work against the grain of a recent trend: Washington had scored just 23 runs across their previous 10 road games.

Cincy is a solid 15-12 since starting the season with a woeful 3-22 mark. But Reds pitching — a major problem in those first 25 games — has reared its ugly head the last two days. Cincy hurlers coughed up 28 hits, including 7 home runs, across those two games.

Nationals at Reds projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Corbin (1-8, 6.96 ERA) makes his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 54 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 7 ER Tuesday at the New York Mets in his last start and has coughed up 5 ER or more in 3 of his last 4 outings.
  • Owns an 8.17 ERA and 1.97 WHIP across 25 1/3 IP on the road.

Castillo (2-2, 3.38 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 26 2/3 IP.

  • Had a shoulder injury delay his start to the season.
  • Coming off his best outing since rejoining the Reds when he tossed 6 shutout innings with 10 K at the Boston Red Sox Tuesday.
  • Has held current Washington bats to a .610 aggregate OPS albeit in a relatively small dose.

Nationals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:23 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Reds -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Reds -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 3

Money line

The Reds are the lean in theory, but the juice here is drowning out leverage on both sides. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Cincinnati has the better form of late. Strength of schedule is often overlooked in baseball betting, and the Reds have faced especially tough pitching.

CINCINNATI -1.5 (+105) is worth a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

Corbin has been beaten up around the margins. He’s been undone by unkind batted-ball rates like a .369 batting average on balls in play. ERAs tell the story of a couple of bottom-5 bullpens in this match-up, but underlying stats are a bit more forgiving.

On a dry Cincinnati day with an inward breeze, BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (19-35) and Cincinnati Reds (18-33) continue a 4-game series with a Saturday matinee. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is slated for a 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 1-1.

The Nationals had lost 4 consecutive games before earning an 8-5 win Friday. The 8 runs were an oddity: Washington had scored just 23 runs across their previous 10 road games. The Nats own a mere .648 OPS away from home since May 16.

The Reds took Thursday’s series opener 8-1. Cincy is a solid 15-11 since starting the season with a woeful 3-22 mark.

Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Tyler Mahle

Fedde (3-4, 4.60 ERA) makes his 11th start of the season. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 47 IP.

  • Coming off an abysmal outing against the New York Mets May 30 where he allowed 6 ER on 8 H in 1 1/3 IP. Had a 1.95 ERA in May heading into that start.
  • Has been bludgeoned by the Reds to the tune of a high-contact 1.012 OPS in a limited history against current Cincy batters (42 plate appearances).

Mahle (2-5, 5.53 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 53 2/3 IP.

  • Has been hurt by a 58.8% left-on-base rate.
  • Logged sub-4.00 ERAs in both 2020 and 2021.

Nationals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-180) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 3

Money line

Cincinnati has not lost back-to-back games since May 23-24. The REDS (-135) are the play here, but pass if the line gets any steeper.

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Run line/Against the spread

Mahle is tough on lefty bats and that bodes well against a Nationals lineup that leans more to the left than the average club. The back end of the Reds bullpen is in better shape.

CINCINNATI -1.5 (+145) is worth a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

The Cincinnati bullpen is in better shape for this one, but most of the back-enders for Washington should be available. Mix in some lean toward better things for both starters and the forecast of an inward breeze perhaps keeping an extra fly ball or two on the playable side of the wall.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-107).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (18-35) and Cincinnati Reds (18-32) continue a 4-game series along the banks of the Ohio River Friday. The contest at Great American Ball Park is slated for a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 1-0.

The Nationals have lost 4 consecutive games. They are 3-12 with an untenable 6.35 ERA on the road since May 4.

The Reds took Thursday’s series opener 8-1. Cincy is a solid 15-10 since starting the season with a woeful 3-22 mark. The club has banged out a .277/.367/.473 (.840 OPS) slash line over at home since May 7.

Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. LHP Mike Minor

Gray (5-4, 5.08 ERA) makes his 11th start of the 2022 campaign. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 51 1/3 IP.

  • Has logged a series of off-and-on starts of late, but has pitched better in road games (2.42 ERA, 0.99 WHIP).

Minor is making his first start of the season after suffering a shoulder injury in spring training. He’s logged a 4.11 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 10 Major League seasons.

  • Made 5 rehab starts. Went 6 innings and threw 79 pitches in that game a week ago, so major pitch count limitations don’t appear to be a concern.
  • Logged a 5.05 ERA in 158 2/3 IP last season for the Kansas City Royals.

Nationals at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-180) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Reds 4

Money line

Peg a lean on the NATS (+110) here, although it’s a much more palatable play at +115 or higher. Washington is entering the territory where Cincinnati was a month ago: buried by some bad rates around the margins and ready to break out as a solid betting option if not a solid baseball team.

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Run line/Against the spread

Too much juice to overcome here: PASS.

Over/Under

With a lean toward both bullpens being slightly better than the bottom-feeder numbers they’ve hoisted so far, this high total has a bit of play on the Under side.

Gray has been good on the road, and he’s pitching behind a club that has logged run totals of 0, 0 and 1 over its last 3 games, respectively. Mix in an unusually dry evening in Cincinnati and both bullpens being in solid shape, and BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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