San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-48) host the San Diego Padres (54-40) for the second game of their three-game series at Nationals Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego’s lineup raked Washington in a 24-8 beatdown in the series opener Friday.

The Padres hit five home runs with RF Wil Myers contributing 2 HR, including a grand slam, with 7 RBIs and 2B Jake Cronenworth hitting for the cycle with 4 RBIs.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2.

LHP Blake Snell is San Diego’s projected starter. Snell is 3-3 with a 4.99 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 over 16 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-1, with 4 IP, 0 ER, 2H, 4 BB and 3 K at the Philadelphia Phillies July 4.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-3 with a 9.09 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 2.14 WHIP and 1.4 K/BB in nine starts.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 35 at-bats with a .257/.333/.514 slash line, 14/4 K/BB, 2 HR and 3 RBIs.

LHP Patrick Corbin makes his 18th start for the Nationals. Corbin is 6-7 with a 5.40 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 56 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 15-5, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 3 K at the Padres July 7.
  • 2021 home splits: 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB in eight starts.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 85 at-bats with a .282/.380/.459 slash line, 18/13 K/BB, 3 HR and 11 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 8, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

TAKE the PADRES (-135) for 1 unit because “sharp” money has steamed San Diego up from a -122 money line favorite on the opening number to the current price, which is still below my buy-price of “Padres (-140)”.

Snell has been terrible on the road this season but there isn’t much rhyme or reason behind that and progression is almost guaranteed because he can’t pitch much worse on the road than he did in the first half of the year.

Speaking of which, Snell has turned it on after the All-Star Break throughout his career with a 74.1% win rate (20-7 record), 2.70 ERA (213 1/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.17 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB in the second half of the season.

Moreover, since neither starter’s numbers elicit much confidence, I’d much rather put my money on the Padres since their bullpen is a lot more reliable.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Padres -1.5 (+120) isn’t a fat enough payout considering how bad Snell has pitched on the road this season and San Diego’s 7-9 record in Snell starts.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a quarter unit because of the aforementioned Snell difficulties in road starts, Corbin being in the midst of his worst season in the big leagues and the weather forecast predicting double-digit winds at the hitters’ backs.

However, the Over bet seems rather obvious since these teams scored a combined 32 runs in the opener of the series and I much prefer the Padres to win outright hence the slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (53-40) and Washington Nationals (42-47) start a three-game set Friday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Chris Paddack is San Diego’s projected starter. Paddack is 4-6 with a 5.38 ERA (77 IP, 46 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 over 16 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Blown save with 2 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K in San Diego’s 3-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies Sunday.
  • Paddack took a loss vs. the Nationals July 7 with 2 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 15-5 road victory.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 24 at-bats with a .417/.481/.708 slash line, 7/2 K/BB, 2 HR and 9 RBIs.

RHP Erick Fedde is on the hill for the Nationals. Fedde is 4-6 with a 4.59 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 3 BB and 7 K Sunday at the San Francisco Giants.
  • Fedde lost July 6 at the Padres with a stat line of 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-4 loss.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 46 at-bats with a .304/.319/.457 slash line, 8/1 K/BB, 2 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+115) | Nationals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+115) for a quarter unit since I’m down on Paddack as a starter because he has career highs in both ERA and WHIP while nearly 90% of the pitches in his three-pitch arsenal are either fastball or changeup.

Don’t get me wrong, Fedde’s stuff isn’t very impressive either, but the Nationals are 7-6 when Fedde starts and they have a winning record at home whereas the Padres are 20-21 on the road this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Nationals +1.5 (-140) is too expensive given Washington’s 20-26 ATS record at home and San Diego’s 23-18 ATS record on the road this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (+100) for a half unit because Paddack got roughed up vs. the Nationals earlier this season and one of the three Overs that cashed in Fedde’s 13 starts this season was his outing against San Diego.

Otherwise, Washington is 3-9-1 O/U when Fedde starts this year and the Nationals have the highest home Under percentage in the majors at 13-33 O/U.

That being said, the Over has cashed in four straight Padres-Nationals meetings and both starters are “bottom of the rotation” guys at best.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-46) visit the San Francisco Giants (56-32) Sunday at Oracle Park to finish their three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco is going for the sweep after raking Washington 10-4 Saturday and chasing Nationals starting LHP Jon Lester in the 3rd inning by scoring 8 runs (3 earned) on 9 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 4-2.

RHP Erick Fedde is Washington’s projected starter. Fedde is 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-4, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the San Diego Padres.
  • Fedde earned a win June 12 against San Francisco with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 2-0 victory.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .206/.206/.294 slash line, 9/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 2 RBIs.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 18th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-3 with a 1.74 ERA (108 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Monday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Gausman was the losing pitcher in Fedde’s victory over the Giants back on June 12 with a stat line of 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 144 at-bats with a .292/.333/.479 slash line, 30/9 K/BB, 6 HR and 22 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Giants -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 5, Nationals 1

Money line (ML)

BET the GIANTS (-210) for 1 unit because Gausman has been the second-best National League pitcher through the first half of the season and the Nationals are limping into the All-Star break as losers in eight of their last 10 games.

One of the two earned runs allowed by Gausman against the Giants earlier this season was a solo home run from Nationals OF Kyle Schwarber who had a red-hot June but is currently on the IL.

Furthermore, I like betting on heavy favorites with low totals because if the House is anticipating a lower-scoring affair then there’s a solid chance that the better side scores more of the few runs projected.

Remember, regular-season MLB betting is a grind so don’t go outside of your comfort zone with this bet. If your standard unit is $100 then risk that on the GIANTS (-210) to hopefully scoop a $48 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) because although I’d prefer to play it safe and lay -210 with San Francisco’s money line there’s certainly a case to be made for the run line.

The Giants have the second-highest cover rate at home this season with a 25-17 ATS record while the Nationals are just 19-23 ATS on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8 (-105) since the presumed “sharp” money is on the Under whereas the “public” is backing the Over. Washington is 3-8-1 O/U in Fedde starts this season and the Under cashed in nine straight Giants-Nationals meetings prior to Saturday’s Over.

However, I have a hunch the Giants bats could rake Fedde in this matchup and I much prefer the San Francisco sides more than the total in this one.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (55-32) host the Washington Nationals (42-45) Saturday for the second game of their three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series Friday, 5-3, with C Curt Casali filling in nicely for C Buster Posey by hitting 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and 2 RBIs.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2.

LHP Jon Lester is Washington’s projected starter. Lester is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-5 victory at the San Diego Padres Monday.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 161 at-bats with a .242/.313/.447 slash line, 42/14 K/BB, 8 HR and 19 RBIs.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 18th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 9-3 with a 2.84 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .239/.288/.377 slash line, 39/9 K/BB, 5 HR and 14 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Giants -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

When you look under the hood of DeSclafani’s home numbers you’ll see that he’s pitched much better than his basic numbers indicate and he’s due for a solid home outing.

For instance, DeSclafani has a 4.24 ERA at home and a 2.14 ERA on the road this season, but DeSclafani’s xFIP, K-BB% and home run per nine innings rate are all better in San Francisco.

However, DeSclafani’s .289 home BAbip (.212 BAbip on the road) and 62.1% left-on-base percentage at home (91.1% LOB% on the road) show he’s just been unlucky in San Francisco.

The opposite is true with Lester’s home/road splits as his pitching peripherals in away games are far worse than at home. In fact, Lester has an 8.53 FIP on the road and a minus-1 K-BB%.

What I’m getting at is the GIANTS (-200) is a fair price that I’d put 1 unit on. As in, if your standard unit is $100 then I’d wager that on the GIANTS (-200) to hopefully earn a $50 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) for a half unit because we are paying a steep enough price for San Francisco’s money line.

That being said, the Giants have a winning ATS record at home, and as a home favorite, while the Nationals have a sub-.500 ATS record as road underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS even though Lester’s road splits are awful and Washington’s bullpen is nothing to brag about because San Francisco’s IL is far too lengthy for me to have a lot of confidence in the offense.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-44) visit the San Francisco Giants (54-32) Friday to start a three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the rubber for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA (40 IP, 11 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 across four starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 5-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-0 with a 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.0 K/BB rate across 10 bullpen outings.

RHP Logan Webb is San Francisco’s starter. Webb is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA (49 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 over nine starts and one bullpen outing.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-6, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 7 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers May 29. Webb is making his first start since coming off the IL with a right shoulder strain.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA (19 IP, 4 ER), 1.11 WHIP and 3.6 K/BB rate over three starts and one relief appearance.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 8, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the GIANTS (-150) for 1 unit because Webb has way better stuff than Espino and the Nationals’ 9-8 loss in their series finale against the San Diego Padres Thursday was so terrible it could carry into Friday.

Washington was up 8-0 against San Diego All-Star Yu Darvish heading into the bottom of the 4th inning, with All-Star Max Scherzer on the bump, before Scherzer gave up 7 earned runs and the Padres ended finishing the job on the Nationals’ bullpen. I’d argue that kind of loss has a carry-over effect.

Furthermore, Webb’s pitching peripherals are far better than Espino’s. Webb grades in the 74th percentile or better in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, chase rate and expected slugging percentage.

On the other side, Espino grades in the 25th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected slugging percentage, whiff rate and barrel rate.

Also, Washington’s lineup should easier for Webb to navigate since Nationals slugger Kyle Schwarber is currently on the IL and Schwarber was one of the hottest batters in the majors before suffering a “significant hamstring strain” last weekend.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+125) a quarter unit because San Francisco has the second-highest cover rate at home (23-17 ATS) and Washington’s bullpen is mediocre to below-average.

Moreover, the Nationals’ relievers are a bit overworked since Scherzer didn’t make it out of the 4th inning Thursday and Espino isn’t an “innings eater” as he averages just two innings pitched per outing.

I expect the Giants to extend whatever lead they get against Espino on Washington’s bullpen and five of San Francisco’s seven wins during Webb outings have been by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a quarter unit – if at all – since the market is backing the Over more so than the Under.

However, I much prefer the San Francisco sides, especially the Giants money line, then the total in this game.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-43) wrap up their four-game series against the San Diego Padres (51-38) Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 7-4 with a 2.10 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 94 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Scherzer has seen his ERA drop with each of his last five starts and has won each of his last five road starts.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 102 IP over 17 starts.

The Padres are 13-4 in Darvish starts this season. He picked up the loss last time out when he gave up 4 runs on 6 hits, including 2 home runs, in 6 innings Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals  +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 4, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

The Nationals have taken two of the first three games of the series, winning 15-5 on Wednesday night. They are 18-21 on the road and have won six of their last nine games away from Nationals Park.

The Padres have lost five of their last seven games but still have won 10 of their last 13 at home. San Diego has not lost a home series since dropping two of three to the Chicago Cubs June 7-9. The Friars are tied for the most home wins in the majors with 31.

Take the PADRES (-150).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals are only 38-47 ATS this season and have covered the spread in only two of their last seven games. They only have one one-run loss since June 26 and two since June 12, so when they lose it tends to be by more than one run.

The Padres, even with two ATS losses in the series, are still 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. They are 47-42 ATS on the season. Five of their last seven wins have been by at least two runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under (O/U)

All three games of the series so far have gone Over the projected total but with the starting pitching matchup of Scherzer and Darvish runs should be at a premium.

Seven of Scherzer’s last eight starts had totals of seven or less.

Take UNDER 7 (-110).

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-43) play the San Diego Padres (51-37) in the third game of their four-game series Wednesday in San Diego. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 87 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Corbin has lost his last two starts and has not recorded a win on the road this season. He is 0-4 with a 6.56 ERA in seven starts away from Nationals Park.

RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-5 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 73 IP over 15 starts.

Paddack allowed 3 runs on 4 hits and a walk receiving a no-decision in San Diego’s 4-3 loss Friday at Philadelphia in his last start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals have split the first two games of the series and are 17-21 on the road this season, including 2-5 in road games when Corbin starts. Their road ERA of 4.45 is nearly a run more than their home ERA and that offsets their 4.6 runs scored per game on the road compared to 3.6 at home.

No team has more home wins than the Padres’ 31 this season. They have won 10 of their last 12 games at Petco Park.

Take the PADRES (-185).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Only three teams in the majors have a lower cover percentage than the Nationals’ 44.0%, and that percentage goes up only to 44.7% on the road. They have covered the spread in only one of their last six games.

The Padres are 47-41 ATS overall and 24-23 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in five of their last seven games, and eight of the nine wins they have with Paddack starting have been by at least two runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both games of the series so far have gone Over the projected totals with totals of 12 and 11 runs.

Six of the Nationals’ last seven games have had totals of at least eight runs.

10 of the Padres’ last 12 have had totals of at least eight runs.

Take OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-42) and San Diego Padres (50-37) play the second game of a four-game set Tuesday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Erick Fedde (oblique) was activated off of the 10-day injured list Tuesday and will start for the Nationals. He is 4-4 through 11 starts with a 3.90, 1.23 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 over 55 1/3 innings.

He last started June 23 against the Philadelphia Phillies and took a no-decision while allowing 5 earned runs on 6 hits and 3 walks over 4 innings.

LHP Ryan Weathers is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 51 1/3 IP over nine starts and six relief appearances.

The southpaw allowed 2 runs, 5 hits and 4 walks in just 4 innings in a no-decision Thursday at Cincinnati.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

The Padres (-185) are looking for the bounce-back game after dropping the opener by a 7-5 count. They have the advantage Fedde in his return to the lineup.

Washington’s bullpen is just so-so with a 4.10 ERA so advantage San Diego, but it’s just a little out of my price range.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PADRES -1.5 (+105) are a better play on their home field in the second game of this set, especially in what’s likely to be an abbreviated outing for Fedde.

They’ll get to face the Washington bullpen early, and they’ll get revenge for dropping the opener. Look for plenty of San Diego power.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-105) is the lean here as Washington has hit the Under in six of the last seven against a left-handed starter.

The Under is still 8-3 in the past 11 for Washington against NL West teams despite hitting the Over in Monday’s game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (52-31) and Washington Nationals (40-41) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 11:05 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Garrett Cleavinger is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 2-3 with 7 runs (3 earned) allowed on 13 hits and 8 walks with 14 strikeouts through 12 1/3 innings of relief work spanning 14 appearances. He makes his first career start Sunday.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-7 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 across 80 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.

Ross has won consecutive outings, both quality starts, and he finished June with a 3-2 record and 1.95 ERA across 32 1/3 innings over five starts. He also posted just six walks with 33 strikeouts during the impressive month of work.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+115) | Nationals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 7, Dodgers 5

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (+115) are a good play at home in the series finale, as they look to avoid the broom in this four-game set.

Washington will not have to face Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer due to an off-field situation, so Los Angeles is forced into a bullpen game instead. That works to the benefit of the home side.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-140) are worth playing if you’re not quite feeling them on the money line and would like a little insurance. The Dodgers have won eight games in a row, so it obviously won’t be easy for the Nats.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-115) is the slight lean for the finale, even though the Under cashed in two of the first three in the series.

Los Angeles has averaged 7.0 runs per game through the first three in this series, and Washington should be able to come alive with the bats against a cadre of relievers thrust into action for L.A., Sunday.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (47-33) will look to salvage a split in their two-game series with the Washington Nationals (39-38) Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Michael Wacha is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 1-2 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over nine starts and four relief appearances.

Since starting the year with 20 K in 15 IP over his first three starts, the whiffs have been lacking for Wacha. He has since recorded just 19 K in 33 1/3 IP, though he’s coming off a start in which he had 7 K and allowed just 1 hit in 5 scoreless innings against Boston.

LHP Jon Lester is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 1-3 with a 4.99 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 52 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

Lester recently had a run in which he allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in five straight starts, though he averaged slightly less than 5 IP per outing (24 2/3 total). He followed up that streak with a disaster in Miami last time out when he surrendered 7 ER in 2 1/3 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Rays at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rays 7, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Rays are scoring the second-most runs per game on the road this season. While they tend to strike out a lot, Lester may not be able to exploit that weakness as he has whiffed more than three batters just once in his last six starts.

Wacha hasn’t displayed great skills either and is facing a team that has won 13 of their last 16 games. However, the Washington offense still ranks 29th in runs per game at home, and Wacha looks like a better bet for success than his counterpart. Take the RAYS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Lester simply isn’t a very good pitcher at this stage of his career. In fact, dating back to last season, he has allowed 5 or more earned runs eight times in his last 20 starts. Even though the Washington offense is likely to make some noise as well, the RAYS -1.5 (+125) should win this game by multiple runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses should have success in this game against pitchers who have displayed marginal skills to this point. Take OVER 10 (-110) before the total moves any higher.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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