The Golden State Warriors (9-28) head across town to play Pacific Division rival Sacramento Kings (13-23) in the Golden 1 Center at 10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Warriors-Kings odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.
Warriors at Kings: Key injuries
Warriors
- PG D’Angelo Russell (shoulder) out
- PF Kevon Looney (abdominal) out
- PF Draymond Green (ankle) out
- PG Steph Curry (wrist) out
- SG Klay Thompson (knee) out
Kings
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) doubtful
- PG Marvin Bagley III (foot) out
Warriors at Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Kings 109, Warriors 104
Moneyline (ML)
As juicy as the Warriors are at +425, you have to PASS on the moneyline in this game. The implied probability of a Warriors straight-up win is 19% and, with all the line value, it’s just too risky of a play. BetMGM expects the Kings (-589) to win but obviously, we aren’t betting those odds, ever.
New to sports betting? A $10 on the Kings to win outright returns a profit of $1.70. This is called a chalk play.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
It’s tough to discuss trends when it comes to the Warriors because of how riddled with injuries they are. For example, the Kings are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 meetings against the Warriors, but they are just 3-7 straight up. In their first and only meeting this season, the Kings dominated the Warriors, 100-79. The Warriors have had success in similar betting situations (7-3 ATS when getting 10-plus points), while the Kings have yet to be favored by more than 10 points this season.
I’m on the WARRIORS (+10.5, -106) because the Kings shouldn’t be laying 10-plus to any team. I get it, the Warriors are banged up, but the Kings are 2-7 ATS as home favorites with a minus-1.2 margin of victory, and they are minus-6.5 against the line.
Over/under (O/U)
The main reason to take UNDER 216.5 (-106) is simple: Both teams have been trash on offense. The Warriors rank 26th in points per game and 29th in offensive rating, while the Kings are 24th and 21st, respectively, in the same categories. Considering the Warriors’ injury woes, the backups are trying to earn rotation minutes when the starters come back or garner interest from other teams, so we are getting a full-on effort from the Dubs.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2017]