The ninth-ranked Virginia Cavaliers (15-3 overall, 11-1 ACC) visit the 17th-ranked Florida State Seminoles (11-3, 7-2) in a Big Monday matchup. Tip-off for the Top 25 showdown is slated for 7 p.m. ET at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Fla. Below, we analyze the Virginia-Florida State college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of last week’s Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The new poll will be released Monday afternoon.
The Cavaliers sit atop the ACC with an 11-1 conference record. The Seminoles are 7-2 and in second place, 2.5-games back.
Virginia at Florida State: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Virginia +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Florida State -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Virginia +2.5 (-125) | Florida State -2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 129.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Virginia at Florida State: Three things to know
- Virginia enters on a 4-game win streak since falling at Virginia Tech 65-51 for its only ACC loss. The Cavaliers beat North Carolina 60-48 as 7-point home favorites Saturday. The defense held the Tar Heels to 18 first-half points, and senior F Jay Huff led the way with 18 points and 12 rebounds. Huff averages 13.4 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, just behind senior F Sam Hauser (15.1 PPG, 7.1 RPG).
- Florida State needed overtime to fend off upset-minded Wake Forest 92-85 Saturday, failing to cover as a 13-point home favorite. It was the Seminoles’ first game since a 76-65 loss at Georgia Tech Jan. 30 due to COVID-19 issues. Against Wake, freshman G Scottie Barnes tied it at 80-all with 0.5 seconds, driving the length of the floor for a reverse layup. The ‘Noles then scored eight of the first nine points in overtime to put the Demon Deacons away. Junior F RaiQuan Gray tallied 24 points and 12 rebounds, both career highs. Senior G M.J. Walker leads FSU in scoring with 13.7 PPG.
- The rivals split last season’s series with the home team prevailing. Virginia won 61-56 as a 2-point underdog, and 13 days earlier, FSU claimed a 54-50 decision but failed to cover as a 6.5-point favorite.
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Virginia at Florida State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Florida State 64, Virginia 61
Money line (ML)
PASS. Florida State (-135) gets the nod at home, but the projection focus is on the spread.
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Against the spread (ATS)
FLORIDA STATE -2.5 (+105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Seminoles don’t lose in Tallahassee. They’ve won a school-record 23 consecutive ACC home games, the second-longest such streak in conference history behind Duke’s 26 wins between 1997-2000.
The ‘Noles are also 12-2 straight up in their last 14 home games vs. the Cavs.
ATS: Virginia 10-7-1 | Florida State 8-6
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 129.5 (-105) is worth a HALF-UNIT wager. Virginia has held FSU to 69 points or fewer in 19 consecutive meetings.
While Virginia’s defense allows 58.8 PPG to rank fourth in the country, Florida State’s offense leads the ACC at 79.1 PPG, including 80.4 PPG in conference games.
The fear is that this line will drop by tip-off and the game could go Over with late trips to the foul line.
O/U records: Virginia 9-9 | Florida State 8-4-2
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| Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays | 63-52-1 / 26-30 |
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| CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays / ROI | 48-35-1 / 21-20 / +9.025 |
| 2021 record (all sports) / Strongest plays / ROI | 63-44-1 / 31-22 / +20.325 |
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