2022 Valspar Championship odds, key statistics, best bets and PGA Tour picks

With a T-16 and solo fifth in his two appearances at Copperhead, can Abraham Ancer claim another Tour title?

It’s not going to be easy for the 2022 Valspar Championship to follow up the madness that was the Players Championship. Rain delays, a Monday finish and a dramatic final stretch down 18 — it’s going to be nearly impossible.

However, there’s a strong field headed to the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort just outside of Tampa, Florida, that includes Dustin Johnson, who’s right off the heels of tying the tournament scoring record of 63 at the Players.

On Tipico, three players sit as co-betting favorites: Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland, and Collin Morikawa (+1000).

Sam Burns, who played with eventual champion Cameron Smith and Paul Casey in the penultimate group in Ponte Vedra Beach, enters the week as the defending champion. His odds to win sit at +2000.

Key statistics

Driving accuracy: The Copperhead Course is the definition of tree-lined, so finding the short grass off the tee will be imperative for every player in the field.

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. The Concession Golf Club (home of 2021 WGC-Workday), 2. Muirfield Village Golf Club (home of the Memorial), 3. TPC Twin Cities (home of the 3M Open)

Trending: 1. Viktor Hovland (last three starts: T-4, T-2, T-9), 2. Justin Thomas (T-8, 6, T-33), 3. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T-10, T-9, MC)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Justin Thomas (8.4 percent), 2. Viktor Hovland (7.9 percent), 3. Collin Morikawa (5.7 percent)

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Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Player Odds
Justin Thomas (+1000)
Viktor Hovland (+1000)
Collin Morikawa (+1000)
Dustin Johnson (+1300)
Paul Casey (+2000)
Louis Oosthuizen (+2000)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2000)
Sam Burns (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Jason Kokrak (+3000)

Betting card for the 2022 Valspar Championship

Last week’s results: Players Championship

Daniel Berger – Top 20: Cash (+155)
Brooks Koepka – Top 20: Miss (MC)
Cameron Smith – Top 20: Cash (+170)
Matthew Fitzpatrick – Top 20: Miss (MC)
Rory McIlroy – Top 20: Miss (T-33)

Outrights: Collin Morikawa (MC), Rory McIlroy (T-33), Daniel Berger (T-13), Cameron Smith (1), Brooks Koepka (MC), Will Zalatoris (T-26)

+.25 units on positions plays, +26 units on outrights at Players.

+18.69 units on position plays in 2022. +37.5 units on outright plays in 2022.

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Keegan Bradley still confident game is trending up after squandering lead at Valspar Championship

Despite a late and costly mistake, Keegan Bradley, 34, was able to put the weekend at the Valspar Championship in perspective.

PALM HARBOR, Fla. — As the ball sailed through the steamy, shimmering late afternoon sky, Keegan Bradley thought he had gotten away with a poorly-hit 8-iron.

The Jupiter, Florida, resident set his eyes on the bunker short of the 13th green and thought if that’s where it was headed it could be worse.

It was.

The ball never reached the bunker, instead hitting the wall that keeps the earth from falling into the water and bounced back into that lake.

Bradley bent over his 8-iron and dropped his head in disbelief. He knew at that moment his chances of a fifth PGA Tour win likely were sunk. Just like that ball.

“I just hit a terrible shot,” he said. “I hadn’t really hit a really bad shot all week and you just can’t hit it there. It was a bummer.”

ValsparLeaderboard | Photos | Money

That shot turned a two-man deadlock at the Valspar Championship into a two-shot lead for Sam Burns, Bradley’s playing partner the final two rounds. Burns would double that lead three holes later before settling for a 68 and finishing with a 17-under 267, three shots ahead of runner-up Bradley.

“I’ve done pretty well in my career when I’ve had a chance,” Bradley said. “I just didn’t hit the shots that I needed coming down the end.”

Bradley, 34, was able to put the weekend in perspective. Yes, there was disappointment that he could not finish after an opening-round 64 and holding the lead after each round … outright after Thursday and tied with Burns following play on Friday and Saturday.

But his game is on the upswing after that final-round 71, mainly because of his putting. And recovering from that one bad shot enough to hang onto second place — even after missing a 4-foot par putt on No. 15 — says a lot about where Bradley is mentally.

Bradley admitted his putting woes had taken the fun out of his game.

“I just didn’t hit the shots I needed coming down the end,” he said. “But I’m proud of the way I finished off to come in solo second. A lot of points at stake, World Ranking points. I can take that away from it.”

What he can take away is his best finish in 43 starts, dating to the 2019 Travelers Championship when he tied for second behind Chez Reavie and got a check for $752,100.

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Although Bradley had the lead at the turn, he seemed to be playing catchup to Burns the entire round. They started even, but Bradley dropped two shots by the third hole after Burns birdied No. 2 followed by a Bradley bogey the next hole.

Bradley battled back and regained the lead outright on No. 9 by dropping a 16-foot birdie putt. That lasted one hole before Burns birdied No. 11, his first of three birdies on the back nine (he had two bogeys but both after he took an insurmountable lead).

“You never wish that upon anyone, you never wish to see someone hit it in the water,” Burns said. “I was hoping Keegan would play his best. I wanted to see how I would hold up and see if I could beat him with my best against his best.”

What made that moment more surreal was this is not No. 17 at PGA National or the iconic island green at TPC Sawgrass. Though the hole played the second toughest on the course that was mainly because it had the second-fewest birdies. Bradley’s was just the second water ball off the tee on the day and the 11th in the 449 times the hole was played in four days.

In other words, Bradley had a 2.2 percent chance to putting that tee shot in the water when he addressed the ball.

Bradley is not going to let one shot derail what he believes is a resurgent career uptick. He said his game is in “great shape” and is confident he will be back in this same spot sometime soon, perhaps this week in Charlotte or in three weeks at the PGA Championship on Kiawah Island.

And nothing said more about his state of mind than his upbeat mood following the round. Bradley quickly turned his attention to his family as he walked off the 18th green with hugs for his wife, Jillian; sons Logan and Cooper.

“We got a four-hour drive back to Jupiter,” he said with a big smile. “We’ll see how much I like them then.”

No matter what happens on that drive, he will enjoy it more than that tee shot on No. 13.

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How much money each PGA Tour player earned at the Valspar Championship

Check out how much money each PGA Tour player earned at the Valspar Championship.

It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, folks. Just ask this week’s winner, Sam Burns.

The 24-year-old product of LSU earned his first win on Tour at this week’s Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Golf Resort’s Copperhead course in Palm Harbor, Florida. Burns came up one stroke shy of the tournament record, finishing at 17 under, three shots ahead of runner-up Keegan Bradley, who was tied with Burns entering the final round. With the win, Burns will take home the top-prize of $1,242,000 and 500 FedEx Cup points.

Check out how much money each player earned this week at the Valspar Championship.

Prize money

Position Player Score Payout
1 Sam Burns -17 $1,242,000
2 Keegan Bradley -14 $752,100
T3 Viktor Hovland -13 $407,100
T3 Cameron Tringale -13 $407,100
5 Abraham Ancer -12 $282,900
T6 Vaughn Taylor -10 $241,500
T6 Max Homa -10 $241,500
T8 Louis Oosthuizen -9 $201,825
T8 Troy Merritt -9 $201,825
T8 Joaquin Niemann -9 $201,825
T11 Camilo Villegas -8 $167,325
T11 Brandt Snedeker -8 $167,325
T13 Bronson Burgoon -7 $127,305
T13 Hank Lebioda -7 $127,305
T13 Justin Thomas -7 $127,305
T13 Jason Kokrak -7 $127,305
T13 Bubba Watson -7 $127,305
T18 Adam Schenk -6 $98,325
T18 Charley Hoffman -6 $98,325
T18 Ted Potter Jr. -6 $98,325
T21 Paul Casey -5 $65,291
T21 Alexander Noren -5 $65,291
T21 Charl Schwartzel -5 $65,291
T21 Russell Knox -5 $65,291
T21 Ian Poulter -5 $65,291
T21 Corey Conners -5 $65,291
T21 Matthew NeSmith -5 $65,291
T21 Danny Lee -5 $65,291
T29 Michael Gligic -4 $40,572
T29 Vincent Whaley -4 $40,572
T29 Jimmy Walker -4 $40,572
T29 Zach Johnson -4 $40,572
T29 Sungjae Im -4 $40,572
T29 Kyoung-Hoon Lee -4 $40,572
T29 Scott Stallings -4 $40,572
T29 Pat Perez -4 $40,572
T29 Kevin Na -4 $40,572
T29 Scottie Scheffler -4 $40,572
T39 Beau Hossler -3 $25,875
T39 Doc Redman -3 $25,875
T39 Tyler Duncan -3 $25,875
T39 Ryan Moore -3 $25,875
T39 Kyle Stanley -3 $25,875
T39 Scott Brown -3 $25,875
T39 Denny McCarthy -3 $25,875
T39 Charles Howell III -3 $25,875
T39 Bo Van Pelt -3 $25,875
T48 Dustin Johnson -2 $17,687
T48 Wesley Bryan -2 $17,687
T48 Lucas Glover -2 $17,687
T48 Henrik Norlander -2 $17,687
T48 Jhonattan Vegas -2 $17,687
T48 Tom Lewis -2 $17,687
T54 Branden Grace -1 $16,215
T54 Luke Donald -1 $16,215
T54 J.T. Poston -1 $16,215
T57 Peter Uihlein E $15,801
T57 Kramer Hickok E $15,801
T57 Jason Dufner E $15,801
T60 Patton Kizzire 1 $15,387
T60 Brandon Hagy 1 $15,387
T60 Wyndham Clark 1 $15,387
T63 Joseph Bramlett 2 $14,904
T63 Henrik Stenson 2 $14,904
T63 Chase Koepka 2 $14,904
T63 Ryan Palmer 2 $14,904
67 Byeong-Hun An 5 $14,559
68 J.B. Holmes 7 $14,421
69 Keith Mitchell 9 $14,283

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Valspar Championship: Cameron Tringale sets a dubious PGA Tour mark

By finishing T-3 at the Valspar, Cameron Tringale is now the player who has won the most money without ever winning on the PGA Tour.

PALM HARBOR, Fla. – Cameron Tringale earned a dubious distinction this week at the Valspar Championship.

By finishing tied for third with Viktor Hovland and earning $407,100, Tringale became the answer to the question: Which player has won the most money without ever winning a PGA Tour event.

The 33-year-old Tringale entered the week $37,390 behind Englishman Brian Davis, who had previously held the distinction with earnings of $13,374,228. Tringale now tops the list with $13,743,938.

When asked if he was aware that he was on the verge of setting the mark, he said simply, “No.”

Valspar ChampionshipYardage book | Leaderboard | Photos

Tringale finished a career-best second at the 2015 Zurich Classic of New Orleans and tied for second twice, at the 2014 Northern Trust and the 2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He’s also recorded a third-place finish at the RSM Classic in November.

He did win a silly-season event, the 2015 QBE Shootout with Jason Day.

Tringale, who turned pro in 2009, entered the week No. 89 in the world and ranked No. 149 on the all-time Tour money list.

He has made 298 starts, the most on Tour without a win since 2009.

Tringale signed for a 3-under 68 on Sunday and a 72-hole total of 13-under 271.

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Sam Burns flirts with history, wins first PGA Tour event at Valspar Championship

Sam Burns flirted with history en route to his first PGA Tour win at the Valspar Championship.

Two players entered the final round of the Valspar Championship with the lead, but it was Sam Burns who broke away for his first win on the PGA Tour.

The 24-year-old shot a 3-under 68 on Sunday to separate from Keegan Bradley to win at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Golf Resort in Palm Harbor, Florida. Burns finished at 17 under for the tournament, one shot shy of the event’s 18 under scoring record set by Vijay Singh in 2004.

Bradley finished runner-up at 14 under, followed by Viktor Hovland and Cameron Tringale, who tied for third at 13 under. Abraham Ancer wrapped up the top five at 12 under.

Next week the Tour tees it up at Quail Hollow in Charlotte for the Wells Fargo Championship.

Valspar: Leaderboard | Photos | Yardage book

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Winner’s Bag: Sam Burns, Valspar Championship

A complete list of the golf equipment Sam Burns used to win the PGA Tour’s 2021 Valspar Championship.

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The golf equipment Sam Burns used to win the PGA Tour’s 2021 Valspar Championship:

DRIVER: Callaway Mavrik (10.5 degrees), with TPT 15 Series shaft

FAIRWAY WOOD: Callaway Mavrik Sub Zero (17 degrees), with Fujikura Ventus Black 8X shaft

HYBRID: Callaway Apex (23 degrees), with Fujikura Atmos Blue Hybrid 8X shaft

IRONS: Callaway Apex TCB (4-9), with Project X 6.5 shafts

WEDGES: Callaway JAWS MD5 Raw (46, 50, 56, 60 degrees), with True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue S400 shafts

PUTTER: Odyssey O-Works Black #7S

BALL: Callaway Chrome Soft X

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Dustin Johnson says no wedding date ‘yet;’ game ‘really close to being good’ after Valspar Championship

While his longtime fiancée was wedding dress shopping, world No. 1 Dustin Johnson struggled at the Valspar Championship.

PALM HARBOR, Fla. – While his longtime fiancée was wedding dress shopping, World No. 1 Dustin Johnson struggled with his putter for three days at the Valspar Championship, earning himself an early morning Sunday tee time.

Johnson toured the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in 2-under 69 well before the leaders teed off. He finished with a 72-hole total of 2-under 282 and walked off the course T-52.

“I don’t think I got one good break the whole week,” he said. “It’s just one of those weeks.”

Johnson said to ignore the result – he hasn’t recorded a top-10 finish since the Genesis Invitational in February – and chalked up the week as a step in the right direction.

“The game is really close to being good,” he said. “Yesterday, I played so good then obviously one bad shot on 16, plug in the bunker, double. Same thing on 18, I hit a good shot just misjudged the lie and plugged in the bunker.”

Valspar ChampionshipYardage book | Leaderboard | Photos

Johnson’s putter misbehaved for the first three rounds, especially on Saturday when he lost more than two strokes to the field on the greens. He said he struggled with the Bermuda grass, but stroked it well on Sunday, noting he had five lip outs in the first 12 holes. He was particularly pleased with his mid- and long-iron game, which had held him back at the RBC Heritage.

“I felt the last two days I was controlling the distance well with the irons, I’m hitting them solid and where I want them to go, for the most part,” he said.

Being out of the trophy hunt gave him a chance to “just hit some shots.”

“The golf swing has felt a lot better than it has in the last three or four months,” he said.

Johnson is skipping the Wells Fargo Championship next week, but is scheduled to compete in the AT&T Byron Nelson ahead of the PGA Championship. Johnson said he’ll spend next week practicing and playing with his kids.

Any wedding planning on the horizon? Johnson’s fiancée of eight years, Paulina Gretzky, posted images of herself shopping for a dress on social media. Asked if they have a date, Johnson said, “We do not have one yet.”

Getting closer? “Yeah,” he said.

Just like his game.

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Valspar Championship: Phil Mickelson, Patrick Reed among the notables who missed the cut

The top two players in the world made the cut at the Valspar. Phil Mickelson, Patrick Reed and others will be home for the weekend.

PALM HARBOR, Fla. – The top two players in the world, Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas, are among those on the right side of the cutline at the Valspar Championship, but with a lot of catching up to do on the weekend.

For Phil Mickelson and Patrick Reed and others, they’ll be home for the weekend.

Mickelson missed his sixth cut in 13 starts this season, but not without a fight. After shooting 2-over 73 on Thursday he made bogey at No. 4 before making back-to-back birdies at Nos. 5 and 6 and a string of three birdies in a row beginning at No. 11. But the Snake Pit, the three-hole stretch at the Copperhead Course comprising of Nos. 16-18, bit back. Bogeys at 16 and 18 had Mickelson signing for 2-under 69 and one stroke too many to play the weekend.

ValsparCheck the yardage book | Leaderboard | Photos

Being Brooks’ brother is not easy, but Chase Koepka determined to make a name on his own

Chase Koepka and his older brother Brooks are tight, but that does not mean younger brother is looking to ride his coattails.

PALM HARBOR, Fla. — After Chase Koepka rolled a 4-foot putt about 2-feet past the 13th hole at the Valspar Championship on Thursday, a volunteer decided to voice his opinion to everyone within earshot about Chase’s game.

“That kid will never make it to Saturday,” he said.

As it turned out, that volunteer would have been wise to adhere to the words on those sticks that read: ‘Quiet Please.’ Because one of those within earshot was Bob Koepka, Chase’s dad, who was not about to let the comment go without a response.

“You want to make a wager on that?” Bob asked.

That man opted not to put his money where his mouth was. And good thing, because volunteering could have gotten expensive.

This story could have been even better if Chase himself had heard the Nick Faldo wannabe. Then, it could be assumed that was all the motivation he needed.

But, so far, Chase is doing just fine on his own, with the emphasis on — on his own.

ValsparCheck the yardage book | Leaderboard | Photos

Since that hole, Chase has played bogey-free golf on the Copperhead Course, including a 1-under 70 Friday, and enters the weekend at 4-under. Chase’s unusual second round included 17 consecutive pars before dropping a 21-foot birdie putt on No. 9 (his 18th hole) for his lone birdie.

“It’s better to do it with a birdie than a bogey, that’s for sure,” he said about coming within one hole of 18 pars.

Chase is at Valspar on a sponsor exemption. He was expecting to play with his brother and four-time major winner, Brooks, but for the second consecutive tournament in which Chase has played, Brooks, who is recovering from knee surgery, was forced to withdraw.

So, when spectators see a Koepka has advanced to the weekend, it probably is not the Koepka they expected.

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But that’s OK with Chase, who understands what it takes to live in the shadow of an older brother who has become known worldwide.

Chase, 27, and his older brother are very tight, but that does not mean Chase is looking to ride his coattails. They live their separate lives, Chase in West Palm Beach and Brooks in Jupiter, and they obviously are in different tax brackets and stages of their careers with Brooks, who was No. 1 in the world for 47 weeks, having won more Tour events (eight) than Chase had played entering this week.

And Chase is comfortable with that.

Still, that doesn’t make it any easier for dad when it sometimes seems as if Chase does not exist to the casual fan.

“There are always the comparisons and then people who say, ‘How come he’s not doing what his brother is doing?’” Bob said. “But the hardest thing is somebody will come up to me and say, ‘You got to be proud of your son.’ And Chase would be standing right next to me, and they don’t even know he plays.”

Bob is proud of his sons, plural. Which is why walking 18 holes, whether at Valspar or a course on the local Minor League Tour is as stressful as walking Pebble Beach or Augusta National.

And if you don’t believe that, you were not standing by the 9th green Friday when that putt dropped and Bob, and the rest of a solid contingent of Chase’s family and friends, turned heads with their cheers.

“There’s a lot of people that still think I’m just a nobody,” Chase said. “That’s all right. That’s their opinion. I know I’m good enough to be out there.

“My brother did everything on his own, and he’s done an amazing job of it. I want to do the same thing. I’m his biggest fan out there. I love seeing him win. That’s been our dream since we were little. It doesn’t change for me. I haven’t done it yet, but my goal is to be out there. I don’t think I’m too far off.”

Chase Koepka
Chase Koepka plays from the bunker on the 4th hole during the second round of the 2021 Valspar Championship. (Photo: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports)

Chase is right, he isn’t that far. Valspar is Chase’s sixth PGA Tour event in the last 18 months, and he has made the cut in all but one. Although his best finish is a tie for 26th at the 3M Open in July, he shot a 64 Sunday, the low round of the day.

“I’m making a lot of cuts,” said Chase, who finished T-30 at Honda. “I just haven’t quite finished near the top. I’ve had a lot of mid-level finishes. I’m kind of itching to get inside the top 10. Just to be in the hunt with nine or 18 to go.”

Could that be this weekend? Though happy with a bogey-free round, Chase was not happy with the stress he put on his putter. Just five of Chase’s par putts were inside 3-feet. He saved par seven times with putts of 5- to 10-feet.

“I just didn’t have that many opportunities for birdies all day and it was very frustrating,” Chase said. “If I kind of clean it up a little bit … I’m doing all the right things. Just really fortunate my putter stepped up today.”

A lot is riding on a top-10 finish. Chase plans to head to North Carolina Monday to try to qualify for next week’s Wells Fargo Championship. If he’s in the top 10 at Valspar, he automatically qualifies for Wells Fargo.

“He knows he belongs out here,” Bob said. “He knows he’s got the game to be out here. He just has to go through the system to work his way up.”

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Ian Poulter explains why he’s joining the social media racism boycott

Ian Poulter is joining in on the growing social media racism boycott that’s taking place this weekend.

On Friday at 1400 GMT (10 a.m. ET), a group of English soccer leagues, clubs and players – including the governing body and largest men’s and women’s leagues – began a four-day social media boycott in protest of online racism and abuse, which has run rampant over the years.

Ahead of the boycott, which ends Monday night at 7 p.m. ET, other English sports including cricket, rugby, tennis and horse racing announced they’d join the social media silence.

Add Ian Poulter to the list.

The three-time winner on the PGA Tour and 12-time European Tour winner is teeing it up this week at the Valspar Championship and took to Twitter to explain why he’s joining the movement.

Read more about the boycott here.