2022 Valspar Championship odds, key statistics, best bets and PGA Tour picks

With a T-16 and solo fifth in his two appearances at Copperhead, can Abraham Ancer claim another Tour title?

It’s not going to be easy for the 2022 Valspar Championship to follow up the madness that was the Players Championship. Rain delays, a Monday finish and a dramatic final stretch down 18 — it’s going to be nearly impossible.

However, there’s a strong field headed to the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort just outside of Tampa, Florida, that includes Dustin Johnson, who’s right off the heels of tying the tournament scoring record of 63 at the Players.

On Tipico, three players sit as co-betting favorites: Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland, and Collin Morikawa (+1000).

Sam Burns, who played with eventual champion Cameron Smith and Paul Casey in the penultimate group in Ponte Vedra Beach, enters the week as the defending champion. His odds to win sit at +2000.

Key statistics

Driving accuracy: The Copperhead Course is the definition of tree-lined, so finding the short grass off the tee will be imperative for every player in the field.

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. The Concession Golf Club (home of 2021 WGC-Workday), 2. Muirfield Village Golf Club (home of the Memorial), 3. TPC Twin Cities (home of the 3M Open)

Trending: 1. Viktor Hovland (last three starts: T-4, T-2, T-9), 2. Justin Thomas (T-8, 6, T-33), 3. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T-10, T-9, MC)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Justin Thomas (8.4 percent), 2. Viktor Hovland (7.9 percent), 3. Collin Morikawa (5.7 percent)

Latest Twilight 9 podcast episode

Like golf? How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast!

Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast:
Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts

Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Player Odds
Justin Thomas (+1000)
Viktor Hovland (+1000)
Collin Morikawa (+1000)
Dustin Johnson (+1300)
Paul Casey (+2000)
Louis Oosthuizen (+2000)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2000)
Sam Burns (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Jason Kokrak (+3000)

Betting card for the 2022 Valspar Championship

Last week’s results: Players Championship

Daniel Berger – Top 20: Cash (+155)
Brooks Koepka – Top 20: Miss (MC)
Cameron Smith – Top 20: Cash (+170)
Matthew Fitzpatrick – Top 20: Miss (MC)
Rory McIlroy – Top 20: Miss (T-33)

Outrights: Collin Morikawa (MC), Rory McIlroy (T-33), Daniel Berger (T-13), Cameron Smith (1), Brooks Koepka (MC), Will Zalatoris (T-26)

+.25 units on positions plays, +26 units on outrights at Players.

+18.69 units on position plays in 2022. +37.5 units on outright plays in 2022.

[tipico]