Mountain West Championship: Utah State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah State Aggies (9-3, 6-2 in Mountain West) face the No. 19 San Diego State Aztecs (11-1, 7-1) in the Mountain West Conference Championship Saturday. The kickoff from Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, California is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Utah State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Utah State advanced to its first Mountain West title game since 2013 under first-year head coach Blake Anderson.

Aggies junior transfer QB Logan Bonner has the third-best passer efficiency rating in the conference (154.9) and First-Team All-Mountain West WR Deven Thompkins leads the conference in all major receiving stats. Utah State is 8-4 ATS and 5-7 O/U.

San Diego State is seeking its first 12-win season in school history under second-year head coach Brady Hoke. The Aztecs have the best defense in the conference and the most First-Team All-Mountain West selections. The Aztecs are 6-5-1 ATS and 5-7 O/U.

Utah State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah State +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | San Diego State -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +5.5 (-107) | San Diego State -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Utah State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 24, Utah State 14

Money line

PASS since I like the Aztecs to win this game outright but San Diego State (-240) is a little too expensive.

Against the spread

BET SAN DIEGO STATE -5.5 (-115) for 1 unit because Utah State’s offense is too one-dimensional for this stout Aztec defense.

For instance, the Aggies’ rushing attack ranks 122nd out of 130 FBS programs in predicted points added (PPA) on the ground. Also, Utah State’s offense has the seventh-worst rushing success rate in the nation and is 117th in line yards per snap.

Conversely, San Diego State’s defense ranks third in rushing PPA, seventh in rushing success rate and 11th in line yards per snap. If Utah State cannot run the ball then San Diego State will get the Aggies off the field fast.

The Aztecs are top-20 in passing down PPA and success rate and have the seventh-best opponent’s 3rd-down conversion rate. Furthermore, this San Diego State defense is stacked with talent. In fact, the Aztecs have an All-Mountain West Football First-Team defensive player on all three levels.

Over/Under

BET 1 unit on the UNDER 49.5 (-107) because there’s only been a combined 50 points scored in one of San Diego State’s eight conference games this year. Also, the Aztecs are 2-6 O/U vs. Mountain West teams.

And while San Diego State has one of the most efficient defenses in the country, its offense is the weak link. For example, the Aztecs rank 97th in offensive points per drive and 117th in offensive points per play, according to Football Outsiders.

Lastly, the Utah State-San Diego State total was quickly lowered after early sharp money came in on the Under. Circa Sports in Las Vegas (a market-making sportsbook) opened this game with a 51.5-point total before the market steamed it down to the current number.

For me, there’s still value in the UNDER 49.5 (-107) based on the previous analysis.

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Colorado State at Utah State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado State Rams at Utah State Aggies odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado State (3-3, 2-0 MWC) and Utah State (4-2, 2-1) meet for an MWC Mountain Division contest on Friday night. The 9:30 p.m. ET tilt will be played at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah. Below, we look at the Colorado State vs. Utah State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Colorado State has dominated a pair of MWC games the last two weeks. The most recent of those was a 36-7 win at New Mexico Saturday.

The Rams were a plus-3 in turnovers and won the yardage battle, 452-69. Through a half-dozen games, CSU has yielded just 287.2 yards per contest which ranks ninth in the nation.

The Aggies got a go-ahead touchdown with 43 seconds remaining to win, 28-24, at UNLV Saturday. Utah State trailed, 17-14, at halftime, before its passing game led the comeback.

USU had 298 passing yards in the contest. Senior WR Deven Thompkins finished with 12 catches for 180 yards and 2 TDs. The Aggies’ 315.2 passing yards per game rank 15th in FBS.

Colorado State at Utah State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Colorado State -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Utah State +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Colorado State -2.5 (-122) | Utah State +2.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colorado State at Utah State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Colorado State 34, Utah State 28

Money line

On Sept. 25, the Rams lost 24-14 at Iowa. The Hawkeyes had three short-field scoring drives in that one, and Colorado State acquitted itself well.

These two MWC foes did not play last year. Utah State defeated CSU 34-24 in 2019, so there is some revenge bent to the Rams butting back here. In that 2019 game, the Aggies had two short-field scores, a defensive TD, and a special teams TD.

The money line price here is solid: TAKE THE RAMS (-150).

Against the spread

AVOID: things could get close late against a Utah State team prone to play in close games.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-2 in the last eight CSU-USU meetings, and it’s a significant lean Friday.

When the Aggies have the football, it’s a strength-on-strength matchup, but one earned with plenty of weak schedule components on both sides. Utah State’s 108th ranking in total defense is one that stands out.

At first glance, that figure has been earned against a decent collection of opponents. But upon closer inspection, those opposing offenses don’t hold up.

Meanwhile, CSU’s offense figures to be trending the right way, and it has shown some signs of being for real.

BACK THE OVER 58.5 (-110).

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BYU at Utah State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s BYU at Utah State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 15 BYU Cougars (4-0, Independent) and Utah State Aggies (3-1, 1-1 Mountain West) meet Friday at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the BYU vs. Utah State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

It’s four up and four down for the Cougars. It hasn’t been easy, either, as QB Jaren Hall went down with a lower leg injury on the final drive against Arizona State in Week 3. It was next man up, as QB Baylor Romney stepped right in and led a scoring drive, and then took the team to a win last week against USF, connecting on a touchdown with his brother WR Gunner Romney.

After rolling up three wins and three covers, the Aggies had cold water splashed on them at home last week against the Boise State Broncos. Utah State was outscored 27-3, failing as a 9.5-point underdog as the Under connected. The Aggies’ biggest issues are on defense where they rank 121st with 463.3 total yards allowed.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

BYU at Utah State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: BYU -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Utah State +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
  • Against the spread (ATS): BYU -9.5 (-115) | Utah State +9.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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BYU at Utah State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

BYU 36, Utah State 25

Money line

I like BYU to continue unbeaten, although it’ll certainly get a test from Utah State. The Aggies are a solid team offensively who could catch the Cougars in the right moment. However, there is just something about this BYU team that always seems to find a way to get the win.

The Cougars will pull away for the cover in the fourth quarter.

AVOID, as you can’t risk more than three times your potential return.

Against the spread

BYU -9.5 (-115) is a great play on the road in this rivalry game, although it won’t be an easy cover. It will likely take a late score to grab the backdoor cover after a tough test from Utah State.

The Aggies have won two of the last three in this series, although the Cougars rolled up a 42-14 win in Logan the last time these teams met on Nov. 2, 2019.

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Over/Under

UNDER 63.5 (-108) is the lean, but it’s only worth a small-unit play.

The Under has cashed in three of the last four games for the Cougars, with the Over hitting last time out as South Florida’s overachieved Saturday in Provo.

The Under is a risky play though, as Utah State ranks 9th in total yards per game (533.3) and 121st with total yards allowed (463.3).

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North Dakota at Utah State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s North Dakota at Utah State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks (1-0) and Utah State Aggies (1-0) meet Friday at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the North Dakota at Utah State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

North Dakota opened the season on the road with an impressive 35-14 win against fellow FCS member Idaho State. North Dakota had a plus-3 turnover margin while outgaining ISU 368 to 301 in total yardage. UND checks into the game ranked No. 7 in the FCS Coaches Poll.

Utah State is flying high after springing a 26-23 upset on the road at Washington State as a 17-point underdog while the Under (66) easily connected. QB Logan Bonner, a transfer from Arkansas State, hit WR Deven Thompkins with the game-winning touchdown with 13 seconds left.

North Dakota at Utah State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: North Dakota +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Utah State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): North Dakota +6.5 (-108) | Utah State -6.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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North Dakota at Utah State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 27, North Dakota 24

Money line

Utah State (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return, and that’s too expensive playing at home against a ranked FCS opponent.

AVOID.

Against the spread

NORTH DAKOTA +6.5 (-108) is worth a look to keep it close, as the Fighting Hawks are not your typical FCS team. They’re a powerhouse, led by QB Tommy Schuster and RB Otis Weah. The latter ran for 114 yards and 3 touchdowns last week in the win at Idaho State.

UND needs to be a little more disciplined, as it was penalized seven times for 72 yards. The good news is it was plus-3 in the turnover department.

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Over/Under

UNDER 53.5 (-110) is the lean, ever so slightly. Utah State looks to have a capable signal-caller under center, as Bonner followed head coach Blake Anderson to Logan from Arkansas State. The offense had to settle for three field goals in the first three quarters last weekend and had difficulty piercing the end zone until late.

This won’t be a defensive battle, but it won’t be a track meet, either. The books have it right, as this one will be close to the number.

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Utah State at Washington State odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah State at Washington State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah State Aggies and Washington State Cougars meet Saturday at Martin Stadium in Pullman, Wash. Kickoff is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Utah State vs. Washington State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Aggies tumbled to a 1-5 mark last season. Utah State made a change at the top, and head coach Blake Anderson comes over from Arkansas State to take the reins. QB Logan Bonner and WR Brandon Bowling follow Anderson from Jonesboro to Logan to give USU an immediate injection of talent.

The run-and-shoot is in effect in Pullman. After a strange 2020 campaign with little to no time to implement his system, head coach Nick Rolovich has had a full and more normal offseason to get things in place.

RB Max Borghi is a jack of all trades who should shine in Rolovich’s system, and they return top-notch WRs Renard Bell and Travell Harris. QBs Jayden de Laura and Tennessee transfer Jarrett Guarantano are likely to split work under center, at least early on.

Utah State at Washington State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah State +520 (bet $100 to win $520) | Washington State -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +17.5 (-107) | Washington State -17.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Utah State at Washington State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Washington State 41, Utah State 31

Money line

Risking eight times your potential return on Washington State (-800) is not a recommended play. That’s just too much risk, especially for a team with some question marks under center.

AVOID.

Against the spread

UTAH STATE +17.5 (-107) should be much better this season, especially with a bona fide winner in Bonner under center. While he is new to Logan, he isn’t new to Anderson’s system. He’ll shine, regardless of the logo on the side of his helmet, due to the familiarity.

I don’t expect the Aggies to win this one outright, but I do think they’ll give Wazzu a scare. Rolovich and the Cougs are still trying to find their way after transitioning from Mike Leach and the “Air Raid” offense in 2019.

Over/Under

OVER 66.5 (-107) is the play here. Washington State has a multi-faceted back in Borghi who can do big things and several receivers who can house it every time they touch the ball. The Cougars will pass, pass and then pass more. Over bettors love teams addicted to the pass.

Utah State averaged just 15.5 points per game in 2020, but it will be much, much better with Bonner and Anderson at the helm. The Aggies are going to be much more exciting, and it will show immediately in this potential shootout.

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Bank on these 3 March Madness Round 1 upsets

Previewing Round 1 of the 2021 March Madness tournament, with picks and predictions for the best upsets to bet.

The 2021 March Madness NCAA Tournament is back, and the field of 64 tips off Friday afternoon in Indiana. Below, we analyze three Round 1 upsets to target on the odds and lines, with March Madness picks and predictions.

It won’t be the same as previous years, but it’s better than the alternative like we saw last year when the tournament was canceled.

Part of the allure for bettors and casual fans alike is the potential for upsets. While I personally do not fill out brackets, I love to bet the games and I’m always looking to mine those money-line gems.

Let’s start small.

3 March Madness Round 1 upsets to bet

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:05 p.m. ET.

11 Utah State (+155) vs. 6 Texas Tech (Friday at 1:45 p.m. ET)

The Aggies racked up 20 victories this season and they head into the NCAA Tournament with six wins over their past seven outings. They came up just short in a 68-57 loss to San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Final, but they’re a dangerous team with two wins this season against the Aztecs, a fellow MWC team in the NCAA Tournament.

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What makes the Aggies special is their defense. They allowed just 62.9 points per game to rank 24th in the nation, and they were 18th in defensive field-goal percentage at 39.6. If they have an Achilles’ heel, it’s their inability to prevent the 3-pointer, giving up triples at a 34.4% clip to rank 233rd in the country.

Texas Tech wasn’t a good team from behind the arc, so Utah State won’t need to worry too much about that part of the game from the Red Raiders.

Texas Tech was the national runner-up in 2019, falling in overtime in Minneapolis in the last NCAA Tournament game played as Virginia cut down the nets. This version of the team struggles from the floor and is not a good free-throw shooting team. That makes the Aggies a rather attractive play straight up.

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13 Liberty (+280) vs. 4 Oklahoma State (Friday at 6:25 p.m. ET)

It has been a great year for Liberty athletics. The football team enjoyed its first-ever national ranking at one point, and the basketball team is dancing. It could get even better.

The Flames ranked ninth with a 3-point percentage of 38.8 to tie fellow NCAA Tournament combatant Oral Roberts in that department. Liberty enters on a 12-game win streak starting Jan. 16 at Stetson. Liberty picked up victories on a neutral floor against Mississippi State and South Carolina this season, so it won’t be fazed by the big stage.

The Cowboys of Oklahoma State were so-so defending the three, allowing 32.2% from behind the arc to rank 94th. If Liberty starts canning shots from long distance and OSU tries to keep up, that could be a problem, too. They ranked just 179th in the nation during the regular season on 3-point shooting, and they were just 71.1% from the free-throw line. It doesn’t bode well for Oklahoma State in a close game.

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14 Colgate (+333) vs. 3 Arkansas (Friday at 12:45 p.m. ET)

Fans “brushing up” on Colgate will discover it shot lights out from behind the 3-point line. OK, no more toothpaste jokes, I promise.

The Raiders were second in the nation with 85.7 PPG, they were 11th in field-goal shooting at 49.8% and they hit 38.4% from behind the 3-point line to rank 17th. They’re also a good free-throw shooting team at 75.2% in case it’s a close one.

Defensively, the Raiders allowed just 67.8 PPG, they were 27th in defensive field-goal percentage and they ranked first in the country in allowing just 26.3% from behind the arc. Not since the days of Adonal Foyle have the Raiders entered the NCAA Tournament with such high expectations, even if they are just a 14-seed.

Arkansas resembles the Nolan Richardson days of “40 Minutes of Hell”, as it can run up and down with the best of them, but they’ll have their work cut out trying to solve a strong Colgate interior defense. If Colgate starts hitting long-distance shots, the Razorbacks could be in for a long afternoon.

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Texas Tech vs. Utah State odds: Red Raiders favored in March Madness Round 1

Previewing Friday’s Texas Tech vs. Utah State odds and lines for their March Madness Round 1 matchup.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (17-10) open the NCAA Tournament against the Utah State Aggies (20-8). Their game is Friday at 1:45 p.m. ET at Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Ind.

Below, we look at the early March Madness Round 1 Texas Tech-Utah State odds and lines. Will one of these teams end up as this year’s National Champion? Don’t forget to check out all of the teams’ March Madness odds.

Texas Tech enters the tournament as a six seed after averaging 73.3 points per game and having some very big wins. They had two regular-season wins against Texas, who was ranked No. 4 and No. 14 in each game. The Red Raiders also defeated a No. 9 Oklahoma team. They played 11 games against ranked opponents.

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Utah State enters the tourney as a No. 11 seed. The Aggies finished second in the Moutain West Conference and lost in the conference tournament final to San Diego State. They went 15-4 in the conference and had both 11-game and six-game winning streaks. They were led by C Neemias Queta‘s 15.1 points per game and 10.0 rebounds per game.

Texas Tech vs. Utah State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texas Tech -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Utah State +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texas Tech -5 (-110) | Utah State +5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 132.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

March Madness Betting promotions 

Bet $10 on the first round, RECEIVE A $10 FREE BET FOR EACH GAME PLAYED that day of the opening round. Promo available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM Sportsbook. Bet now!

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Utah State at Colorado State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Utah State Aggies at Colorado State Rams sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Utah State Aggies (1-5 overall, 1-5 MWC) are set to lock horns and match wits with the Colorado State Rams (1-3, 1-3) in a Saturday night (9:30 p.m. ET) tussle at Canvas Stadium in Ft. Collins, Colo. Below, we analyze the Utah State-Colorado State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Utah State at Colorado State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah State +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Colorado State -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Utah State +13.5 (-110) | Colorado State -13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 53.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Utah State at Colorado State: Three things to know

  •  The Aggies are coming off a 35-7 loss to Air Force (Dec. 3), a setback which dropped them to a 1-5 straight-up and 1-5 ATS record. And the losses have been one-sided. Utah State has averaged just 15.5 points per game (124th FBS) while allowing 35.2 PPG (102nd). USU has been outgained by 198 yards-or-more in each of its five defeats.
  • The Rams had their November slate muddied by COVID-19 stoppages and returned to action last week — in a Dec. 5 loss (29-17) at San Diego State — after a 22-day layoff. CSU was a turnover minus-2 against the Aztecs, and the Rams lost a potential cover on two fourth-quarter field goals by SDSU.
  • Utah State won last year’s battle (Sept. 28), 34-24, in a contest that saw the Aggies outgain the Rams by nearly 150 yards (444 to 296) and win despite committing four turnovers. USU battled back from three deficits in the game; the Aggies outscored CSU, 20-3, over the final 37 minutes of clock time. Utah State has won back-to-back games in a series that has gone Over six times the last eight meetings.

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Utah State at Colorado State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Colorado State 38, Utah State 21

Money line (ML)

COLORADO IS THE LEAN, BUT PASS ON THE PRICE. Something in the neighborhood of Rams -420 would be in an acceptable ballpark.

Against the spread (ATS)

Utah State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games. Colorado State has some upside beyond some of the surface stats on paper. The Rams rank 105th in the nation in scoring defense but 36th in yardage allowed. They are decent against the run, and that works into USU’s strength on offense. Figure on CSU being able to control the line and force some tough passing downs and/or turnovers.

When the Rams have the ball, it’s weak offense vs. weak defense, but CSU could benefit from some “gravity” in its performance numbers. Albeit in a small sample, the Rams head into this game ranked 127th in the nation in converting third-downs and 125th in red zone scoring percentage. That amounts to a lot of potential points being wiped out so far.

BACK THE RAMS -13.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The nod here goes to both offenses being a bit more capable than what has come to the surface so far this fall. TAKE THE OVER 53.5 (+100).

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Air Force at Utah State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Air Force Falcons at Utah State Aggies sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Air Force Falcons (2-2, 1-2 MWC) visit the Utah State Aggies (1-4, 1-4) Thursday for a 9:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Air Force-Utah State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Air Force at Utah State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Air Force -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Utah State +370 (bet $100 to win $370)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Air Force -11.5 (-110) | Utah State +11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Air Force at Utah State: Three things to know

  1. Air Force has had three scheduled games disrupted due to COVID-19 and has played just once since Oct. 31. The Falcons were able to play New Mexico Nov. 20, and they blanked the Lobos by a 28-0 count to cover an 8-point spread as the Under (55) connected.
  2. Speaking of UNM, Utah State got off the schneid with a 41-27 victory over the Lobos in Logan Thanksgiving night, winning outright as a 6-point underdog. The Aggies entered that game with a total of 45 points scored in their first four games, going 0-4 straight up and ATS.
  3. Air Force is a dismal 5-11 ATS in its past 16 games against losing teams, and 0-8 ATS in its past eight on the road against teams with a losing home mark. The Falcons have covered in four of their past five games against USU, and the favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

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Air Force at Utah State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Air Force 31, Utah State 16

Money line (ML)

Air Force (-500) is a little too expensive on the money line, as you cannot risk nearly four times your potential return on a road team. The Falcons should be able to get it done, but it’s also risky backing a triple-option team in the event they need to play from behind. PASS.

Against the spread (ATS)

AIR FORCE -11.5 (-110) is a good play in this one. Yes, Utah State +10.5 (-115) is coming off its best performance of the season, but they also played an awful New Mexico side which posted 27 points on them. Conversely, Air Force shut out the Lobos. The Aggies also rank 101st in the nation, allowing 202.8 rushing yards per game, and that’s a specialty for the Falcons. Air Force averages 336.5 rushing yards per contest, tops in the country.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 51.5 (-115) is the lean in this Mountain West battle. Utah State did score a season-high 41 points last week, but it averaged just 11.3 points per game over its first four, and the Aggies will likely be back to struggling against a strong defense. Air Force is allowing just 18.3 PPG, 106.8 rushing yards per game and 326.3 total yards per game, each top 18 or better in the country.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Utah State at Nevada odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Utah State Aggies at Nevada Wolf Pack sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

There is some Moutain West action Thursday night. The Utah State Aggies (0-2) take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-0). Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Mackay Stadium in Reno. We analyze the Utah State-Nevada college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Utah State at Nevada: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah State +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Nevada -834 (bet $834 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Utah State +17.5 (-115) | Nevada -17.5 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 56.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Utah State at Nevada: Three things to know

  1. Utah State has scored only 20 points through two games so far this season.
  2. Nevada QB Carson Strong has completed 75.9% of his passes for 770 yards, 6 touchdowns and no interceptions through two games.
  3. The Aggies are 102nd in the nation in total offense and in scoring.

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Utah State at Nevada: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Nevada 37, Utah State 13

Money line (ML)

The way the two teams have played this season, the line makes sense, with Nevada as a significant favorite. Utah State’s offense just isn’t much to be worried about this year. That said, at -715, it isn’t worth the money. PASS and look to the spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

Nevada has won and covered the spread in both of their games this season. Utah State failed to cover the spread in either of their games. Expect the same outcome Thursday. Take NEVADA -17.5 (-106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Utah State’s offense will make it hard to go Over. If the Aggies can score 10 points, it would require the Wolf Pack to put up almost 50. That probably won’t happen; however, Utah State’s first two games have gone Over, while Nevada’s first two have split going Over once and Under in the other. Take UNDER 56.5 POINTS (-115).

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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