What are Alabama’s statistical odds of winning the SEC & making CFP? FiveThirtyEight gives insight

The numbers have been crunched, what are Alabama’s statistical chances of winning in the postseason?

The Alabama Crimson Tide come off of a BYE week as the No. 3 team in the nation, and look to this upcoming Saturday to face LSU at home as the regular season begins to wind down.

Starting the season as the top-ranked team, Alabama seemed like a lock to make the College Football Playoff, which they have only missed once (2019) since its inception in 2014. However, a loss to a then-unranked Texas A&M team dropped Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide back all the way to No. 5.

Now, Bryce Young has helped his team climb all the way back up into the top-three, and back into contention for the College Football Playoff.

One small wrinkle is that Alabama will likely have to face a familiar foe in the SEC Championship game: No. 1 Georgia. While the Bulldogs have been led by Kirby Smart, the team has yet to defeat Nick Saban; but, then again, something feels a bit different with this year’s team over in Athens.

FiveThirtyEight, a data firm, reveals the updated  statistical likelihood of Alabama making their way back into the top-four to make the playoff and compete for national championship No. 19.

According to the numbers, Nick Saban and Alabama have a 37% chance to win the SEC title, a 52% chance to make the playoff and a 20% chance to win the national championship.

All of the aforementioned statistics improved from their previous findings last week.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as they continue to play throughout the 2021 college football season.

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