Tag: UFC on ESPN 61 betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC on ESPN 61: Yana Santos vs. Chelsea Chandler odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 61 odds between Yana Santos vs. Chelsea Chandler, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round women’s bantamweight bout on the main card, Yana Santos and Chelsea Chandler meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 61 — also known as UFC Vegas 95 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 61: Santos vs. Chandler odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin 5 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Santos (14-8-0) | Chandler (6-2-0)

Santos enters this fight on a 3-bout skid, falling to Karol Rosa last time out via split decision. Before that, Holly Holm defeated Santos by unanimous decision, and she was knocked out in Round 1 against Irene Aldana at UFC 264. Her last win was a unanimous-decision win over Ketlen Vieira Feb. 20, 2021.

For Chandler, she has 3 fights under her belt since arriving at the UFC level. She topped Josiane Nunes last time out via unanimous decision, but fell by way of unanimous decision against Norma Dumont prior to that. In her UFC debut, she dropped Julija Stoliarenko in Round 1 Oct. 1, 2022.

Santos has a 4.16-to-3.45 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and she is much more accurate at 71.03%, to just 57.48% for Chandler. The underdog is slightly better in takedown average and accuracy.

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UFC on ESPN 61: Santos vs. Chandler odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Santos -156 (bet $156 to win $100) | Chandler +132 (bet $100 to win $132)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -380 | Under +270)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -320 | No +230)

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UFC on ESPN 61: Santos vs. Chandler picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

SANTOS (-156) is fighting to stay with the promotion, as she cannot afford too many more losses. She needs to pick up the pace — and pick it up quickly.

Facing Chandler (+132) might be the perfect opponent to halt the skid. Santos is an accurate punching machine, and she’ll be able to get the job done against the southpaw.

As far as the method of victory is concerned, SANTOS BY POINTS (+100) at plus-money is a solid value. She has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in each of her past 2 fights, and Santos has gone the distance in 4 of the past 5 fights and 6 of the previous 8 outings.

Chandler has gone the distance in each of her past 2 fights and 5 of her 8 pro bouts overall.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 2.5 Rounds (-380) will cost you nearly 4 times your potential return, and Yes (-320): Will fight go the distance? will set you back 3 times your initial wager.

AVOID both props, as that is just way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 61: Damon Jackson vs. Chepe Mariscal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 61 odds between Damon Jackson vs. Chepe Mariscal, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Damon Jackson and Chepe Mariscal meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 61 — also known as UFC Vegas 95 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 61: Jackson vs. Mariscal odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin 5 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Jackson (23-6-1) | Mariscal (16-6-0)

Jackson picked up a split-decision win over Alexander Hernandez April 6, halting a 2-bout losing skid. He suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Billy Quarantillo in Aug. 2023, while getting knocked out in Round 2 against Dan Ige Jan. 2023.

Mariscal has won all 3 of his fights since arriving at the UFC level, and he has won 6 straight pro bouts dating back to March 4, 2022. His last fight was a split-decision win against Morgan Charriere April 6, and 2 of his 3 UFC bouts have ended up going the distance.

Jackson stands 4 inches taller than his counterpart and holds a 2-inch reach advantage. Mariscal has a 4.70-to-3.00 significant strikes landed per minute advantage and is much more accurate at 64.77% to just 49.29%. Jackson has a 1.38-to-0.39 submission average advantage.

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UFC on ESPN 61: Jackson vs. Mariscal odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Jackson +162 (bet $100 to win $162) | Mariscal -194 (bet $194 to win $1000
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -116 | Under -110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +110 | No -140)

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UFC on ESPN 61: Jackson vs. Mariscal picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Mariscal (-194) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive straight up on the 2-way line.

JACKSON (+162) is worth a look as a rather moderate underdog. His ground game is good, and Mariscal hasn’t seen an opponent with a wrestling game like his.

If you really want to get crazy with the potential for a big payoff, JACKSON BY SUBMISSION (+550) is worth a roll of the dice. If Jackson can get Mariscal to the mat, it’s not going to go well for the favorite, as he is a puncher and more of a toe-to-toe brawler.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-110) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit play at most.

We’re looking for this fight to end with a tap, and NO (-140): WILL FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is certainly not priced out of line.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 61: Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 61 odds between Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round heavyweight bout in the main event, Marcin Tybura and Serghei Spivac meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 61 — also known as UFC Vegas 95 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 61: Tybura vs. Spivac odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin 5 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Tybura (25-8-0) | Spivac (16-4-0)

Tybura suffered a 1st-round KO/TKO loss to Tom Aspinall in the main event in a Fight Night July 22, 2023. He rebounded in the main event against Tai Tuivasa in a 1st-round submission win March 16. Tybura has managed 4 stoppages in the past 7 fights, although he has gone the distance 6 times in the past 10 outings.

This is actually the 2nd meeting at the UFC level between these fighters. Tybura picked up a unanimous-decision victory Feb. 29, 2020.

Spivac, aka the Polar Bear, is looking for the bounceback after getting knocked out in Round 2 by Ciryl Gane in a main event Sept. 2, 2023. That comes on the heels of a Round 1 submission in a main event Feb. 4, 2023. Each of his past 5 fights have finished inside the distance.

The 38-year-old Tybura has an ever-so-slight 3.60-to-3.54 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while Spivac has a 62.06% significant strikes accuracy percentage. Spivac also has an impressive 4.56 takedown average while posting a 64.29% takedown accuracy percentage and 0.51 submission average.

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UFC on ESPN 61: Tybura vs. Spivac odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:51 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Tybura +132 (bet $100 to win $132) | Spivac -156 (bet $156 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -102 | Under -124)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +162 | No -215)

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UFC on ESPN 61: Tybura vs. Spivac picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

SPIVAC (-156) is a strong play as a moderate favorite in this rematch.

Tybura (+132) won the 1st meeting back in Feb. 2020, but that’s over 4 years ago, and now Tybura is in his upper 30s with a lot of tread on the tires.

Spivac will be trying to get Tybura to the mat early and often, as he is the far more superior grappler.

SPIVAC BY KO/TKO (+195) is worth a look in the “Method of Victory”, as 4 of his past 5 fights have ended via knockout, with 2 wins and 2 losses by way of the method.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-124) is worth a play. Neither of these fighters have been distance fighters, especially lately.

Each of the past 5 fights for Spivac have finished inside the distance, and 3 of the bouts in the span haven’t made it out of Round 1.

For Tybura, each of his past 2 bouts have also ended in Round 1, although 3 of the past 5 fights have gone the distance, so don’t get too carried away.

However, playing No (-215): Will the fight go the distance? is a little on the expensive side, so PASS on that.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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