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UFC on ESPN 43: Nate Landwehr vs. Austin Lingo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 43 odds and lines between Nate Landwehr and Austin Lingo, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nate Landwehr and Austin Lingo meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.

Landwehr heads to the octagon with a pair of victories in his past 2 outings. He stopped David Onama via majority decision last time out, and he submitted Ludovit Klein Oct. 16, 2021. Still, it’s just a couple of fights since he was embarrassed in a 1st-round knockout loss to Julian Erosa in the opening minute.

Landwehr holds a 6.37-to-4.00 significant strikes landed per minute advantage over Lingo, and he is more accurate, too, at 54.87% to just 44.44% for the challenger.

The veteran is more solid in the ground game, too, posting a mark of 1.30 in both takedown average and submission average, and he is 66.67% in takedown accuracy percentage, too.

Lingo has managed a pair of unanimous-decision wins against Luis Saldana and Jacob Kilburn in his most recent fights after a unanimous-decision loss to Youssef Zalal in his company debut at UFC 247.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Landwehr -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Lingo +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +100 | Under -130)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)

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UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo picks and predictions

Records: Landwehr (16-4-0) | Lingo (9-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Landwehr (-210) is a big step up in competition for Lingo (+170). The challenger would be wise to try and keep his distance, although Landwehr holds a 2-inch reach advantage, while holding a big significant strikes landed per minute advantage.

Since landing in the UFC, Landwehr has gone the distance twice in 5 fights, while Lingo has gone the distance in each of his 3 bouts at the UFC level.

I think LANDWEHR BY POINTS (+225) is a solid value play for a chance to more than double up your initial investment.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing YES (+135): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a nice value at plus-money. Lingo hasn’t had a finish in 3 UFC bouts, and Landwehr has needed the judges to get involved in 2 of his past 4 outings.

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+100) is also decent at even-money, if you want a little wiggle room in the event of a late stoppage in Round 3.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Holly Holm vs. Yana Santos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 43 odds and lines between Holly Holm and Yana Santos, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s bantamweight bout on the main card, Holly Holm and Yana Santos meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Holm vs. Santos odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.

Holm looks to avenge a split-decision loss against Ketlen Vieira last time out in the main even on May 21, 2022. Since her stunning KO/TKO of Ronda Rousey at UFC 193, “The Preacher’s Daughter” has been rather ordinary. She is just 4-6 in the past 10 fights, and she has just 1 finish June 17, 2017, against Bethe Correia.

Santos is also looking to rebound after a 1st-round KO/TKO loss to Irene Aldana on the UFC 264 card July 10, 2021. She hasn’t fought in nearly 2 full calendar years, 20 months to be exact, to give birth to a baby with husband Thiago Santos. It’s the 2nd time in her career she pressed the pause button for the birth of a child.

The southpaw Holm holds a 1-inch reach advantage, and 2-inch height advantage, while Santos has a 4.28-to-3.24 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. In addition, Santos is much more accurate at 72.04% on her significant strikes, as opposed to Holm at 48.44%.

Santos can also wow the judges with her takedown ability, posting a 1.53 takedown average, while managing a 53.33% takedown average accuracy percentage.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Holm vs. Santos odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Holm -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Santos +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -290 | Under +220)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -230 | No +155)

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UFC on ESPN 43: Holm vs. Santos picks and predictions

Records: Holm (14-6-0) | Santos (14-6-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The veteran Holm (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive, especially for a bout between 2 fighters with identical records.

I do like Holm to get the victory, though, as it’s difficult for a fighter to come back from such a long layoff like Santos (+200) is doing. There is concern about cardio and stamina, especially against an active fighter like Holm.

I don’t think we’ll see a knockout in this one, and it’s likely HOLM ON POINTS (-118) is the most likely outcome.

Over/Under (O/U)

There is no value playing Yes (-230): Fight to go the distance, as you must risk nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return. In addition, Over 2.5 Rounds (-290) is a no-go, too.

PASS, and just stick to the method of victory play.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Marlon Vera vs. Cory Sandhagen odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 43 odds and lines between Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.

Vera takes the walk with 4 consecutive victories under his belt, including a 4th-round KO/TKO of Dominick Cruz last time out in the main event Aug. 13. He has won 2 of his past 3 fights via KO/TKO, also dropping Frankie Edgar at UFC 268.

The Ecuadoran fighter hasn’t had a submission win since July 2019 against Nohelin Hernandez at UFC 239. He is still decent in takedown accuracy at 42.31%, while posting a 1.05 submission average, but lately that hasn’t been his game.

Vera has used his punching power and accuracy for deafening blows instead, winning 6 times via KO/TKO in the past 12 fights since Aug. 4, 2019.

For Sandhagen, he stopped Song Yadong via TKO-Doctor’s Stoppage last time out in the main event in mid-Sept. 2022. That stopped a 2-bout losing skid, losing via unanimous decision to Petr Yan for the strap at UFC 267, and falling via split-decision to TJ Dillashaw in July 2021.

The two decision losses were the only non-stoppage bouts in the past 6 outings for Sandhagen. He hasn’t won via decision since Aug. 17, 2019, a unanimous-decision win over Raphael Assuncao at UFC 241.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Vera +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Sandhagen -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +125)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -140 | No +100)

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UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen picks and predictions

Records: Vera (20-7-1) | Sandhagen (15-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

This is going to be a fun fight, as both fighters can win in a multitude of ways. Sandhagen holds a 6.15-to-4.28 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although Vera is a little more accurate.

As long as Sandhagen can keep this one upright, and use his punching power to get ahead, he’ll win via KO/TKO, or do enough to wow the judges on points. If Vera can get it to the mat and use his wrestling skillset, it could go the other way.

I like the favorite SANDHAGEN (-155), though, straight on the 2-way line. This could have fight of the night written all over it, with plenty of blood.

Over/Under (O/U)

Neither of these fighters really like to leave it up to the decision of the judges, as both fighters have rolled up some solid KO/TKO wins of late.

However, I think both of these guys are smart, and both will be rather measured, respecting the other’s punching ability. SANDHAGEN BY POINTS (+127) is still a pretty good value a plus-money.

As such, YES (-140): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also a good play, especially if you just want to be entertained, and don’t want to declare a winner.

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UFC 286: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 286 odds and lines between Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout on the main card, Justin Gaethje battles Rafael Fiziev at UFC 286 at the O2 Arena in London. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 286: Gaethje vs. Fiziev odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN+ with the early prelims starting at 12:30 p.m. ET, and the prelims beginning at 3 p.m. ET.  The main card starts at 5 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View.

Gaethje failed to win the lightweight strap when he was submitted in the first round by Charles Oliveira last time out at UFC 274 in May 2022. It’s the 2nd time in the past 3 bouts that he has been submitted, also losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 254 on Fight Island in Oct. 2020.

Gaethje has gone the distance just once in his 9 fights at the UFC level, with 4 KO/TKO victories, 2 KO/TKO losses and a pair of submission setbacks.

Fiziev dropped Rafael Dos Anjos last time out in the fifth round in July 2022, his 2nd straight KO/TKO win, and 3rd knockout victory in the past 4 bouts.

Since making his UFC debut in April 2019 — a KO/TKO loss to Magomed Mustafaev — “Ataman” has ripped off 6 consecutive victories, including 3 unanimous-decision wins and 3 KO/TKO victories.

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UFC 286: Gaethje vs. Fiziev odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Justin Gaethje +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Rafael Fiziev -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -180 | Under +145)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +155 | No -230)

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UFC 286: Gaethje vs. Fiziev picks and predictions

Records: Gaethje (23-4-0) | Fiziev (12-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Fiziev looks to keep Gaethje down, but it certainly won’t be easy. Gaethje has a 7.46-to-4.81 significant strikes landed per minute advantage while posting a 60.52% significant strike accuracy percentage.

GAETHJE (+190) is worth taking a chance on, as you can nearly double up on the veteran fighter. The biggest danger to Gaethje is going to the mat and tapping out, but that’s not really Fiziev’s game. Both fighters will want to remain upright, and that’s good news for the underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

Gaethje is a punching machine, but look for him to be a little measured in his attacks. Fiziev is also a dangerous puncher, so both will want to keep each other at a bit of a distance, rather than walking into a killer blow that can end the fight in the blink of an eye.

I am not saying that this fight will be boring, by any stretch, but I don’t think it will be the punch-fest it is capable of being. As such, I like YES (+155): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE at plus money,  and METHOD OF VICTORY: GAETHJE BY POINTS (+720) is worth a partial unit play for a chance to multiply your initial wager by more than 7 times.

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UFC 286: Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 286 odds and lines between Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight championship bout in the main event, Leon Edwards takes on Kamaru Usman Saturday at UFC 286 at the O2 Arena in London. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN+ with the early prelims starting at 12:30 p.m. ET and the prelims beginning at 3 p.m. ET.  The main card starts at 5 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View.

Edwards and Usman meet for the third time in their careers. Usman recorded a unanimous decision victory in Dec. 2105 in their first battle but Edwards took the welterweight belt from Usman in Aug. 2022 at UFC 278, leveling the series at 1 victory apiece.

The trilogy was almost a certainty to happen.

Edwards knocked Usman out with less than a minute remaining in that 2022 bout. It was a rare stoppage for the Briton, too, as he had gone the distance in 4 of his previous 5 fights, not including a no-contest against Belal Muhammad for an accidental eye poke in March 2021.

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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Leon Edwards +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Kamaru Usman -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -190 | Under +150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -170 | No +125)

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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman picks and predictions

Records: Edwards (20-3-0) | Usman (20-2-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Usman takes the walk to the octagon looking to snatch his belt back from Edwards after getting knocked out in the 5th round at UFC 278 in August. That was Usman’s first loss since a setback to Jose Caceres at CFA 11 way back in May 2013.

Usman had won 19 straight fights, including each of his first 14 bouts at the UFC level. That includes a fight over Edwards via unanimous decision in his UFC debut back in Dec. 2015. He had held the welterweight title and defended it 5 times since March 2019 when he picked up a unanimous decision over Tyron Woodley.

Usman had won 3 of his prior 5 fights via KO/TKO, with a pair of unanimous decision victories.

Edwards has managed a 10-0 record with one no-contest across his past 11 bouts since the setback to Usman in 2015. He went the distance in 4 of his past 5 full fights, not including the ND against Belal Muhammad in the main event in March 2021.

It’s a good idea to look to the METHOD OF VICTORY, instead of Usman on the 2-way line. USMAN BY POINTS (+112) is a solid value at plus money.

Over/Under (O/U)

While Usman by points may be the play, Over 4.5 Round (-190) is a little too steep of a price. Instead, roll with YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-170).

Edwards has just 4 finishes in the past 12 full fights, not including the no-contest, while Usman has gone the distance in 6 of his past 10 outings, and 10 of the previous 15.

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UFC Fight Night 221: Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 221 odds between Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a catch weight bout on the main card, Nikita Krylov battles Ryan Spann Saturday at UFC Fight Night 221 — also known as UFC Vegas 71 — at The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 221: Krylov vs. Spann odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fight is on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 3 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 6 p.m. ET.

Krylov and Spann were expected to tangle at UFC Fight Night 220, but an illness to Krylov forced him out. The fighter said he believed that a meal that contained eggs the night before the fight likely contributed to his illness.

Spann was reportedly disappointed, but the good news is that the 2 fighters were rebooked for Vegas. The bad news is that this was to be a main event battle at UFC Fight Night 220, and now it’s a main card battle with 2 fewer rounds.

Krylov has picked up 2 wins since his most recent setback in March 2022. He posted a 1st-round knockout of Alexander Gustafsson in just 67 seconds in July 2022, bouncing back from a submission loss to Paul Craig. Krylov followed that up with a unanimous-decision win over Volkan Oezdemir last time out in late October.

Spann scored a 1st-round KO/TKO of Dominick Reyes at UFC 281 in November. He also had a Round 1 submission finish against Ion Cutelaba prior to that in May 2022, showing his versatility. He can do it with his punching power, or do it with his wrestling ability if need be. Spann hasn’t been to the 2nd Round in 5 straight fights, winning 3 times.

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UFC Fight Night 221: Krylov vs. Spann odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Krylov -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Spann +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +135 | Under -170)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+300) | No (-500)

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UFC Fight Night 221: Krylov vs. Spann picks and predictions

Records: Krylov (29-9-0) | Spann (21-7-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

SPANN (+145) is a solid value play as a moderate ‘dog. He has a chip on his shoulder after being prepared 2 weeks ago only to have the fight pushed back.

Spann also has three 1st-round stoppage wins in his past 4 fights, with a 1st-round submission loss to Anthony Smith on Sept. 18, 2021. Win or lose, Spann doesn’t go very deep into fights.

Krylov does have a solid 4.45-to-3.42 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and he is more accurate. However, Spann has been a KO/TKO winner on a regular basis and he’ll get it done — especially if he can keep this fight upright.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-500): Fight to go the distance is way too expensive, costing you 5 times your potential return.

Spann hasn’t even been to the 2nd Round in 5 straight fights. It’s best to avoid the Over/Under altogether.

Instead, it’s a solid idea to pick METHOD OF VICTORY: SPANN BY TKO/KO (+310) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by more than 3 times. Three of Spann’s last 6 victories came via knockout, so that’s the best play.

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UFC Fight Night 221: Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 221 odds between Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Alexander Volkov takes on Alexandr Romanov Saturday at UFC Fight Night 221 — also known as UFC Vegas 71 — at The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 221: Volkov vs. Romanov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fight is on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 3 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 6 p.m. ET.

Volkov has a 5-inch reach advantage and stands 5 inches taller than his counterpart. The Russian fighter holds a 4.88-to-3.78 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, too.

Volkov bounced back from a submission loss to Tom Aspinall on March 19, 2022, with a 1st-round KO/TKO of Jairzinho Rozenstruik last time out in June. He has alternated wins and losses in each of his past 5 bouts and went the distance in 2 of the past 4 contests.

Romanov was on the short end of a majority decision loss to Marcin Tybura at UFC 278 on Aug. 20, 2022, snapping a 5-0 start to his UFC career. He has gone the distance in 2 of his past 4 bouts.

The Moldovan southpaw will be looking to get the fight to the canvas, as he has a solid 5.18 takedown average and 1.15 submission average. Since arriving at the UFC level, he has submitted Chase Sherman, Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Roque Martinez.

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UFC Fight Night 221: Volkov vs. Romanov odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Volkov +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Romanov -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +140)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+175) | No (-270)

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UFC Fight Night 221: Volkov vs. Romanov picks and predictions

Records: Volkov (35-10-0) | Romanov (16-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

ROMANOV (-150) is a decent play as a moderate favorite.

Even with the loss last time out, the Moldovan fighter has easily been the more consistent of this duo. Volkov has been rather erratic lately, getting slept by Aspinall and losing against Ciryl Gane via unanimous decision in June 2021. Romanov will be looking to get this fight to the mat where he can do his magic. He has 3 submission victories in 6 fights since arriving at the UFC level.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-270): Fight to go the distance is not a good value, costing you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return.

With Romanov’s recent submission history, it’s a good idea to play METHOD OF VICTORY: ROMANOV BY SUBMISSION (+270) for an opportunity to nearly triple your initial wager. Volkov was on the short end of a submission loss last March, and he has 3 losses via submission in his career. That’s the best way to go.

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UFC Fight Night 221: Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 221 odds between Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Petr Yan takes on Merab Dvalishvili Saturday at UFC Fight Night 221 — also known as UFC Vegas 71 — at The Theatre at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 221: Yan vs. Dvalishvili odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fight is on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 3 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 6 p.m. ET.

Yan, the former champion, is looking to get himself back into title contention. He lost his strap to Aljamain Sterling via split-decision at UFC 273 in April 2022 and followed that bout up with a split-decision loss at UFC 280 against Sean O’Malley in October. Yan has gone the distance in each of his past 3 fights and 5 of the past 8 bouts.

Dvalishvili lost his first 2 fights at the UFC level in 2017 and 2018 but has since picked up 8 consecutive victories. He has 7 unanimous-decision victories and a KO/TKO against Marlon Moraes at UFC 266 during his win streak.

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UFC Fight Night 221: Yan vs. Dvalishvili odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Yan -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Dvalishvili +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +165)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes (-190) | No (+135)

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UFC Fight Night 221: Yan vs. Dvalishvili picks and predictions

Records: Yan (16-4-0) | Dvalishvili (15-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Yan (-260) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return if you bet him straight on the 2-way line, and that’s too expensive.

The former champ has ended up going the distance in 3 straight fights, while Dvalishvili has had the judges involved in 7 of his previous 8 bouts.

If you like Yan to win, play METHOD OF VICTORY: YAN BY POINTS (+110) — it’s a strong value at plus money.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-190) is quite expensive. Normally my limit for a singular bet is -180, but sometimes you have to make an exception.

Yan has gone the distance in 3 fights in a row, with Dvalishvili seeing just a single stoppage in the past 8 bouts. It almost seems like a certainty that the judges are summoned to decide a winner in this main event.

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Want action on this UFC fight or any other sports matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

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UFC 285: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Jalin Turner odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 285 odds between Mateusz Gamrot vs. Jalin Turner, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 285: Gamrot vs. Turner odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Gamrot looks to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss to Beneil Dariush last time out at UFC 280 in October. That defeat snapped a 4-bout win streak that dated back to Oct. 2020.

The Polish fighter, a.k.a. “Gamer”, has shown an ability to get it done in a number of ways. He had a unanimous-decision win over Arman Tsarukyan in June 2022, knocked out Diego Ferreira in Dec. 2021 and submitted Jeremy Stephens in July 2021 in the 1st round.

Turner takes the walk to the octagon with physical advantages. He stands 5 inches taller than his counterpart and holds a 6.5-inch reach advantage. The southpaw also holds 6.48-to-3.26 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.

The key for Turner is if he can keep this fight upright. Gamrot is a tremendous wrestler, and he has a 4.66 takedown average compared to just 1.14 for Turner.

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UFC 285: Gamrot vs. Turner odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Gamrot -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Turner +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +125 | Under -160)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+155) | No (-230)

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UFC 285: Gamrot vs. Turner picks and predictions

Records: Gamrot (21-2-0) | Turner (13-5-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

TURNER (+170) is worth a roll of the dice as a rather moderate underdog.

Gamrot is coming off a loss, and Turner has the tools to make this a long evening for the Polish fighter. “The Tarantula” also holds the physical advantages in height and reach, and will able to keep Gamrot at a distance.

As long as Turner can avoid going down to the canvas, letting Gamrot use his wrestling to his advantage, METHOD OF VICTORY: TURNER BY POINTS (+600) is also a solid play for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 6 times.

However, if it does go to the mat, Turner does have 3 wins in the past 4 fights via submission, so METHOD OF VICTORY: TURNER BY SUBMISSION (+1000) is also worth a look for a small-unit play.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+125) is worth a look at plus-money, as I think Turner can keep Gamrot at a distance and avoid the stoppage.

Gamrot has gone the distance in his past 2 fights, and 3 of his 6 bouts at the UFC level. Turner has 5 straight stoppages, with 3 wins via submission, and 2 via TKO/KO. Still, Gamrot is easily the fiercest opponent Turner has faced, and this one should go long into the night.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Want action on this UFC fight or any other sports matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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UFC 285: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 285 odds between Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Shevchenko lost a title fight by split decision against Amanda Nunes back at UFC 215 in Sept. 2017. She rebounded with a submission win against Priscila Cachoeira in Feb. 2018, and that started a 9-bout win streak.

Shevchenko picked up a unanimous-decision win over Joanna Jedrzejczyk to earn the strap in Dec. 2018 at UFC 231, and she has defended the belt successfully in 7 straight bouts. That includes a split-decision win over Taila Santos last time out at UFC 275 in June 2022. In 4 of her past 7 bouts, Shevchenko has earned KO/TKO victories.

Grasso gets her first crack at a strap, but she enters as a decisive underdog. The Mexican fighter has won 4 straight bouts, with 3 of those ending via unanimous-decision victory. She has gone the distance in 5 of her last 6 fights.

Grasso holds a 5.14-to-3.19 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although the champ is far more accurate at 68.53% to just 53.45% for the challenger. Shevchenko is much better in the takedown game, posting a 2.53 takedown average with a 64.06% takedown accuracy percentage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Shevchenko -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Grasso +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over +120 | Under -150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+125) | No (-170)

Catch the excitement and bet with Tipico

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In Colorado and New Jersey, claim your 100% Deposit Match up to $250 now. Bet now! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions.

UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso picks and predictions

Records: Shevchenko (23-3-0) | Grasso (15-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Shevchenko (-800) will cost you 8 times your potential return, which is far too expensive for a standalone play or to include in a multi-fighter parlay.

Instead, get a little more specific. METHOD OF VICTORY: SHEVCHENKO BY KO/TKO (+195) for a chance to nearly double up your initial wager is a much more enticing play. She has won 3 of his past 5 fights via KO/TKO, and I like that slightly better than Shevchenko by points (+185).

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-150) is worth a look, albeit at a rather moderate price.

While Grasso has gone the distance in 5 of the past 6 fights, she hasn’t faced anyone quite as versatile as the champ. Shevchenko can do it with her punching power, as well as her ability on the mat, and should be able to get this one done with a KO/TKO in the Round 3 or 4 neighborhood.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Want action on this UFC fight or any other sports matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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