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UFC on ESPN 43: Nate Landwehr vs. Austin Lingo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 43 odds and lines between Nate Landwehr and Austin Lingo, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nate Landwehr and Austin Lingo meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.

Landwehr heads to the octagon with a pair of victories in his past 2 outings. He stopped David Onama via majority decision last time out, and he submitted Ludovit Klein Oct. 16, 2021. Still, it’s just a couple of fights since he was embarrassed in a 1st-round knockout loss to Julian Erosa in the opening minute.

Landwehr holds a 6.37-to-4.00 significant strikes landed per minute advantage over Lingo, and he is more accurate, too, at 54.87% to just 44.44% for the challenger.

The veteran is more solid in the ground game, too, posting a mark of 1.30 in both takedown average and submission average, and he is 66.67% in takedown accuracy percentage, too.

Lingo has managed a pair of unanimous-decision wins against Luis Saldana and Jacob Kilburn in his most recent fights after a unanimous-decision loss to Youssef Zalal in his company debut at UFC 247.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Landwehr -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Lingo +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +100 | Under -130)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)

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UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo picks and predictions

Records: Landwehr (16-4-0) | Lingo (9-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Landwehr (-210) is a big step up in competition for Lingo (+170). The challenger would be wise to try and keep his distance, although Landwehr holds a 2-inch reach advantage, while holding a big significant strikes landed per minute advantage.

Since landing in the UFC, Landwehr has gone the distance twice in 5 fights, while Lingo has gone the distance in each of his 3 bouts at the UFC level.

I think LANDWEHR BY POINTS (+225) is a solid value play for a chance to more than double up your initial investment.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing YES (+135): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a nice value at plus-money. Lingo hasn’t had a finish in 3 UFC bouts, and Landwehr has needed the judges to get involved in 2 of his past 4 outings.

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+100) is also decent at even-money, if you want a little wiggle room in the event of a late stoppage in Round 3.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Holly Holm vs. Yana Santos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 43 odds and lines between Holly Holm and Yana Santos, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s bantamweight bout on the main card, Holly Holm and Yana Santos meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Holm vs. Santos odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.

Holm looks to avenge a split-decision loss against Ketlen Vieira last time out in the main even on May 21, 2022. Since her stunning KO/TKO of Ronda Rousey at UFC 193, “The Preacher’s Daughter” has been rather ordinary. She is just 4-6 in the past 10 fights, and she has just 1 finish June 17, 2017, against Bethe Correia.

Santos is also looking to rebound after a 1st-round KO/TKO loss to Irene Aldana on the UFC 264 card July 10, 2021. She hasn’t fought in nearly 2 full calendar years, 20 months to be exact, to give birth to a baby with husband Thiago Santos. It’s the 2nd time in her career she pressed the pause button for the birth of a child.

The southpaw Holm holds a 1-inch reach advantage, and 2-inch height advantage, while Santos has a 4.28-to-3.24 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. In addition, Santos is much more accurate at 72.04% on her significant strikes, as opposed to Holm at 48.44%.

Santos can also wow the judges with her takedown ability, posting a 1.53 takedown average, while managing a 53.33% takedown average accuracy percentage.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Holm vs. Santos odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Holm -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Santos +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -290 | Under +220)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -230 | No +155)

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UFC on ESPN 43: Holm vs. Santos picks and predictions

Records: Holm (14-6-0) | Santos (14-6-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The veteran Holm (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive, especially for a bout between 2 fighters with identical records.

I do like Holm to get the victory, though, as it’s difficult for a fighter to come back from such a long layoff like Santos (+200) is doing. There is concern about cardio and stamina, especially against an active fighter like Holm.

I don’t think we’ll see a knockout in this one, and it’s likely HOLM ON POINTS (-118) is the most likely outcome.

Over/Under (O/U)

There is no value playing Yes (-230): Fight to go the distance, as you must risk nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return. In addition, Over 2.5 Rounds (-290) is a no-go, too.

PASS, and just stick to the method of victory play.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Marlon Vera vs. Cory Sandhagen odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 43 odds and lines between Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.

Vera takes the walk with 4 consecutive victories under his belt, including a 4th-round KO/TKO of Dominick Cruz last time out in the main event Aug. 13. He has won 2 of his past 3 fights via KO/TKO, also dropping Frankie Edgar at UFC 268.

The Ecuadoran fighter hasn’t had a submission win since July 2019 against Nohelin Hernandez at UFC 239. He is still decent in takedown accuracy at 42.31%, while posting a 1.05 submission average, but lately that hasn’t been his game.

Vera has used his punching power and accuracy for deafening blows instead, winning 6 times via KO/TKO in the past 12 fights since Aug. 4, 2019.

For Sandhagen, he stopped Song Yadong via TKO-Doctor’s Stoppage last time out in the main event in mid-Sept. 2022. That stopped a 2-bout losing skid, losing via unanimous decision to Petr Yan for the strap at UFC 267, and falling via split-decision to TJ Dillashaw in July 2021.

The two decision losses were the only non-stoppage bouts in the past 6 outings for Sandhagen. He hasn’t won via decision since Aug. 17, 2019, a unanimous-decision win over Raphael Assuncao at UFC 241.

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UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Vera +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Sandhagen -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +125)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -140 | No +100)

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UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen picks and predictions

Records: Vera (20-7-1) | Sandhagen (15-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

This is going to be a fun fight, as both fighters can win in a multitude of ways. Sandhagen holds a 6.15-to-4.28 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although Vera is a little more accurate.

As long as Sandhagen can keep this one upright, and use his punching power to get ahead, he’ll win via KO/TKO, or do enough to wow the judges on points. If Vera can get it to the mat and use his wrestling skillset, it could go the other way.

I like the favorite SANDHAGEN (-155), though, straight on the 2-way line. This could have fight of the night written all over it, with plenty of blood.

Over/Under (O/U)

Neither of these fighters really like to leave it up to the decision of the judges, as both fighters have rolled up some solid KO/TKO wins of late.

However, I think both of these guys are smart, and both will be rather measured, respecting the other’s punching ability. SANDHAGEN BY POINTS (+127) is still a pretty good value a plus-money.

As such, YES (-140): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also a good play, especially if you just want to be entertained, and don’t want to declare a winner.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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