Inside the Stats: Tight Ends

Inside the stats for tight ends

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

It is a position where few stand out with fantasy relevance, so overall stats say about all you need to know about a tight end’s value. These are the 12 players with at least 50 catches for 2019 and are in an offensive system that will use the position enough to let them matter. Still, always good to know a bit more about the player talent level if only for the future should they change teams.

Notable Players:

George Kittle – He did not see as much work in the playoffs as the regular season, but he’s clearly one of the most talented players of the position. His only metric that wasn’t among the best was the yards before catch – the one thing he has nothing to do with. His catch percentage (79%), yards after catch (7.1), and broken tackles (8) were all best in the NFL.

Darren Waller – For the second year in a row, the Raiders produced a top fantasy tight end from a player that had never been nearly so productive in the past. Waller posted metrics very similar to Kittle and had no low marks in any category.

Mark Andrews – The Ravens don’t throw a lot and don’t limit themselves to just one tight end, but Andrews led the group with 13.3 yards per catch not unlike a wide receiver would do.

Tyler Higbee – His late-season explosion of 2019 is still hard to wrap a head around. Is he just a late-career Cinderella ready to return to pumpkin status or will he continue his head-scratching, elite performances?  His 78% catch rate was nearly the best in the league and he only dropped two passes.  One to watch to be sure.

Mike Gesicki – The other new face to fantasy tight ends actually fielded the No. 8 highest number of passing targets for the position. That alone makes the third-year former second-round pick on the watch list for 2020. He’s on a trajectory for a breakout season and never dropped a pass last year.

Tyler Higbee went from overlooked TE to top-75 player in NFL

Tyler Higbee was ranked as the 74th-best player in the NFL by Pro Football Focus in 2019.

When looking at the Los Angeles Rams’ offensive playmakers heading into the 2019 season, Tyler Higbee’s name was far down the list. He was behind the likes of Todd Gurley, Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Brandin Cooks, Gerald Everett and in some minds, even Darrell Henderson Jr.

No one expected him to have the season that he did, but Everett’s injury and the Rams’ mentality shift late in the year led to a breakout campaign by Higbee. He finished the season with 69 catches for 734 yards and seven touchdowns, more than doubling his career reception and yardage totals from the previous three years combined.

It was the best season ever by a Rams tight end, setting franchise records in receptions and yards thanks to his late-season emergence. In the final five games alone, he had 43 catches for 522 yards and two touchdowns, topping 100 yards in four of those starts.

He’s now on the radars of most casual NFL fans – partly due to fantasy football – and has garnered the respect of Pro Football Focus. PFF is ranking the top 101 players in the NFL from the 2019 season and Higbee came in at No. 74.

The Rams took a significant step back this season overall, but one member of the team who went in the other direction was their tight end, Tyler Higbee. Higbee more than doubled his previous career-high figures for receptions and receiving yards while receiving more than twice the targets he did a season ago. He broke seven tackles after the catch and hauled in 80.2% of the passes thrown his way over the season.

Higbee probably wouldn’t have sniffed the top 200 players in the NFL before last season, but he burst onto the scene with a huge performance and people are taking notice. Now that he’s established himself as the top tight end in Los Angeles, it begs the question of what Everett’s role will be in 2020.

Could the Rams try to shop him in order to recoup a mid-round pick? Or will they simply utilize more two-tight end sets with Higbee and Everett to make their offense even more versatile and unpredictable?

That’s up to Sean McVay and new offensive coordinator Kevin O’Connell, but at least there are countless options with this group. Higbee’s breakout season came at the perfect time for the Rams, especially since they just signed him to an extension in September.

Tyler Higbee was PFF’s top graded Rams player on offense in 2019

Tyler Higbee finished with the highest grade on offense of any Rams player.

The Los Angeles Rams have Todd Gurley, Jared Goff, Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods on offense, but Pro Football Focus didn’t grade a single one of those players higher than Tyler Higbee in 2019.

Incredibly, with all the big names Los Angeles has on its offense, it was Higbee – who had 26 catches for 212 yards and one touchdown in the first 10 games of the season – with the highest grade PFF grade on the Rams offense this season.

He finished the year with an overall grade of 85.9, which was the third-highest by a Rams offensive player in the last three years. It was all thanks to his last five games of the season, which all came in December.

In those games, he caught 43 passes for 522 yards and two touchdowns. Thanks to that finish, Higbee not only ended the year with the highest grade on offense by a Rams player, but he posted the best season by a tight end in franchise history. His 69 catches and 734 yards are the most ever by a Rams tight end.

Higbee doesn’t necessarily get all the credit he should as a blocker, either. He was strong in that department this season, both in the running game and in pass protection. Against the Bears, he was asked to block Khalil Mack one-on-one a couple times and held his own in those situations.

As the Rams’ official site mentioned, Higbee’s receiving grade of 90.0 is what really pushed his performance over the top. He wasn’t a downfield threat, though. He gained a good chunk of his yards after the catch, gaining 396 yards with the ball in his hands.

According to PFF’s data, Higbee did the majority of his damage when targeted short, or 1-9 yards past the line of scrimmage, catching 46 of 52 yards for 394 yards and all three of his touchdowns in that range. He also was effective on screens, too, catching 12 of 13 targets for 111 yards with 142 yards after the catch when targeted behind the line of scrimmage.

Higbee received an extension last season and while it was met with confusion and some criticism, he’s making the Rams look wise for signing him when they did. In one month, he emerged as one of the most reliable tight ends in football.

Tyler Higbee completes best season ever by Rams TE with another record

Tyler Higbee set yet another TE record on Sunday.

Tyler Higbee has officially had the best season ever by a Rams tight end. Already holding the single-season franchise record for receptions by a tight end with 61, he just set the bar again in receiving yards.

Higbee caught a 14-yard pass in the second quarter of Sunday’s game to give him 682 on the year. That’s the most receiving yards ever by a Rams tight end in a single season, which is something no one saw coming at the beginning of the year.

The previous record was held by Jared Cook, who had 671 yards in 2013.

Higbee has four straight games with at least 100 yards receiving, and he’ll try to make it five on Sunday against the Cardinals. He’s the first tight end in the Super Bowl era with seven catches and 100 yards in four consecutive games.

DFS PROS favorite plays: Week 17

Top-ranked DFS PRO Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite Daily Fantasy Football plays at various salary ranges for Week 16 of the NFL. Find out who Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Top-ranked DFS PRO Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite Daily Fantasy Football plays at various salary ranges for Week 16 of the NFL. Find out who Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

QUARTERBACKS

MATT RYAN- $6500 DRAFTKINGS, $7800 FANDUEL

Matt Ryan strolls into Week 17 with a dream matchup vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Ryan has been super consistent all season and is averaging 21.9 DraftKings points per game. Tampa Bay is allowing 269 passing yards per game and ranks 23rd against opposing quarterbacks. This is not a game with playoff implications but I will target it for the shootout potential and high over-under. The ideal pairing would be with either Julio Jones or Austin Hooper for your stack.

JAMEIS WINSTON- $6600 DRAFTKINGS, $8100 FANDUEL

I mentioned above that this game has zero playoff implications which worries me a bit but it’s still a game to target due to it being the highest total of the slate at 48 points. Winston is far from perfect and not the quarterback that I would build my franchise around but I don’t mind playing him for DFS purposes. He has averaged 23 points per game and has 30-40 point upside. Combine that with the fact weather shouldn’t be a concern in Tampa and this Atlanta defense is suspect to say the least and we have the upside we need with Winston. We can find a cheap pairing with Howard or Watson and stack them with Winston in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

SAQUON BARKLEY-  $8700 DRAFTKINGS, $9300 FANDUEL
I will play the trends and if you have followed my column the last 2 weeks I was on Barkley. I told everyone I was doubling down on him last week and I will continue playing him for a 3rd straight week. Barkley has reclaimed his role just in time for fantasy drafts next season where he will be in the mix again in the top 5. Barkley is coming off a 33 and 46 point performance the last 2 weeks and now faces the Eagles with upset on his mind. Narratives are a real thing and I think Barkley would like nothing more than to end the season strong and ruin the day for their rivals in the Eagles.

AARON JONES- $8200 DRAFTKINGS, $8000 FANDUEL

Aaron Jones has quietly scored 19 touchdowns on the season and I can almost guarantee he will hit 20 before the end of the season. Jones has averaged 21 fantasy points per game and has come on strong towards the end of the season. This matchup versus the Lions is one of the best on paper and I think the Packers will dominate this game and exploit the weak run defense of the Lions. Detroit ranks 29th against opposing running backs and Jones should be a lock of 1-2 touchdowns and another 100 yard game in week 17.

WIDE RECEIVERS

JULIO JONES- $8500 DRAFTKINGS, $8500 FANDUEL
Just like Saquon Barkley, Julio Jones is making a late-season push for next year’s fantasy drafts. He is coming off of a 41 and 29 point performance the past 2 weeks and should be in line for another monster game versus the Buccaneers. As the time I am writing this Julio has had limited practice participation so keep an eye on the reports but this has been the case in previous weeks. If Julio plays he will be a top 5 wide receiver by the day’s end. If for any reason he misses pivot to Russel Gage for an extreme value.
A.J. BROWN- $7000 DRAFTKINGS, $7200 FANDUEL
A.J. Brown will be looking to eclipse the 1000 yard mark in Week 17 and with only 73 yards to go, I believe he finds a way to exceed the mark. He has been great in 4 of the last 5 games and has exceeded 25 DraftKings points in the 3 of the 5. He gets a great matchup in Week 17 versus the 22nd ranked team versus wide receivers. Houston has been beaten through the air and has allowed 270 yards per game passing. I love the pairing of Tannehill to Brown in my tournament lineups on both sites.

TIGHT ENDS

TYLER HIGBEE $5600 DRAFTKINGS, $6900 FANDUEL

The late-season trends continue and this article is feeling more like a second half of the season awards show. This is Higbee’s fantasy performance over the past 4 weeks on DraftKings: 26.7, 21.6, 26.1, and 22.4. That’s the best tight end streak that I can remember, and I would bet my fantasy dollars that continues in Week 17. Just like the rest of the tight ends all season Higbee lit up the Cardinals for 26.7 fantasy points in Week 13 and he will be a lock in all my lineups at tight end.

AUSTIN HOOPER- $5800 DRAFTKINGS, $6000 FANDUEL

Hooper started the season very strong and then went down with an injury and hasn’t really been the same. A matchup versus the Buccaneers should change things for him. Hooper has averaged 15 points per game and provides a safe floor at a volatile tight end position. Factor that with how bad Tampa Bay covers the tight end, almost a league-worst 29th and we should have a safe floor with upside for both cash games and tournaments.

DEFENSES

PACKERS- $3000 DRAFTKINGS, $4800 FANDUEL

The Green Bay Packers have rounded out to a balanced team on both sides and their defense has been consistently good over the past 4 weeks. The Lions have all but given up on the season and I love to see a matchup of a solid defense fighting for playoff seeding versus a team full of injuries and an unstable quarterback. The Packers provide a nice value on both sites along with a solid floor to mold your lineups with.

STEELERS- $3000 DRAFTKINGS, $3500 FANDUEL

The Steelers defense was priced down on both sites prior to the announcement that the Ravens will be sitting most of their offensive starters. They went from having to defend the future MVP, Lamar Jackson, to now a matchup against RGIII and a crew full of backups. Combine that with the fact the Steelers have something to play for and we have a great value defense. The Steelers defense has averaged 11 points per game, has a great matchup, and is the best salary saving defense with upside in Week 17.

Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than seven years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.

What does Gerald Everett’s future with the Rams look like?

Tyler Higbee is TE1, which leaves Gerald Everett’s future with the Rams on shaky ground.

Gerald Everett’s breakout with the Rams may never come.

For a tight end with so much potential and such high expectations among fans and media members, he may not have much of a future in Los Angeles after yet another disappointing season and the emergence of Tyler Higbee as the No. 1 tight end on the depth chart.

Everett missed three games with a knee injury, and in his return on Saturday night, he played just four measly snaps. He was targeted once and didn’t have a single catch, proving to be a non-factor in a must-win game for the Rams.

In the three games Everett missed – and on Saturday night, too – Higbee caught at least seven passes for 100-plus yards each week. He’s proved to be the Rams’ best tight end this season, becoming the first tight end in NFL history to catch at least seven passes for 100 yards in four straight games.

Everett has only one year left on his contract, becoming a free agent in 2021 if the Rams don’t sign him to an extension. Los Angeles already gave Higbee a new deal worth $7.25 million per year, which runs through the 2023 season.

The Rams clearly see him as a No. 1 tight end, and they’ve been using him as such in recent weeks.

So where does that leave Everett? Most likely, he’ll be back on the team for one more year in 2020, but even that’s not a certainty. He’s a tight end with a ton of potential as a receiver, which isn’t easy to find in the NFL.

It’s possible that the Rams could shop him this offseason in an attempt to recoup some of the picks they traded away to acquire players such as Jalen Ramsey, Austin Corbett and Dante Fowler Jr. In those trades alone, the Rams gave up a first-rounder (Ramsey) and fifth-rounder (Fowler) in 2020, as well as first-, fourth- and fifth-round picks in 2021.

Everett only has one year left on his contract and was a second-round pick in 2017, so the Rams aren’t going to fetch anything more than a third-round pick for him. But if they can get a fourth-rounder, should they consider it?

After reportedly seeking a sixth-round pick for Higbee last year, it’s possible the Rams would take a fourth for Everett. With Higbee paid and Johnny Mundt (a free agent in 2020, but a cheap re-sign) doing an excellent job as the No. 2 tight end dominating as a blocker, Everett’s role may not be very large next season.

The Rams already prefer not to take wideouts off the field in favor of tight ends, so with Higbee being the top option, Everett could have a hard time finding snaps next year. Trading him for a mid-round pick is not out of the question, especially with the Rams missing the playoffs and needing draft picks after wheeling and dealing the last two years.

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6 milestones and records set by Rams players vs. 49ers

A few Rams players etched their names into the record books on Saturday night.

The 2019 season is winding down with the Rams having just one game left to play. They’ve been eliminated from playoff contention and will just try to finish with a winning record for the third straight year next week against Arizona.

The Rams’ 34-31 loss to the 49ers on Saturday night was a crushing one, especially with the way it ended; San Francisco converted twice on third-and-16 on its game-winning drive.

As deflating and disappointing as the defeat was, it wasn’t all bad for a few Rams players. While they’d much rather win, four players reached milestones and a few even set franchise records.

Here are all the significant numbers and stats that came out of Sunday’s loss to the 49ers.

Tyler Higbee joins rare company with 100-yard game

Higbee finished with 104 yards receiving on Saturday night, giving him four straight 100-yard games. Only two other tight ends have done that in the Super Bowl era, which puts him in elite company.

In his last four games, he has 438 yards on 35 receptions, catching at least seven passes in each one.

Higbee sets new franchise for a TE

Additionally, Higbee set a new franchise record for the most catches by a tight end in a single season. The record was previously held by Pete Holohan, who caught 59 passes in 1988. Higbee has 61 and counting with one game left.

Gurley ties Marshall Faulk’s team record

Gurley has had a remarkable career thus far, scoring 58 times on the ground in his first five seasons. That already ties Faulk’s franchise record, and is more than Steven Jackson and Eric Dickerson had in their careers with the Rams.

Gurley makes history with another 13-TD season

Gurley may not be racking up big yardage numbers, but he’s still finding the end zone consistently. He has 14 touchdowns on the year now, giving him three years in a row with at least that many scores. Gurley has scored 54 times in the last three years.

Jared Goff does something no other Rams QB has

Goff made Rams history with his second straight 4,000-yard season, as he has 4,319 yards in 2019 so far. He needs 370 yards in Week 17 to surpass his total from last season.

Robert Woods gains 1,000 yards in back-to-back years

Woods has been Mr. Consistent for the Rams the last two years, once again eclipsing 1,000 yards receiving. He’s the first Rams wideout to do that in consecutive years since Torry Holt in 2007.

Rams’ Week 16 studs and duds: Donald and Fowler shine, Rapp struggles

The best and worst performances from the Rams’ 34-31 loss.

It was a stunning and humbling loss for the Rams on Saturday night, but it wasn’t all bad for the defending NFC champions. While the 34-31 defeat hurt and eliminated them from playoff contention, quite a few players did have strong performances.

Here are our studs and duds from the Rams’ Week 16 loss to the 49ers.

Studs

Tyler Higbee and Robert Woods

Higbee and Woods remain Jared Goff’s top targets in the passing game. Higbee caught nine passes for 104 yards on 11 targets, while Woods racked up 117 yards on eight catches (11 targets). No other player had more than four catches or 39 yards, as Higbee and Woods were the ones open most often – specifically on designed rollouts for Goff. Both pass-catchers had great performances, just as they have in recent weeks.

Aaron Donald

Donald once again commanded double-teams on most of his pass-rush reps, which is nothing new. Still, he recorded 1.5 sacks, two quarterback hits, and one tackle for loss. His sacks came at clutch moments, too, both in the second half. Donald has a huge impact each week for the Rams defense, drawing attention away from the other pass rushers.

Dante Fowler Jr.

Fowler is earning a big payday this offseason with his play in 2019. He’s up to 11.5 sacks on the year after adding 2.5 more on Saturday night, consistently getting to Jimmy Garoppolo off the edge. His speed is evident every week that he’s on the field and if the Rams can’t re-sign him this offseason, he’s going to be missed at outside linebacker in 2020.

Jalen Ramsey

Ramsey left the game briefly with a knee injury and was considered doubtful to return. He only missed a series, though, and was back out there in short order. He said afterwards that he was playing through pain and will get an MRI on his knee, but he still had a great performance. He picked off one pass and broke up another that was intercepted by Darious Williams, creating two interceptions for the Rams defense.

On the 46-yard pass to Emmanuel Sanders on the final drive of the game, Ramsey indicated the blown coverage was on Taylor Rapp. It was a bad play regardless of who was at fault, and cost the Rams a win.

Darious Williams

Williams was making his first start with the Rams and the coaches couldn’t have expected him to play much better than he did. He picked off one pass, deflected another and was in coverage on a high throw to Deebo Samuel, playing great coverage on the in-breaking route. For a player with as little experience as he has, he stepped up in a big way.

Tyler Higbee sets Rams TE record for receptions in a season

Tyler Higbee etched his name into the record books on Saturday.

In the first 10 games of the season, Tyler Higbee had 26 catches for 212 yards and one touchdown. In the four games since, he’s caught 34 passes for 85 yards … and counting.

With eight more catches in the first three quarters of Saturday night’s game against the 49ers, Higbee made franchise history for the most catches by a tight end in a single season, setting the record at 60.

The previous high was 59 catches by Pete Holohan in 1988.

Higbee benefited greatly from Gerald Everett’s absence, but even with Everett healthy in Week 16, it’s Higbee getting the bulk of the action at tight end.

He deserves the snaps he’s getting, too. Higbee has caught at least seven passes in each of the last four games and is attempting to go over 100 yards receiving for the fourth straight week, too.

He already holds the record for the most 100-yard games in a row by a Rams tight end at three.

With Tyler Higbee rolling, how will Rams deploy Gerald Everett in return?

Gerald Everett will return to action after missing three games, but what will his role be?

Gerald Everett appeared poised for a breakout season in 2019. He overtook Tyler Higbee as the top tight end on the Rams late last season, putting together strong performances down the stretch.

To begin this season, he was playing more than Higbee yet again, which is why so many fans and analysts thought he could become a consistent producer at tight end. Though he had been playing well (37 catches for 408 yards in 11 games), Everett’s breakout was put on hold in Week 12 when he injured his knee.

During his three-game absence, Higbee did something no other Rams tight end had done before: He strung together three consecutive 100-yard games. He became a focal point of the offense, but with Everett set to return on Saturday night, will that change?

That’s a question only Sean McVay can answer.

Higbee was targeted 33 times in those three games, catching 26 passes for 334 yards and a touchdown. You’d have to tally Everett’s previous seven games combined (26 catches, 321 yards and one touchdown) to match the numbers Higbee put up in three starts.

But more importantly with Everett out, the Rams went back to more of a run-first attack. Higbee and Johnny Mundt were playing a lot together prior to Sunday’s loss in Dallas, with the Rams opting for a lot of 12 personnel instead of constantly utilizing three receivers, one back and one tight end.

The result was a brief resurgence from Todd Gurley and improved play-action passing.

Can that continue with Everett returning and Higbee’s snaps potentially being limited? It remains to be seen, but there’s a good chance Higbee won’t be on the field as much as he has been. In the three games prior to Everett’s injury, Higbee played 33%, 76% and 69% of the snaps. Since then, he played 91%, 97% and 86%.

The Rams had two of their best and most balanced offensive performances against the Cardinals and Seahawks, gaining 549 yards and 445 yards, respectively, in those games. The ground game was a big factor in each win, with Higbee and Mundt doing an excellent job blocking on the edges.

Everett will get his share of snaps. He’ll probably play about 50% of the offensive plays, many of which should come with Higbee also on the field. He’s not the blocker that Higbee or Mundt are, and with the Rams trying to establish the run, it wouldn’t be unreasonable for Everett to play less than usual.

Just don’t expect him to play only a handful of snaps in his return from a knee injury. He’ll have his chances to contribute, even if it costs Higbee some production and playing time.