Travis Kelce prop bets – Syndication Server

2023 Super Bowl: Travis Kelce prop bet odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce’s Super Bowl prop bets odds, with predictions and picks for the best prop bets to make.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) will attempt to take down the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) in the 2023 Super Bowl Sunday in Glendale, Ariz., Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s odds for Chiefs TE Travis Kelce’s Super Bowl prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Since the retirement of Rob Gronkowski, Kelce has taken over as the best tight end in the NFL. He is QB Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target and has parlayed that into incredible numbers in both the regular season and the playoffs.

Kelce loves his QB, and the feeling is mutual. With K.C. being without WR Mecole Hardman (on IR) and with WRs JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney being limited at best, Kelce will be forced to be the main man once again. The Eagles will do everything possible to not let him beat them, but it might not be enough as Kelce has a knack for finding the smallest sliver of open space to get a pass thrown his way.

Kelce was only a 3rd-round draft pick in 2013 — out of the University of Cincinnati — because the thought was he wasn’t an in-line blocker in the run game. In today’s NFL, no one cares. He would be a 1st-round pick for sure.

For the Super Bowl, we only care about his offensive abilities for these prop bets.

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Travis Kelce 2023 Super Bowl prop bets

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:51 a.m. ET.

Receiving yards: OVER 78.5 yards (-120)

This is an intriguing line as Kelce has gone Over this total in 1 of the Chiefs’ 2 Chiefs’ postseason game (98 yards vs. Jacksonville). He came up a half a yard short in the other game (78 yards vs. Cincinnati). The Eagles will look to contain Kelce, but it’s going to be difficult as he can find his way open and even when he can’t, Mahomes trusts Kelce to go up and get the ball in coverage.

With 21 catches, 176 yards and 3 TDs this postseason, Kelce has moved into 2nd in career playoff receptions (127), yards (1,427) and TDs (15 tied with Gronk) behind only Jerry Rice (151, 2,245, 22). While Kelce won’t catch Rice in any of those categories in this game, he is going to do everything in his power to get closer. The start of that is by getting OVER 78.5 YARDS receiving.

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Receptions: OVER 6.5 (-170)

Kelce will be force fed the ball. Especially with the injuries to Hardman, Smith-Schuster and Toney. Mahomes will count on Kelce to make plays happen.

With 14 and 7 receptions in the 2 playoff games, 6.5 seems too low.

Kelce is great at down-field catches, but he is just as good getting a jet sweep pass or a shovel pass.

The O/U line of 6.5 is absurdly low, and although the juice is high, it’s still worth putting a little money on. If you can get an alternate line a few receptions higher at +odds, I would consider also.

BET OVER 6.5 receptions (-170).

Touchdown(s)

Anytime (-140) | 2+: (+475) | 3+: (+1500)

BET ANYTIME (-140) and make a small wager on 3+ (+1500).

This number has gone down a lot since it opened.

Originally at -115 and now at -140, this is still a good play, although it would be better as part of a props parlay.

Kelce has caught a TD in 4 straight playoff games, 8 of his last 9 and 11 of his last 14. He has been a playoff machine, and just because the Eagles had the league’s top defense against the pass this season (179.8 yards per game), it doesn’t mean they’ll completely shut down Kelce. Even if it takes the Chiefs getting to the goal line and having Kelce rush one in, he will get a TD.

As for a complete long shot, I would also place a small wager on 3+ TD (+1500) for Kelce.

Before this season, Kelce had a 3-TD game just once in his career. He had 2 games this season — it helped that Tyreek Hill left for Miami and no current K.C. wideout stepped up as a replacement.

While 3 TDs is not likely, hence the +1500 odds, it’s a fun wager to bet on and cheer for … and if it hits, your $10 bet wins $150.

Receiving yards

50+: (-500) | 75+: (-130) | 100+: (+190)
125+ (+475) | 150+ (+1200)

BET 100+ (+190).

There is no value at taking either 50 or 75 plus yards as his props total of 78.5 yards is more and the extended juice is not worth it. But taking plus-money for the higher wagers might be something to look at.

Rice holds the record for receiving yards in a Super Bowl at 215. I don’t see this being threatened, but Kelce does have the ability to get Over 100 yards, especially with the limitations of the surrounding receiving weapons on the Chiefs.

Kelce’s playoff average of 98.0 yards (from his 2 games against the Jaguars and Bengals), don’t bode well for this Over to hit. This is why it’s plus-money (+190) and why it should only be a small wager.

OVER 100 receiving yards is a solid play with good value. If you want to be even riskier, 150+ yards (+1200) with a 12-to-1 payoff would be a fun one to hit. If you’re willing to wager that, you might as well take Kelce to win MVP (+1200) and make some smaller plays on different Kelce props such as the OVER 100 yards or to score multiple TDs.

More 2023 Super Bowl coverage

Odds, picks and predictions for the big game
QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Championship Week

Five pro bets that should hit during the NFL Conference Championships.

We’re down to the NFL’s Final Four, which includes three teams that won on the road with walk-off field goals in the Divisional Round. With the Super Bowl at stake, we take a prop bet for each team (one gets two) as two teams prepare to have their Super Bowl dream come true.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 28 at 6:20 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

No Average Joe

Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon doesn’t get the same amount of credit that teammates Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase get for the success of the Cincinnati offense, but in many ways, Mixon is the straw that stirs the drink. In the Bengals offense, Mixon has been critical to controlling game flow and keeping pressure off Burrow. If Mixon struggles, Burrow has to pass too often and his weak O-line is exposed. Mixon’s Over/Under is very reasonable (15.5 rushing attempts at -106 Over, -122 Under). If the Bengals are going to win, it will require a heavy dose of Mixon to keep the Chiefs’ potent offense on the sideline. Take the Over (-106).

What the Helaire’s Going On Out There?

Kansas City Chiefs running Clyde Edwards-Helaire came back last week after missing three games and, while he only had seven carries, he broke off one big run to finish with 60 rushing yards. The problem is that during his injury, Jerick McKinnon has been an explosive replacement and has earned the opportunity to be the primary back – both as a runner and receiver. CEH has a modest Over/Under (37.5 rushing yards at -115 Over, -112 Under). But, the question facing Andy Reid is whether to cut into the time with the guy who has the hot hand (McKinnon). If the Chiefs are ahead and trying to grind down the clock, go with the team’s best between-the-tackles power runner (Darrel Williams). If Edwards-Helaire ends up with only seven carries again this week, he will need to pop another big run to hit that number. He may not get the opportunities he needs. Take the Under (-115).

Kelce Grammar

Among the prop bets available to bettors is the straightforward questions, “Is Player X going to score a touchdown?” It’s pretty simple. He does or he doesn’t. Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has a fairly reasonable number to score (-125 for an anytime touchdown). Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five games, and the Chiefs design packages specifically to get him the ball near the goal line. If the expectation of a high-scoring game happens, it would be hard to imagine the Chiefs scoring three or four touchdowns and Kelce not getting his piece of the pie. Kelce scores (-125).

Green Akers

Los Angeles Rams RB Cam Akers has made a miraculous return from an Achilles injury suffered last summer and has taken over the run game in the postseason, which explains why his Over/Under is so high (17.5 rushing attempts at -105 Over, -123 Under). The Rams offense has force-fed Akers in their playoff run – 41 carries in two games. But, he has produced just 2.5 yards a carry, including just 48 yards on 24 carries last week when the Rams tried to milk a big lead vs. a tough run defense. Against a San Francisco 49ers team that has momentum and has beaten the Rams six straight times, running Akers too often if he keeps producing just a couple of yards won’t be tolerated for long if it leaves the offense in bad down-and-distance situations. Unless the Rams are up by 14 or more, this is a big number to try to hit. Take the Under (-123).

I’ll Buy a Vowel, Pat

There are some bets that you make based on the defense a team is facing. Such is the case for 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk. He isn’t viewed as a focus of the 49ers offense, but he will likely be on the field a lot in the overall plan to prevent Jimmy Garoppolo from screwing things up for the Niners. The Rams are going to be coming after Jimmy G and Juszczyk will likely be chipping defenders or pass blocking in the backfield. He has a minuscule Over/Under (1.5 receptions at +112 Over, -145 Under). He has two or more receptions in 10 of 19 games he has played, and Garoppolo knows that when he needs a check-down target, his man Kyle will be in the flat likely unguarded. It isn’t sexy pick, but one that should hit – despite the number saying it won’t. Take the Over (+112).

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Divisional Round

Five of our favorite NFL Divisional Round prop bets.

Not sure I’ve ever seen a Divisional Round week where such a strong case can be made that each of the road teams has a legitimate chance to win. While history tells us the home team should win three of these games (if not all four), they’re going to be competitive – nothing could be worse than last week’s blowouts.

Here are five players we’re convinced have a great chance of sending you to the playoff pay window.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 21 at 7:40 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

Oh, Henry!

The Tennessee Titans found a way to lock down the No. 1 seed in the AFC without their most potent weapon, RB Derrick Henry. Now he’s back, and there’s going to be a lot of pregame debate about whether he’s the Henry that was a legitimate MVP candidate or a running back being forced back too soon with a foot injury – an RB killer. By his standards, he has a low Over/Under (80.5 rushing yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). The fact the Titans activated him lends itself to giving Henry a heavy workload. He’s the centerpiece of the offense, and the team has been built around him for a reason. Take the Over (-114).

Runnin’ with the Devil

The San Francisco 49ers have a big job ahead of them traveling to Green Bay. Their QB has a thumb problem on his throwing hand. In cold weather, it hurts much worse. The 49ers are likely to lean on RB Elijah Mitchell … again. Over his last six games, he has more than 20 carries in all of them. His Over/Under for rushing attempts is less than that (18.5 carries at -118 Over, -110 Under). The only way he doesn’t make it seven in a row with 20-plus carries is if the Packers blow out the Niners early, or he gets injured during the game. Take the Over (-118).

Brady’s Bunch

The deeper the Tampa Bay Buccaneers go in the playoffs, the more the injury to Chris Godwin and the release of Antonio Brown are going to stand out. QB Tom Brady has had absurd Over/Under numbers all season, and this week is no exception (290.5 passing yards at -114 for both). Brady has more than proved what he is capable of in the postseason and many see a shootout type of game. While I don’t disagree with that, if the Los Angeles Rams defense can effectively limit Mike Evans, Brady will need to complete 30 passes to hit that number with dink-and-dunk passes. The Bucs may win, but it shouldn’t be through an aerial attack. Take the Under (-114).

Swinging for a Single

Just as many who are projecting the Rams-Buccaneers game to be a passing festival, the same is true in the Buffalo Bills-Kansas City Chiefs matchup. In this case, I see that happening. Bills RB Devin Singletary is playing the best ball of his career of late, reflected in his Over/Under (15.5 rushing attempts at -105 Over, -123 Under). For a standard featured back, that’s not a lot, but for Singletary, that’s a pretty stiff number. If he struggles early, his carries will suffer. The Bills may just come out throwing and not look back. Zack Moss may get some looks. Too many factors are against it. Take the Under (-123).

Hail to the Chief

There are always two players for the Chiefs that get bettors expecting huge games – WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce. The Bills linebackers are decent, but not great. Kelce is great. Hill is likely to garner double-coverage on most plays. Kelce will likely be locked up one-on-one more times than not. Who will Patrick Mahomes choose? The star in single coverage. He has a pretty big number for a tight end (69.5 receiving yards at -116 Over, -111 Under) for a reason. He’s going to top it. Take the Over (-116).