Trail Blazers Grizzlies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (20-40) welcome the Portland Trail Blazers (16-42) to FedExForum Saturday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Trail Blazers lead 2-1.

The Grizzlies lost to the Blazers 122-92 Friday at home, failing to cover as a 1-point favorite. Memphis has lost 4 straight yet is 2-2 against the spread (ATS) in those games. It is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 as well. The Grizzlies are 29-31 ATS on the season.

Portland is 2-1 ATS in its 3 games against Memphis this season, and it used 74 points between the second and third quarters to pull ahead Friday. Six players scored double figures. The Blazers snapped a 9-game losing streak with the win Friday and are now 1-7 ATS over their last 8.

Trail Blazers at Grizzlies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Grizzlies -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +2 (-108) | Grizzlies -2 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 208 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies key injuries

Trail Blazers

C Deandre Ayton (hand) questionable
G Malcolm Brogdon (elbow) out
G Shaedon Sharpe (abdomen) out

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
F Jaren Jackson Jr. (quadriceps) questionable
G Luke Kennard (illness) questionable
G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
G Scotty Pippen (back) out
G Derrick Rose (back) questionable
G Marcus Smart (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 112, Trail Blazers 106

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies are just a tad too expensive on the moneyline to prefer it over the spread. Back the home team’s spread here.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -2 (-112).

The Grizzlies had 21 turnovers and shot 59% from the free throw line Friday. Both of those are unlikely to be repeated at home Saturday. Meanwhile, Portland shot 52% from the field.

Memphis is down the bulk of its star players, but it has won 2 of its last 4, which is more than Portland can say. The Grizzlies have covered well and should bounce back Saturday.

The Blazers have lost 5 of their last 6 games by double figures and should return to struggling as they continue their road trip. Back GRIZZLIES -2 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 208 (-110).

The Blazers have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games and have allowed at least 121 in 3 of those 6. The Grizzlies have gone Over in 2 straight and are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11.

While both teams have many key stars out, neither has defended well lately. Memphis has allowed at least 110 in 5 of its last 6 games. Expect a similar showing and back OVER 208 (-110).

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Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (20-39) welcome the Portland Trail Blazers (15-42) to FedExForum Friday. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Grizzlies lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 110-101 on the road Wednesday, covering as a 13.5-point underdog. Memphis has covered in 5 of its last 6 games and is 29-30 against the spread (ATS) on the season. The Grizzlies have struggled immensely as of late, losing 12 of their last 14; however, they have covered in 9 of those.

The Trail Blazers lost to the Miami Heat 106-96 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 7-point road underdog. Portland has struggled for betters as of late, losing 7 in a row and failing to cover in each of those. It is 25-32 ATS on the season. The Blazers are led by G Anfernee Simons, who is averaging 22.6 points per game.

Trail Blazers at Grizzlies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Grizzlies -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +3 (-110) | Grizzlies -3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies key injuries

Trail Blazers

C Deandre Ayton (hand) doubtful
G Malcolm Brogdon (elbow) out
G Scott Henderson (adductor) out
G Shaedon Sharpe (abdominal) out
C Robert Williams III (knee) out

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
F Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
F Jaren Jackson Jr. (quad) out
G Luke Kennard (illness) doubtful
G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
G Marcus Smart (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 108, Trail Blazers 106

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies have lost 3 straight and 12 of their last 14. They haven’t played well enough to back even against a struggling Portland side. Avoid a moneyline play.

Against the spread

LEAN TRAIL BLAZERS +3 (-110).

The Grizzlies have covered well as of late, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Similarly, the Trail Blazers have been awful over the last few weeks, but they have had success covering on the road. Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games.

The Grizzlies are down too many key players with their top 4 scoring options all sidelined in this game. Expect them to struggle and take the slight-healthier road underdog.

Back TRAIL BLAZERS +3 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 208.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies have gone in 6 of their last 10 games. They are 6-3-1 O/U in those 10 and have scored at least 110 points in 4 of those. They have allowed at least 110 in 4 of their last 5, so the Grizzlies defense has struggled throughout the last few weeks.

The Blazers have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 games, allowing at least 120 points in 3 of their last 5. Neither is defends at a high level, which should bode well for points in this game. Take OVER 208.5 (-110).

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Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

A red-hot Memphis Grizzlies (19-11) host the Portland Trail Blazers (12-18) Sunday for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off at FedExForum. Below, we look at the Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Portland snapped its seven-game losing skid with a 125-116 victory at home over the Charlotte Hornets Friday.

The Trail Blazers are 1-5 overall, 2-4 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U with the 25th-ranked non-garbage time efficiency differential (minus-5.5 points per 100 possessions) over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Memphis has won six of its past seven games (5-2 ATS and 3-4 O/U) over the last two weeks with the latest being a 124-105 victory over the Sacramento Kings Friday. The Grizzlies has the third-best non-garbage time net rating in the last 14 days (plus-12.5 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

This is the third of four meetings between these two teams this season. They split the first two in Portland with the Under cashing in both meetings. Memphis beat Portland 113-103 as a 1.5-point road underdog Wednesday.

Trail Blazers at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Grizzlies -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +5.5 (-120) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies key injuries

Trail Blazers

SG C.J. McCollum (chest) out
C Cody Zeller (kneecap) out

Grizzlies

PG Ja Morant (ankle) out
PF Brandon Clarke (knee) out

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Trail Blazers 107

Money line

PASS because Memphis is the right side but the Grizzlies (-205) are way too expensive for any NBA regular-season favorite, let alone a team missing its best player and due for a letdown performance.

However, I don’t think we see said “letdown performance” in this spot from the Grizzlies and I’m confident enough in them to lay it with Memphis’s spread.

Against the spread

BET the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-105) for 1 unit because the Trail Blazers have been awful on the road this season and Memphis has a better rebounding rate and ball security.

Portland is 1-11 overall and 2-10 ATS on the road with the third-worst net rating (minus-11.7 points per 100 possessions) and the worst spread differential (minus-9.7), according to CTG.

The Trail Blazers’ attack is also centered around G Damian Lillard who hasn’t played well on the road himself.

Dame Time is averaging 20.6 points per game (PPG) on 49.0% true shooting (.376/.239/.875) with a minus-17 net rating in away games. Lillard is averaging 24.4 PPG on 56.6% true shooting with a plus-three net rating at home.

For what it’s worth, Memphis has been bet by sharp money early as the Grizzlies have been steamed up from a 4.5-point opening favorite up to the current number.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 218.5 (-108) for a half-unit because Memphis likes to get out in transition and Portland is terrible on defense.

The previous Trail Blazers-Grizzlies meeting played at an above-average pace but Portland shot 37.8% from the field. I think the Trail Blazers will shoot better in this meeting but so will Memphis. Also, the Over has cashed in six of the last seven games the Grizzlies have been favored in.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (31-29) host the Portland Trail Blazers (33-28) Wednesday at FedExForum for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Portland snapped a five-game losing skid—which included back-to-back losses to the Grizzlies April 23 and 25—by trampling the Indiana Pacers 133-112 Tuesday.

The Blazers lost seven of their last nine games while going 4-5 against the spread and have slid to seventh in the Western Conference. They’re 1.5 games ahead of the 8th-seeded Grizzlies and 1 game behind the 6th-seeded Dallas Mavericks.

Memphis wrapped up a seven-game road trip with a 120-96 blowout loss to the Denver Nuggets Monday. The Grizzlies were 4-3 straight up and 5-2 ATS with two of those wins against the Blazers.

Trail Blazers at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers +2 (-115) | Grizzlies -2 (-105)
Over/Under: 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Grizzlies

None.

Trail Blazers

PF Zach Collins (ankle) out

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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 122, Trail Blazers 116

Money line (ML)

This is a “double-revenge” spot for the Blazers, as they lost the first two meetings with the GRIZZLIES (-125) this season.

The “double-revenge” angle is something specific to this season since the COVID-19-altered schedule has teams in the same conference playing each other three times instead of the usual four-game regular-season meetings.

Why I “like” Memphis in this spot is because the market is blindly backing Portland under the thinking the Grizzlies won’t sweep the regular-season series.

Nearly 90% of the money wagered is on Portland’s money line, according to pregame.com, and typically it’s profitable to “fade” such a lopsided market in sports betting.

Also, Memphis matches up very well against Portland and the Grizzlies’ money line inherently has value due to this surface-level analysis.

The Grizzlies score the most second-chance points, fast-break points and points in the paint per game, whereas Portland’s defense is in the bottom-10 in each of those areas.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS unless Memphis’ money line goes below -140 then I’d lay the points with the Grizzlies at a cheaper cost.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 240.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because this is a “Pros vs. Joes” situation in the betting market with more money coming in on the Under and more bets have been placed on the Over.

Bookmakers reacted to early action on the Over by moving the total up from the 235.5-point opener, giving us a 5-point cushion on the original number.

Regardless of how well Memphis matches up with Portland or how hot the Blazers backcourt can get behind the 3-point arc, a total in the 240s can easily go Under if both teams struggle shooting in just one quarter.

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