The Memphis Grizzlies (31-29) host the Portland Trail Blazers (33-28) Wednesday at FedExForum for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Portland snapped a five-game losing skid—which included back-to-back losses to the Grizzlies April 23 and 25—by trampling the Indiana Pacers 133-112 Tuesday.
The Blazers lost seven of their last nine games while going 4-5 against the spread and have slid to seventh in the Western Conference. They’re 1.5 games ahead of the 8th-seeded Grizzlies and 1 game behind the 6th-seeded Dallas Mavericks.
Memphis wrapped up a seven-game road trip with a 120-96 blowout loss to the Denver Nuggets Monday. The Grizzlies were 4-3 straight up and 5-2 ATS with two of those wins against the Blazers.
Trail Blazers at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Trail Blazers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers +2 (-115) | Grizzlies -2 (-105)
- Over/Under: 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Trail Blazers at Grizzlies: Key injuries
Grizzlies
- None.
Trail Blazers
- PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Grizzlies 122, Trail Blazers 116
Money line (ML)
This is a “double-revenge” spot for the Blazers, as they lost the first two meetings with the GRIZZLIES (-125) this season.
The “double-revenge” angle is something specific to this season since the COVID-19-altered schedule has teams in the same conference playing each other three times instead of the usual four-game regular-season meetings.
Why I “like” Memphis in this spot is because the market is blindly backing Portland under the thinking the Grizzlies won’t sweep the regular-season series.
Nearly 90% of the money wagered is on Portland’s money line, according to pregame.com, and typically it’s profitable to “fade” such a lopsided market in sports betting.
Also, Memphis matches up very well against Portland and the Grizzlies’ money line inherently has value due to this surface-level analysis.
The Grizzlies score the most second-chance points, fast-break points and points in the paint per game, whereas Portland’s defense is in the bottom-10 in each of those areas.
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Against the spread (ATS)
PASS unless Memphis’ money line goes below -140 then I’d lay the points with the Grizzlies at a cheaper cost.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 240.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because this is a “Pros vs. Joes” situation in the betting market with more money coming in on the Under and more bets have been placed on the Over.
Bookmakers reacted to early action on the Over by moving the total up from the 235.5-point opener, giving us a 5-point cushion on the original number.
Regardless of how well Memphis matches up with Portland or how hot the Blazers backcourt can get behind the 3-point arc, a total in the 240s can easily go Under if both teams struggle shooting in just one quarter.
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