Tag: trade chart

2024 NFL draft trade value chart: How much are Commanders’ 9 picks worth?

A look at how much each of Washington’s nine draft picks is worth.

The Washington Commanders enter the 2024 NFL draft with nine selections, beginning at No. 2 overall. Washington is well-equipped to make a major impact with six picks in the top 100, including two picks in the second round and three in the third round.

The Commanders desperately need an offensive tackle and have been rumored to be interested in going back into the first round. Washington certainly has the draft capital to make a significant move up the board.

This will be the first draft for new general manager Adam Peters. Will he be aggressive moving up or down the board? Peters could choose to add an offensive tackle in the first round in order to get the fifth-year option on two premium positions.

Based on the trade value chart from Rich Hill, below is a look at the value of each pick held by the Commanders this year. Let’s look at what each Washington pick is worth:

  • Round 1, Pick No. 2: 717 points
  • Round 2, Pick No. 36: 166 points
  • Round 2, Pick No. 40: 149 points
  • Round 3, Pick No. 67: 75 points
  • Round 3, Pick No. 78: 59 points
  • Round 3, Pick No. 100: 35 points
  • Round 5, Pick No. 139: 15 points
  • Round 5, Pick No. 152: 11 points
  • Round 7, Pick No. 222: 3 points

Here’s a look at the trade chart:

2023 NFL draft trade value chart: How much are Commanders’ 8 picks worth?

Breaking down the value of each of Washington’s eight selections.

Washington Commanders general manager Martin Mayhew met with the media last week for his pre-draft press conference and discussed trading up and trading back in the NFL draft.

In the 2022 NFL draft, Washington held the No. 11 pick before dropping down five spots in a trade with the New Orleans Saints. The trade netted Washington additional selections in the third and fourth rounds. The Commanders made another trade and the three picks added from this trade sent Brian Robinson Jr., Sam Howell and Cole Turner to Washington.

Mayhew used last season’s trade as an example of why he preferred trading back and cited other examples from his time as a general manager.

“When you’re trading back, you’re acquiring more picks, and it’s been my experience to just having more volume and having more picks gives you more opportunities to hit, especially if you’re scouting well in those mid-to-late rounds,” Mayhew said.

Washington first goes on the clock at No. 16 overall in the 2023 NFL draft, which begins Thursday. The Commanders would again like to trade back and hold eight picks in this year’s draft.

What are those picks worth?

Using the Rich Hill model, a modified version of the old Jimmy Johnson trade chart, we analyze what each of Washington’s eight picks are worth in 2023.

  • Round 1 (No. 16): 305
  • Round 2 (No. 47): 124
  • Round 3 (No. 97): 39
  • Round 4 (No. 118): 25
  • Round 5 (No. 150): 12
  • Round 6 (No. 193): 5
  • Round 6 (No. 215): 3
  • Round 7 (No. 233): 2

Overall, Washington’s eight picks have an overall value of 515 points.

Below is a chart detailing the value of every NFL team’s 2023 draft picks using the Rich Hill model.

How much draft capital do the 49ers really have?

A trade value chart for the 2021 NFL draft shows 49ers relatively limited draft capital despite nine picks.

An underrated aspect of the 49ers’ climb up to No. 3 in this year’s draft is that it cost them no picks in the 2021 draft. The move not only jumped them to No. 3 in 2021, it kept them in contention to be factors in other areas of the draft.

Here’s what San Francisco’s draft capital looks like numerically, using the Rich Hill trade value chart, which is slightly different from the one popularized by former Dallas Cowboys head coach Jimmy Johnson:

 

While the 49ers do hold nine selections, their 747 points worth of picks isn’t a massive number. However, they have enough back end capital that they can facilitate some moves up in the middle rounds if they see fit.

Given how aggressive the 49ers’ front office has been moving around the board since general manager John Lynch took over in 2017, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them squeeze every ounce possible out of the draft capital they do have. If they can make a couple moves up, they could wind up walking away with a much higher-quality class than their current picks are lined up to retrieve.