Manchester City (14 wins, 3 losses, 3 draws) battles Tottenham Hotspur (11-7-3) Sunday. Kickoff from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is set for 11:30 a.m. ET (NBC). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City just played Tottenham at home on Jan. 19, beating them 4-2 and having 2.3 expected goals versus Tottenham’s .8. City has been virtually perfect at home, posting a 9-1-1 record and is just 5-2-2 on the road. They have won 3 of their last 4 league games, losing to Manchester United on Jan 14. City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has 25 goals on the season.
As for Tottenham, they have yet to draw at home, having won 6 and lost 4. They are just 2-3 in their last 5 league matches, 2 of which have been at home. Tottenham is led by F Harry Kane, who has 16 goals on the season. No other player has more than 4. They have had issues defensively this season, allowing 1.48 goals per game.
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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Tottenham Hotspur +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Manchester City -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Draw +320
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +130)
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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City picks and predictions
Prediction
Tottenham Hotspur 2, Manchester City 2
Moneyline (ML)
BET TOTTENHAM OR TIE (+105).
An option, instead of just taking the moneyline or Tottenham to win, is combining the 2. City has yet to go on the road and beat a top-5 team this season, losing to Man U and drawing Newcastle United 3-3. While they did beat Tottenham, the difference in location should be a factor here.
City’s defense also isn’t what it was a year ago. They allowed 26 goals in 38 games last season and have allowed 20 in 20 matches this year. They will be going against the EPL’s 3rd-best-scoring team which should expose those shortcomings.
While Tottenham is 0-2-0 against top-5 teams at home, they had .2 fewer expected goals than Arensal and more expected goals than Newcastle. They have played top teams closely at home, and for this value, back TOTTENHAM OR TIE (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (-150).
It is difficult to get there given the value, but the Over should be the better play. City scored 4 on Tottenham just a few weeks ago and has the league’s most dangerous attacker in Haaland. The league’s top-two scorers should be active for this game, combining for 37 goals on the season.
City has gone Over this total in 3 straight EPL games, scoring 3 or more goals in their last 2. Tottenham has gone north of it in 8 of their last 11 matches. For a small unit given the value, back the OVER 2.5 (-150).
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