Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox odds predictions pick betting line spread – Page 2

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (67-55) take on the Boston Red Sox (60-64) Thursday in the finale game of a 3-game set at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 12-3

The Blue Jays have won 6 of the last 7, including the first 2 games of this series. They have done it with the bats, averaging 5.4 runs per game during the stretch. The Jays are 18-12 in the last 30 and sit in the 2nd wild-card playoff spot.

The Red Sox continue to slide, having lost 5 of their 6 games. They are 7 games out of a wild-card spot and have gone just 12-18 in the last 30 games. Boston has had trouble within its division at 16-34.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Gausman (9-9, 2.99 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 129 1/3 IP.

Road warrior: 1.65 ERA, 0.99 WHIP on the road vs. 4.63 ERA and 1.54 WHIP at home
2022 vs. Boston: 4 starts; 3-0, 1.38 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 12.8 K/9

Crawford (3-5, 5.14 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

Allowed 3 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 4 K in 6 IP against Toronto July 23
Better at home: 4.08 ERA, 1.10 WHIP vs. 6.27 ERA and 1.55 WHIP on road

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:28 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

Money line

Part of me feels like Boston bucks trends Thursday and takes this game because they’ve dropped the first 2 at home, and they’re 3-12 against Toronto this year. At some point that has to even out, and maybe it does. However, Gausman has just been too good against them. Take the BLUE JAYS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox +1.5 (-110) is at a solid price, but the data just doesn’t support it. And RL wagers on a hunch aren’t always the best ideas. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Boston. The Under is 4-0 in Gausman’s last 4 road starts with the total set between 7.0-8.5. The Under is 5-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 games with the total set between 7.0-8.5. Both teams have hit the Under in 3 of 4 games, and this feels like a tall number today. LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (66-55) took down the Boston Red Sox (60-63) on Tuesday and look to make it 2 in a row Wednesday night. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 11-3

The Jays have won 5 of their last 6 and currently hold 1 of the American League wild card spots. According to FanGraphs they now have a 94.4% chance of making the playoffs.

Boston has dropped 4 of their last 5 and their playoff hopes are fading fast.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Berrios (9-5, 5.39 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 128 2/3 IP.

He’s been very inconsistent throughout the season; held the New YorkYankees to 1 ER in 6 2/3 IP last time out, but in his previous 2 starts allowed 13 ER in 7 2/3 IP with just 2 strikeouts
Has faced Boston twice this season, surrendering 3 ER in 13 IP with a 10/2 K/BB
He’s struggled on the road, compiling a 6.82 ERA along with a 6.8 K/9 and 2/2 HR/9 in 12 starts

Bello (0-3, 8.47 ERA) makes his 6th appearance (4th start). He has a 2.29 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 17 IP.

Has been out a few weeks with a groin strain, but will be activated for the start Wednesday
Took the loss against Toronto July 24 with 9 H, 5 R, 2 BB and 2 K in 4 IP
He did miss a lot of bats in the minors this season, as he had a 12.1 K/9 in 96 IP split between Double-A and Triple-A.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+102) | Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5

Money line

Toronto ranks 3rd in the league in runs per game on the road (4.97) and they have been hitting well lately, with 35 runs in their last 6 games. Bello has been shaky during his brief time in the majors and is coming off a lengthy layoff, so the Toronto offense is in another good spot. A small play on the BLUE JAYS -160 is the call.

Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays should put some runs on the board, but Berrios on the road doesn’t inspire a great deal of confidence. It’s probably best to PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

The total has gone over in 10 of 12 road games that Berrios has started and both teams are likely to get the bats going in this contest. Invest in OVER 9.5 (-105) or for a better payout bump it up to 10.5 (+130).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (65-55) kick off a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (60-62) on Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 10-3

Toronto fell to the Yankees 4-2 on Sunday, putting an end to a 4-game winning streak.

Boston dropped 2 of 3 over the weekend against Baltimore. They are falling out of playoff contention, with a 12-17 record since the All-Star break.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP Josh Winckowski

Stripling (5-3, 2.93 ERA) makes his 25th appearance (17th start). He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 89 IP.

After spending 2 weeks on the IL he came back and allowed just 1 H in 6 1/3 shutout IP (0 BB, 7 K) against Baltimore Wednesday
Since jumping back into the rotation in early June, he has put up a 2.21 ERA in 11 starts with a 7.1 K/9 and just 3 HR allowed in 57 IP

Winckowski (5-6, 5.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 60 2/3 IP.

Has struggled to miss bats lately with just 10 K in 23 2/3 IP in his last 5 starts
Equaled a season-high with 6 ER allowed in his Thursday start, a loss against Pittsburgh with 7 H, 1 BB, 2K in 5 IP
His skills have been weak in 7 starts at home, where he owns a 5.94 ERA along with a 3.8 BB/9 and 4/1 K/9

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 4

Money line

Winckowski has gotten roughed up lately, with a 6.75 ERA, 2.3 HR/9, and 17/14 K/BB in his last 7 starts. The Toronto offense shouldn’t have much trouble getting to him on Tuesday and BLUE JAYS -145 is an excellent play.

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto has beaten up on Boston this season and they are 3rd in the league in runs per game on the road (4.90). Stripling and Winckowski are trending in opposite directions and the Boston starter has really struggled at home. Take the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+110), as they could win this one going away.

Over/Under

This sets up as a good spot for the Toronto bats to get going against a starting pitcher who hasn’t been good lately. On the other side, Stripling has had a lot of success since rejoining the rotation but has also had luck on his side (.256 BABIP, 4.9% HR/FB). We’ll lean slightly to the OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-43) and Boston Red Sox (48-45) will open the 2nd half of their seasons and continue their playoff pushes Friday. First pitch from Fenway Park in this AL East matchup is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 7-3, but the Red Sox won their most recent meeting June 30.

The Blue Jays took 3 of 4 games from the Kansas City Royals before the All-Star break and have now won 5 of their last 6 contests. They’re still 13.5 games behind the New York Yankees in the AL East and hold a 2-game lead on Boston for 3rd in the division.

The Red Sox limped into the All-Star break with back-to-back losses to the Yankees by a combined score of 27-3. They dropped 6 of their last 7 games to the Tampa Bay Rays and Yankees and have dropped lost 10 of their last 13 outings overall.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Gausman (6-7, 2.87 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 94 IP.

Despite allowing more than 3 runs just once along a 7-game span the Blue Jays have lost 6 of those starts.
Gausman is 2-0 and has allowed just 1 earned run in 21 innings with 27 strikeouts in 3 starts against the Red Sox in 2022.

Eovaldi (4-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 72 2/3 IP.

The Red Sox came away with a win in each of Eovaldi’s last 5 starts, so he’s been the ace of this staff.
Pitched 4 1/3 innings at the Yankees and allowing 3 earned runs in a 5-4 win in his return from the IL last Friday.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Red Sox +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+130) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5

Money line

The Blue Jays (-125) money line actually isn’t as juiced as I expected it to be for a team that’s beaten the Red Sox in 7 of 10 meetings this season. Gausman has owned Boston this year and boasts a strong 2.87 ERA overall.

I like the BLUE JAYS (-125) to win outright on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

You can sprinkle on the run line if you’re feeling really good about Toronto’s chances against the Red Sox. The Red Sox have been surprisingly good against the spread this year and are 50-43 RL — good for 7th-best in the league.

The Blue Jays are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum, covering the run line in just 40 of their 93 games — one of the worst ATS records in all of baseball. I would PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over 50 times in the Blue Jays’ 93 games, tied for the most in baseball. There have been at least 9 runs scored in each of the last 3 meetings between these teams, and even if Toronto doesn’t get to Eovaldi early, the Red Sox’s bullpen isn’t great.

Bet the OVER 8.5 (-130).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (49-47) and Boston Red Sox (62-39) come off a Tuesday rainout with a Wednesday doubleheader at Fenway Park. Game 2 is expected to begin around 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Steven Matz is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. Over 17 starts, Matz is 8-5 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 across 87 IP.

Matz has run into too much contact while yielding too many fly balls of late with a 39% ground-ball rate over his last four starts. A right-leaning Boston lineup owns a 1.000 OPS against him.

RHP Tanner Houck is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. Over five games (three starts), the 25-year-old righty is 0-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 through 18 IP.

Houck has worked his way around a .348 batting average on balls in play. He typically gets the Red Sox 3-5 innings in his starts (and didn’t pitch much longer in his Triple-A turns before being called up), so figure on a struggling Red Sox bullpen to be heavily involved in this contest.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

Boston won Monday’s series opener and is 6-1 over its last seven games.

However, the BLUE JAYS (+110) are the best play in this contest. In a runs-versus-runs-allowed analysis, Toronto’s record is seven games below expectations. In a direct-opponent example of that, the Jays have outscored the Red Sox 69-61 but are just 4-8 against them.

Matz has been undone by a .321 BABIP and a high 16.0% rate of fly balls registering as home runs. Houck will expose a scuffling Boston bullpen which may not be in good shape in the second of two games on the day, even with the shortened inning commitment.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the additional juice in this prop.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses look to be overcooked at their current run-per-game outputs. Both went into this week with matching .343 BABIPs in high-leverage situations, and that has served to overinflate their offensive numbers.

Mix in some lean toward Matz, a sub-70 game-time temperature, and the forecast of an inward breeze for this second 7-inning game of the day. BACK UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (39-25) host the Toronto Blue Jays (31-30) for Game 2 of their four-game series Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Red Sox lead 4-2.

LHP Steven Matz makes his 13th start for the Blue Jays. Matz is 6-3 with a 4.50 ERA (64 IP, 32 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 this year.

Last outing: Loss, 6-3, in 4 1/3 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 4 BB and 3 K Sunday vs. the Houston Astros.
Matz made a start vs. Boston May 20 and picked up a no-decision with 6 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Toronto’s 8-7 loss.
- vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 65 at-bats with a .354/.382/.569 slash line, 15/2 K/BB, 4 HR and 10 RBIs.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starter for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 6-1 with a 3.78 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 across 12 starts.

Last outing: No-decision in 4 2/3 IP with 2 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 6 K in Boston’s 5-3 victory over the Miami Marlins Monday.
Pivetta was the Red Sox’s starter in their 8-7 May 20 win, and he had 5 IP with 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 8 K, also earning a no-decision.
- vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 35 at-bats with a .343/.439/.514 slash line, 9/6 K/BB, 0 HR and 7 RBIs.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the RED SOX (-130) for a half-unit because Boston has a slight edge in the starting pitching matchup and hitting and a massive edge in relief pitching.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the RED SOX -1.5 (+150) for a quarter unit if at all because their last two victories over the Blue Jays have both been by only one run.

But, Boston’s bullpen is seventh in WAR, and the lineup could add some insurance runs against a Toronto ‘pen that ranks 21st in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 9.5 (-110) for 1 unit because the Red Sox’s hitting is mediocre vs. lefties, and both pitchers performed better against their respective opponents than their basic numbers indicate.

For instance, against Boston on May 20, Matz had his second-lowest hard-hit rate and third-lowest exit velocity of the season.

But, Matz’s .429 BAbip was the second-highest of any game this season, and typically a high BAbip indicates bad luck for a pitcher.

However, the same can be said about Pivetta in that very same game as his 1.15 FIP is much lower vs. the Blue Jays than his 7.20 ERA, which is an ERA estimator.

Furthermore, Pivetta’s .467 BAbip was outrageously high while he had a low 26.7% hard-hit rate and the lowest exit velocity of any start this season at 84.3 mph.

Also, Boston’s lineup ranks sixth in WAR overall but is below-average vs. left-handed pitching in advanced hitting categories wRC+ and wOBA with the third-lowest hard-hit rate.

Finally, the play is the UNDER 9.5 (-110) because Blue Jays-Red Sox opened with a 10-run total, but the market backing the Under has cashed oddsmakers to move the total down.

I’m OK following the market on this one because the Under is being backed despite both lineups having a ton of firepower and the starters being more mediocre than effective.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (38-25) host the rival Toronto Blue Jays (31-29) for a four-game set beginning Friday. First pitch at Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Blue Jays RHP Ross Stripling (2-3, 4.71 ERA) makes his ninth start and 10th appearance. He owns a 1.41 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 over 42 IP.

Allowing career-worst rates of hard contact and fly balls
Has shown improvement over his last 17 IP (two starts, one relief appearance) with 2 ER and 14 K while going 2-0

Red Sox RHP Garrett Richards (4-4, 3.88 ERA) makes his 13th start, which will be his most since 2018. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 over 65 innings.

1-1 in two starts against the Jays this season with a 4.76 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over 11 1/3 IP
1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and .819 opponent OPS through four starts at Fenway Park this year

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:09 p.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (+115) are a good underdog pick. They’ve had success getting to Richards already this season, and the veteran journeyman has struggled in his newest home park.

Toronto also ranks better than Boston in all of OPS, wOBA, wRC+, K% and BB% against right-handed pitching. Those walk and strikeout rates loom especially large in this starter matchup.

The Boston bullpen has been the better of the two relief units over the last 14 days, but it has also been worked more.

Five Red Sox relievers saw time in Thursday’s 12-8 win over the Houston Astros. The Jays used just two relievers in a 5-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox Thursday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-160) are also a nice play with the run of insurance in the event of a loss.

The Toronto bullpen has pitched to a 4.73 xFIP over the last 14 days and shouldn’t be trusted with a lead, even if Stripling is able to sustain his strong recent run.

Backing the JAYS +0.5 (-140) on the FIRST 5 INNINGS line is a less expensive play while most likely keeping the ball in the hands of the starters.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 9.5 (-115) is the best play in Blue Jays-Red Sox.

Both offenses are handling right-handed pitching well and neither starter should be expected to go too deep into Friday’s series opener.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-10) play the second half of a two-game set at Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox (12-6) Wednesday. First pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trent Thornton (0-0) gets the ball for his first start of 2021 in an expected opener role. The 27-year-old has a 2.35 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 7 2/3 innings spanning 5 relief appearances.

RHP Garrett Richard (0-1) owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP with 7.5 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 over 12 IP and 3 starts. He has been much better with 2 ER across 10 IP over his last 2 outings after getting lit up by the Baltimore Orioles in his first start.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (+105) should be backed as short underdogs after dropping Tuesday’s contest 4-2 in Boston. All 4 Red Sox runs came in the fourth inning against ace LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu. Three were delivered on a home run by SS Xander Bogaerts.

Toronto has the best bullpen in baseball with a 2.14 ERA and Thornton has been a big part of that success. He makes his first start of 2021, but he led the Jays in both starts made and innings pitched in 2019.

Boston has the best team OPS in baseball against right-handed pitching at .842 but the Jays’ deep ‘pen held the Sox scoreless Tuesday and can match up well once Thornton comes out of the game.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line with the greater value lying with the Blue Jays’ money line.

It’s not worth the risk of laying $175 for a $100 profit or $10 for a $5.71 profit for just one run of insurance on Toronto.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 10 (-115).

Tuesday’s run total came in comfortably below a projected line of 8.5 runs. While that was in the weaker side of the batting split for both teams and with No. 1 pitchers on the bump, Wednesday’s projected total is too high based on Richards’ one poor outing this season.

The Toronto offense remains shorthanded with OFs George Springer (quadriceps) and Teoscar Hernandez (COVID-19) still on the shelf. The Jays scored more than 5 runs in just two of their last 10 games.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-9) begin a two-game road set against the AL East rival Boston Red Sox (11-6) Tuesday at Fenway Park. The first pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his fourth start of the season for the Blue Jays. The now 34-year-old finished third in AL Cy Young voting last year and has picked up where he left off. He is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9. He has allowed 2 home runs over 19 innings.

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez is set for his third start of 2021 for the Red Sox. He is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 after sitting out the 2020 campaign due to COVID-19. He has allowed 2 homers through 10 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Money line: Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

Ryu oddly didn’t face the Red Sox once in the regionally aligned 2020 campaign, his first with the Blue Jays. The lack of familiarity for the Boston bats will play to the veteran’s advantage. He enters off a win over the New York Yankees in which he struck out 7 with a single walk over 6 2/3 scoreless innings last Tuesday.

While Boston leads baseball with 96 runs scored, Toronto has the edge in the lefty-lefty battle. The teams share a .728 OPS in the split, but the Blue Jays have the better wOBA and wRC+.

Back the BLUE JAYS (-105) as slight road underdogs.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+155) are a better play to win by at least 2 runs. Not only do they have the advantage in the starting pitcher battle, but they lead baseball with a 2.24 bullpen ERA. Even with RHPs Kirby Yates, Julian Merryweather and Jordan Romano all on the injured list, Toronto still has the edge over Boston in the late innings.

Red Sox relievers are walking 4.02 batters per nine innings and have benefited from an unsustainable 3.6% home run-to-fly-ball rate.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-105) is the more appealing side of the projected total. Both teams are in the middle of the pack on offense in the lefty split.

Expect Ryu to shut down the Boston offense in his first appearance against them in a rival uniform. The Toronto offense remains shorthanded with OFs George Springer (quadriceps) and Teoscar Hernandez (COVID-19) on the injured list.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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