The Toronto Blue Jays (65-55) kick off a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (60-62) on Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 10-3
Toronto fell to the Yankees 4-2 on Sunday, putting an end to a 4-game winning streak.
Boston dropped 2 of 3 over the weekend against Baltimore. They are falling out of playoff contention, with a 12-17 record since the All-Star break.
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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP Josh Winckowski
Stripling (5-3, 2.93 ERA) makes his 25th appearance (17th start). He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 89 IP.
- After spending 2 weeks on the IL he came back and allowed just 1 H in 6 1/3 shutout IP (0 BB, 7 K) against Baltimore Wednesday
- Since jumping back into the rotation in early June, he has put up a 2.21 ERA in 11 starts with a 7.1 K/9 and just 3 HR allowed in 57 IP
Winckowski (5-6, 5.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 60 2/3 IP.
- Has struggled to miss bats lately with just 10 K in 23 2/3 IP in his last 5 starts
- Equaled a season-high with 6 ER allowed in his Thursday start, a loss against Pittsburgh with 7 H, 1 BB, 2K in 5 IP
- His skills have been weak in 7 starts at home, where he owns a 5.94 ERA along with a 3.8 BB/9 and 4/1 K/9
Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 4
Money line
Winckowski has gotten roughed up lately, with a 6.75 ERA, 2.3 HR/9, and 17/14 K/BB in his last 7 starts. The Toronto offense shouldn’t have much trouble getting to him on Tuesday and BLUE JAYS -145 is an excellent play.
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Run line/Against the spread
Toronto has beaten up on Boston this season and they are 3rd in the league in runs per game on the road (4.90). Stripling and Winckowski are trending in opposite directions and the Boston starter has really struggled at home. Take the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+110), as they could win this one going away.
Over/Under
This sets up as a good spot for the Toronto bats to get going against a starting pitcher who hasn’t been good lately. On the other side, Stripling has had a lot of success since rejoining the rotation but has also had luck on his side (.256 BABIP, 4.9% HR/FB). We’ll lean slightly to the OVER 9.5 (-110).
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