Tag: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Toronto Blue Jays (36-43) and Boston Red Sox (43-37) close out a 3-game AL East series as they meet Wednesday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 4-1

Toronto lost Monday’s series opener 7-6, but bounced back with a 9-4 victory Tuesday. The 9 runs marked the Blue Jays’ most in a game since May 26, and the win snapped a 7-game losing streak.

The Red Sox head into Wednesday’s contest looking to avoid a 2nd straight loss for what would be the 1st time since June 7-8. Since June 12, Boston is 10-3.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Rodriguez (0-2, 5.94 ERA) is making his 6th start. He has a 1.92 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 16 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 7-1 loss at Cleveland Guardians Friday
• Has never faced the Red Sox
• Last starts was his 1st MLB start since April; was out with a back injury and pitched at Triple-A from May 21-June 16

Crawford (3-7, 3.59 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-2 loss at Cincinnati Reds Friday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-1, 4.58 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 19 H, 6 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
• Has allowed a .774 OPS this month and a .762 OPS across 11 career starts in June

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Red Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-150) | Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

Toronto is 22-32 against teams playing .500 ball or better.

The Red Sox have somewhat underplayed their 4.68 runs per game and 4.13 RPG allowed, and there are some indicators in the analytics that suggest the latter figure could and should improve by a significant margin. So, while Boston has played .537 ball to date, it may be more of a .580 club.

Second starts back off IL time are always a bold caution flag. Rodriguez has had control issues, and he’s catching a Red Sox offense cranking out big numbers of late (.855 OPS since June 12).

Crawford has been undone by the long ball in recent starts. A 27.6% HR/f over his last 4 starts says perhaps unfairly so. He faces a Toronto club that owns all of a .362 SLG since June 3.

TAKE THE RED SOX (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

Boston is a lean, and a high-scoring game figures to be an under-bet proposition in this match-up. But the return here is just shy of a real value point. PASS.

Over/Under

Toronto-Boston games over the last 3 years have seen the Over go 11-6-1. That includes an 8-2 mark in the last 10 meetings at Fenway.

Both sides tote recent-week Over trends into this series finale. On a warmed-up, wind-out night in Boston, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-115).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (35-43) and Boston Red Sox (43-36) clash Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game AL East series at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-0

Toronto was felled 7-6 in Monday’s series opener. The loss marked the Blue Jays’ 7th in a row.

Boston has won 3 consecutive games and is 8-1 over its last 9. The Red Sox have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of those 8 wins.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Gausman (5-6, 4.24 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 80 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home defeat vs. Red Sox Wednesday
• Career vs. Red Sox: 7-10, 4.52 ERA (137 1/3 IP, 69 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 24 starts and 5 relief appearances

Bello (7-4, 4.83 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 69 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-3 victory at Blue Jays Wednesday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-3, 5.40 ERA (30 IP, 18 ER), 1.70 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:52 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Red Sox -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+152) | Red Sox +1.5 (-184)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

Even with their recent play, the RED SOX (-116) still look to be undervalued in the standings and in betting markets. They are a plus-25 in run differential this month.

Gausman and Bello tussled last week, and Gausman was roughed up. Per ESPN, current Boston batters own an .864 OPS against the Toronto right-hander. And the Red Sox have the better bullpen.

BET BOSTON (-116) in Tuesday’s game.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value is available on the Red Sox outright play.

Over/Under

The Over is 4-1 in this year’s season series, but look for a decent chance of pushback Tuesday.

Both starting pitchers have better expected-ERA figures than surface numbers. Being seen by the same club in back-to-back turns is not ideal, but the number here can be leveraged.

BACK THE UNDER 9 (-105).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (35-42) visit the Boston Red Sox (42-36) on Monday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (NESN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox went 3-0 in Toronto last week

Toronto has lost 6 games in a row after losing 6-5 to the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday as a +101 road underdog. 3B Spencer Horwitz had 2 HRs and 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had 2 RBIs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi was the loser (4 ER in 2 IP).

Boston has won back-to-back games after taking down the Cincinnati Reds 7-4 on Sunday as a +140 road underdog. Three Red Sox players each had 2 RBIs while 7 players scored a run.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Bassitt (6-6, 3.52 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.63 BB/9 and 8.64 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-3 loss against the Red Sox Tuesday
• Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 2.33 ERA (27 IP, 7 ER), 21 H, 8 BB, 27 K in 4 starts

Houck (7-5, 2.14 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.58 BB/9 and 8.75 K/9 in 96 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 win at the Blue Jays Tuesday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 28 K in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The run line presents better profit for Boston in this matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RED SOX -1.5 (+140).

Boston is 8-2 in its last 10 games including 7-1 in its last 8 and 3-1 in its last 4 at home. It has scored 7 or more runs in 6 of its last 10 games and faces a Blue Jays team that has lost 8 of its last 10 including each of its last 6. Toronto has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 games.

Also, 5 of the Blue Jays’ last 7 losses have been by multiple runs while 6 of Boston’s last 8 wins have come by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (+100).

The Red Sox have an Over record of 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10. They have allowed 3 or more runs in each of their last 10.

Toronto has an Over record of 4-4-2 in its last 10 games and has scored 3 or more runs in 8 of its last 10 while allowing 6 or more in 6 of its last 7.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (62-50) and Boston Red Sox (57-53) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-2

The Blue Jays won 5-4 as -101 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Toronto has won 3 of its last 4 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the division-leading Baltimore Orioles.

The Red Sox lost on a double play when C Connor Wong flew out to left-center field and C Reese McGuire was doubled up at 2nd base. Boston has lost 3 straight contests and is last in the division, 11½ games behind Baltimore.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. LHP Brennan Bernardino

Bassitt (10-6, 4.00 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 132 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Orioles Monday
• 2023 road stats: 4-4, 5.63 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 39 ER) in 12 starts
• Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road win with Oakland Athletics May 11, 2021

Bernardino (1-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 6th start and 34th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K as opener in 4-3 loss in 11 innings at San Francisco Giants last Sunday
• 2023 home stats: 1-1, 2.75 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts and 15 relief appearances
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.91 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 4 relief appearances – Most recent: Loss, 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in Saturday’s loss

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The Red Sox should avoid the sweep Sunday after dropping 2 straight vs. the Blue Jays. Boston has won 7 of 9 meetings this season vs. Toronto and the Blue Jays have lost in back-to-back games when Bassitt is starting. Toronto is just 10-23 in divisional games this season and it’s unlikely that it will sweep Boston Sunday.

BET RED SOX (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays are 17-11 on the run line as road underdogs. Toronto +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Boston ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 9 of Toronto’s last 10 games and is 35-21-5 when the Blue Jays are coming off a win.

The Under has also hit in 8 of Boston’s last 11 games and should cash again Sunday in this divisional matchup.

BET UNDER 10 (-105).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (60-50) and Boston Red Sox (57-51) open up a 3-game set Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-0

The Blue Jays lost 6-1 as -169 home favorites vs. the Baltimore Orioles Thursday. Toronto has lost 4 of its last 5 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the division-leading Orioles.

The Red Sox lost 6-3 as +111 underdogs at the Seattle Mariners Wednesday. Boston has also lost 4 of its last 5 contests and is 4th in the division, 9½ games behind Baltimore.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. LHP James Paxton

Manoah (2-8, 5.87 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 6.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 76 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday
• 2023 road stats: 2-3, 3.92 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 8 starts
• Career vs. Red Sox: 4-1, 1.71 ERA (42 IP, 8 ER) in 7 starts
• 2023 vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 5 IP, 5 R (2 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, an 8-3 road loss May 3

Paxton (6-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 70 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-2 loss at San Francisco Giants Saturday
• 2023 home stats: 2-0, 2.25 ERA (28 IP, 7 ER) in 5 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 6-3, 3.98 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 28 ER) in 11 starts
• 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 5-0 road win June 30

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Red Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-145) | Red Sox -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

Boston (-155) should improve to 8-0 on the season vs. Toronto. However, there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Red Sox should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox have beaten the Blue Jays by 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 meetings. The Blue Jays’ last 3 losses have been by multiple runs and they are a league-worst 9-22 on the run line in divisional matchups. Add a struggling Manoah to the mix and this game could get out of hand very quickly for Toronto.

BET RED SOX -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 7 of the Blue Jays’ last 8 games and they’re averaging just 2.67 runs over their last 3. While Manoah is having the worst season of his career, he has given up 4 or more earned runs in just 1 of his last 4 starts.

Paxton has been reliable this year, allowing 3 or fewer earned runs in 11 of 13 starts, and should help the Under hit Friday at Fenway Park.

BET UNDER 10.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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