Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (54-66) and Cleveland Guardians (58-63) meet Thursday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 4-2

Detroit won 8-7 as +161 road underdogs in the series finale vs. the Minnesota Twins Wednesday. The Twins led 4-0 heading into the 4th inning when the Tigers came alive, scoring 8 runs that went unanswered until the bottom the 9th when the Twins scored 3. Detroit broke a 2-game losing streak with Wednesday’s win and sit at 5-5 in their last 10.

Cleveland’s short 2-game winning streak ended Wednesday as the Guardians lost 7-2 in the series finale vs. the Cincinnati Reds. Cleveland tied the game at 1-all in the top of the 3rd, but quickly fell behind and trailed 5-1 by the end of the 4th. The Guardians are now 4-6 in their last 10 overall.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Xzavion Curry

Skubal (2-2, 4.18 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 32 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-2 road loss Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Career vs. Cleveland: 0-2, 4.40 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 27 H, 8 BB, 31 K in 6 starts

Curry (3-1, 3.39 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 69 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 1 K in a 9-8 road loss Friday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Career vs. Detroit: 0-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 14 H, 1 BB, 7 K across 3 appearances (1 start)

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+145) | Guardians +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 2, Guardians 1

Moneyline

LEAN TIGERS (-115).

Detroit is the slight hotter team and holds the slight lead in recent matchups. The Tigers are 6-4 in the last 10 meetings and 5-3 in their last 8 games overall. The Tigers are below .500 (28-33) on the road this year, but I like them to pull off the win in the series opener.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Guardians to cover here especially as they are better at home than the Tigers are on the road, but at +1.5 (-175) the line is far too risky. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

For Detroit the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. For Cleveland the Under is 7-3 in their last 10 overall and 2-1 in Curry’s last 3 starts. The Under is also 5-0-1 in the last 6 Detroit-Cleveland meetings overall and 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers (15-18) open a 3-game series with the Cleveland Guardians (16-18) Monday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 2-1

Detroit picked up 2 wins in a 3-game set at Comerica Park from April 18-19, with the Under cashing in each of the 3 meetings.

The Tigers enter this series on a roll with 5 wins in their last 6 games against the St. Louis Cardinals (Friday-Sunday) and New York Mets (Wednesday-Thursday). Detroit has won 4 of the past 6 road games.

The Guardians picked up 2 wins in 3 outings against the Minnesota Twins over the weekend in the first series of a 9-game homestand. Cleveland has won 17 of the past 24 games inside the AL Central but is just 3-3 vs. its divisional foes this season.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Joey Wentz vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Wentz (0-3, 6.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 HR, 1 BB, 2 K in a 6-5 home win vs. New York Mets Wednesday
  • Road split this season: 0-2, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), .263 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Bibee (1-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, 10.6 K/9 in 11 IP innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-2 road loss vs. New York Yankees Tuesday
  • Has allowed just 3 ER, 10 H and 0 BB with 13 K across 11 IP in his 2 outings to date

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Guardians -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 2

Moneyline

The Guardians (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive given the Tigers have won 5 of their last 6 games.

However, Detroit’s Wentz has been very giving and Cleveland should get well against the southpaw.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are a much more attractive play on the run line at even money.

Cleveland has registered wins in 17 of its last 24 AL Central games and is 17-5 in the past 22 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in the previous outing.

The Tigers are just 3-7 in the past 10 games on the road against a right-handed starting pitcher and 16-47 in their last 63 games at Progressive Field.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games overall for the Tigers and is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games. However, the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 on the road against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Under has dominated for the Guardians lately, going 8-0 in the past 8 series openers and 6-0 in the past 6 at home. The Under is also 6-1 in the past 7 games against a left-handed starting pitcher.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (45-74) and the Cleveland Guardians (62-55) wrap up a 4-game set Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 9-9

After a 4-1 setback in Game 1 of a doubleheader Monday, the Tigers bounced back with a 7-5 win in Game 2, and a 4-3 victory Tuesday. Both teams have scored 12 runs apiece despite that Detroit has won 2 of the 3 games.

The Guardians remain in 1st place in the AL Central Division despite losing the past 2 outings. Their performance over their last 2 games is a disappointment after an 8-1 run from Aug. 6-15.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Daniel Norris vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Norris (0-4, 5.97 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 34 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 4 H and 2 BB with 1 K in 4 2/3-scoreless IP in a no-decision at the Chicago White Sox Friday in his first outing with the Tigers after coming over from the Chicago Cubs.
  • Has an 0-2 record with a 3.86 ERA in 25 2/3 IP with a .200 opponent batting average over 21 nighttime games vs. a 0-2 record, 12.00 ERA and .250 opponent BA in 7 daytime appearances.

Quantrill (9-5, 3.67 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 130 IP.

  • Picked up his career-high 9th win with 7-scoreless IP and just 1 H and 0 BB allowed at the Toronto Blue Jays Friday.
  • Has won 5 straight decisions across his past 7 starts dating back to  a July 5 loss in Detroit.
  • Is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA with 9 K across 10 IP over 2 starts vs. Detroit this season.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Guardians -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-220) will cost more than 2 times your potential return, and over the long haul that’s just not a good betting strategy.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are a much better play on the run line at home. Quantrill has been on fire lately with his last loss coming in early July. It just so happens that the last loss was against the Tigers. However, he also dominated them with 6-scoreless IP in a win July 16 last time they met.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-102) is worth a look in the series finale.

The Under has been the dominant trend for both of these clubs. It’s 8-2-1 in the past 11 games overall for the Guardians and 4-1 in their last 5 games at home.

The Under is 13-3-5 in the past 21 games overall for the Tigers while going 8-2-2 in the previous 12 outings inside the division.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (44-74) and the Cleveland Guardians (62-54) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game set Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead series 9-8

The Tigers picked up a 7-5 win in Game 2 of a doubleheader Monday, snapping a 7-game win streak in this series by the Guardians. Detroit had managed just 8 total runs in its last 5 meetings against Cleveland.

The Guardians enter play Tuesday with a 2-game lead in the AL Central over both the Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox. They’re 30-23 at home this season and have gone 29-22 inside the division.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Garrett Hill vs. RHP Zach Plesac

Hill (2-3, 4.66 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 in 36 2/3 IP.

  • Has managed an 0-3 record and terrible 7.80 ERA with 3 HR allowed and a .279 opponent batting average across 15 IP in 3 road starts.
  • Is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA with 6 H, 3 BB and 4 K across 11 IP in 2 starts vs. Cleveland this season.

Plesac (2-10, 4.32 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 114 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 6 HR with a .277 opponent BA in 49 IP across 9 home starts, although he has a solid 3.49 ERA at Progressive Field.
  • Is 0-1 with a 2.81 ERA and13 K through 16 IP across 3 starts vs. Detroit this season.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Guardians -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-115) | Guardians -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 4

Money line

The Guardians (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s risky business when they’re starting a guy with 2 wins and 10 losses on his ledger. While the Cleveland offense has been strong lately, hold off here.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-115) are a risky play based on their play of late, but they’re worth playing as the underdog on the run line since Plesac has been so very giving this season.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-107) is the lean here, but play it lightly.

Hill is an unproven commodity, and he has struggled on the road. Plesac has had some awful luck at home, and he has been very giving overall. Look for the offense to do enough to inch this one over the finish line.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (43-73) and Cleveland Guardians (61-53) are scheduled to tangle in a traditional doubleheader Monday at Progressive Field. Game 2 is slated to get underway at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians Game 2 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Monday’s doubleheader)

Season series: Cleveland leads 8-7

The Tigers defeated Cleveland in 4 straight games (July 4-7) as part of a 6-game win streak in early July. However, Detroit’s offense has been atrocious since that midsummer surge and it has gone just 7-26 over its last 33 games. The Tigers own a paltry .571 OPS along that stretch.

The Guardians are back at home after a 5-1 road trip that opened with 3 straight wins at Detroit. Cleveland is 7-1 over its last 8 games and has yielded just 1.50 runs per game over that stretch.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Bryan Garcia vs. RHP Xzavion Curry

Garcia (0-0, 2.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 9.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 7 2/3 IP.

  • Expected to be recalled from Triple-A Toledo for this spot start in Monday’s nightcap.
  • Pitched 4-scoreless innings with 6 BB against the Tampa Bay Rays in his last MLB start Aug. 5 but followed that up with 6 ER across 4 IP in a Triple-A start Aug. 10.
  • Has registered a 5.73 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in his career across 74 MLB games (2 as a starter).

Curry is expected to be called up from Triple-A Columbus (Ohio) for Game 2 Monday.

  • Started this season in Double-A Akron and has logged a combined 3.48 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, while walking 30 batters and striking out 113 across 101 combined IP (32 at Triple-A).
  • Has not allowed a run in his last 13 IP at Triple-A.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Guardians -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 4

Money line

PASS. There isn’t much of a lean here, but a Detroit side in the Run Line category offers the best value.

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Run line/Against the spread

Cleveland logged a .638 OPS in its last homestand. The Guardians are likely slightly overrated by their overall 20-13 mark in 1-run games. They play in more such games than average.

BACK DETROIT +1.5 (-120). The pitching doesn’t reach the required level of input in cranking out some analytic under-and overlays. Consider a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

With this starting pitching matchup and possible/likely bullpen shortages and rationing, peg this total being a tad too low.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-107).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (43-73) and Cleveland Guardians (61-53) are scheduled to tangle with a traditional doubleheader Monday at Progressive Field. Game 1 is slated to start at 3:10 p.m. ET . Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 8-7

The Tigers defeated Cleveland in 4 straight games (July 4-7) as part of a 6-game win streak. But Detroit’s offense has been atrocious since that midsummer surge, and the Tigers have gone just 7-26 in their last 33 games. Over that span, Detroit owns a paltry .571 OPS.

The Guardians are back at home after a 5-1 road trip, a trip that opened with 3 straight wins at Detroit. Cleveland is 7-1 in its last 8 games and it has yielded just 3.50 runs per game over that stretch.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Drew Hutchison vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Hutchison (1-6, 4.45 ERA) has made 9 starts and 10 relief appearances. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.

  • Faced Cleveland in his last start (Wednesday) and has seen the Guardians 3 times in his last 7 starts (15 IP, 8 ER on 19 hits, 3 BB, 8K)
  • Current Cleveland batters own an aggregate .897 OPS against him
  • Owns a 4.40 ERA, 1.44 WHIO as a starter

Civale (2-5, 6.05 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start of the season. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 58 IP.

  • Has a 4.67 ERA, 1.30 WHIP across 27 IP at home
  • Has held current Detroit bats to a .524 OPS

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:32 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Guardians -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-115) | Guardians -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Tigers 4

Money line

PASS. There isn’t much of a lean here, but a Detroit side in the Run Line category offers the best value.

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Run line/Against the spread

Cleveland logged a .638 OPS in its last homestand. The Guardians are likely slightly overrated by their overall 20-13 mark in 1-run games. They play in more such games than average.

BACK DETROIT +1.5 (-115). Consider a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

With this starting pitching matchup and the expected bullpen conservation, peg this total being a tad too low. TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

Detroit Tigers (37-53) and the Cleveland Guardians (44-44) resume their 4-game series Friday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead 7-3

Cleveland RHP Triston McKenzie has been dominant in July, and has been the only bright spot recently for the Guardians. He threw 8 scoreless innings with 12 strikeouts in a 4-0 Guardians victory to open the series Thursday.

Tigers DH Miguel Cabrera ended his cold streak at the plate (2-for-25 across his last 7 games), going 2 for 4 Thursday and improving his batting average to .290.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Drew Hutchinson vs. RHP Zach Plesac

Hutchinson (1-4, 4.08 ERA) makes his 5th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP.

  • Spent the last 2 seasons shuffling between Detroit and AAA-Toledo.
  • Posting a career-low .231 BA and .664 OPS this year.
  • Lone win came against Cleveland July 5 with 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 5 H, 0 BB and 2 K.

Plesac (2-7, 3.99 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.

  • Guardians average 3.5 runs in his starts.
  • Gave up 6 hits July 4 at Detroit and 7 hits at the Kansas City Royals Sunday in his last start; has a 2.47 FIP across those 2 turns.
  • Has struggled against left-handed batters in 2022 with a 1.25 K/BB rate (6.4 K/BB vs. righties)

Tigers at Guardians nickname odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers+1.5 (-140) | Guardians -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Tigers at Guardians nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 3

Money line

LEAN GUARDIANS (-190)

The odds aren’t great but the Guardians are 15-6 as home favorites and Plesac is looking to continue his recent dominance on the mound.

Plesac has a 2.68 ERA and pitched through the 6th inning all but once across his last 8 starts, although he only has 1 recorded win along that span.

Guardians are 11-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record while the Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

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Run line/Against the spread

You can get plus money on Cleveland -1.5 (+115) but the Tigers have actually covered 50% of their games as road underdogs — despite the fact that they lose 69% straight-up in that scenario.

The Guardians are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 contests when their opponent scored 1 or 0 runs in their previous game.

PASS.

Over/Under.

The trends all point towards the UNDER (-125).

The Under is 5-0 in both Cleveland’s and Detroit’s last 5 games when the total set between 7.0-8.5.

The Guardians are 1-5 in their last 6 game 2s of a series.

The Tigers have a .230 batting average this season, ranked 26th in MLB.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (37-52) and Cleveland Guardians (43-44) kick off a 4-game set Thursday at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-2

After a season-high 6-game win streak — which included a 4-game sweep of the Guardians at Comerica Park — the Tigers are 1-5 across their last 6 outings.

The Guardians limp in with just 4 wins in the past 14 games, slipping under .500. Cleveland has won just 3 of its last 11 games inside the AL Central.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Elvin Rodriguez vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Rodriguez (0-2, 11.51 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 20 1/3 IP.

  • Is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and .375 opponent batting average in 9 1/3 IP in 2 road starts.
  • Worked 4 scoreless IP with 2 H, 0 BB and 4 K in a no-decision May 29 against the Guardians at Comerica Park.

McKenzie (6-6, 3.47 ERA) has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP across 15 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Has managed a 2-1 record, 3.68 ERA and .185 opponent BA with 30 K across 29 1/3 IP in 5 starts at Progressive Field.
  • Suffered a hard-luck loss at Detroit May 29 with 2 ER, 4 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 7 2/3 IP.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Guardians -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-240) will cost you nearly two and a half times your potential return. That’s just too risky, especially against a Tigers team that has won 7 of 9 in the season series.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110) are a much better play on the run line, as Cleveland looks to snap on track. McKenzie has been throwing peas, recording tons of strikeouts in the process, and Cleveland has the edge here going against the unproven Rodriguez in this make-up game from May 21.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the way to go here.

The Under is 4-2 across the past 6 games for the Tigers and 5-3-1 in 9 games against the Guardians this season.

The Under went 3-1 for Cleveland in the 4-game set with the White Sox, and the Under is 9-4 across the past 13 games overall.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (13-25) head to Progressive Field Friday to start a 3-game series with the American League Central co-tenant Cleveland Guardians (16-19). First pitch is 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Detroit lost back-to-back games at the Tampa Bay Rays to lose its 3-game set following a 4-game win streak and is 5-5 overall in its last 10 games. Cleveland is on a 3-game losing skid and is just 4-6 overall in its last 10 outings.

The Guardians beat the Tigers 12-7 in last year’s season series and outscored them 37 runs in those meetings.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Skubal is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 39 2/3 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 5-1, at home vs. the Baltimore Orioles with 6-scoreless IP, 3 H, 2 BB and 11 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Guardians: 0-2 with a 6.28 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 6 BB and 16 K.
  • vs. Guardians on the current roster: 2.33 FIP with a .239/.281/.309 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 24.4 K% and 90.3 mph exit velocity (EV) in 41 plate appearances (PA).

Civale is 1-3 with a 9.85 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 24 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 12-8, at the Minnesota Twins Friday with 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 5 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Tigers: 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.66 WHIP and 7.1 K/9 in 3 starts.
  • vs. Tigers on the current roster: 3.34 FIP with a .260/.310/.412 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 16.3 K% and 83.4 mph EV in 86 PA.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+160) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Guardians 2

Money line

GIMME the TIGERS (+100) because they have a clear edge over the Guardians in pitching.

Skubal’s FIP is better than his ERA, which suggests he’ll continue to deal, and he grades in the 80th percentile or better in xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line and four of his five pitches have a minus-run value, per Statcast.

Whereas Civale is in the bottom quarter of the MLB in xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, hard-hit rate and EV. Cleveland’s 6-5 overall record vs. left-handed starters is misleading because none of those victories were against “top-of-the-rotation” starters and Skubal has an All-Star-caliber form.

Detroit’s bullpen ranks ahead of Cleveland’s in WAR, FIP, ERA, WHIP and home runs allowed per 9-inning rate, according to FanGraphs.

BET 1 unit on the TIGERS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the TIGERS -1.5 (+160), if at all, because this is Detroit’s first game as a road favorite and the Guardians are 6-4 RL as home underdogs.

However, Civale has been dreadful this season — all 3 of his losses were by at least 4 runs — and Cleveland’s bullpen is mediocre this season.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-125) because Cleveland is 6-0 O/U in Civale’s 6 starts and the weather conditions are hitter-friendly. The forecast is predicting temperatures in the mid-to-high-80s and a 20-plus mph wind blowing out to centerfield.

However, it’s only a LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-125) because Skubal is an Ace and Detroit’s lineup is 29th in both wRC+ (79) and wOBA (.273) and dead-last in BB/K rate (0.31), per FanGraphs.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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