Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (37-52) and Cleveland Guardians (43-44) kick off a 4-game set Thursday at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-2

After a season-high 6-game win streak — which included a 4-game sweep of the Guardians at Comerica Park — the Tigers are 1-5 across their last 6 outings.

The Guardians limp in with just 4 wins in the past 14 games, slipping under .500. Cleveland has won just 3 of its last 11 games inside the AL Central.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Elvin Rodriguez vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Rodriguez (0-2, 11.51 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 20 1/3 IP.

  • Is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and .375 opponent batting average in 9 1/3 IP in 2 road starts.
  • Worked 4 scoreless IP with 2 H, 0 BB and 4 K in a no-decision May 29 against the Guardians at Comerica Park.

McKenzie (6-6, 3.47 ERA) has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP across 15 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Has managed a 2-1 record, 3.68 ERA and .185 opponent BA with 30 K across 29 1/3 IP in 5 starts at Progressive Field.
  • Suffered a hard-luck loss at Detroit May 29 with 2 ER, 4 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 7 2/3 IP.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Guardians -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-240) will cost you nearly two and a half times your potential return. That’s just too risky, especially against a Tigers team that has won 7 of 9 in the season series.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110) are a much better play on the run line, as Cleveland looks to snap on track. McKenzie has been throwing peas, recording tons of strikeouts in the process, and Cleveland has the edge here going against the unproven Rodriguez in this make-up game from May 21.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the way to go here.

The Under is 4-2 across the past 6 games for the Tigers and 5-3-1 in 9 games against the Guardians this season.

The Under went 3-1 for Cleveland in the 4-game set with the White Sox, and the Under is 9-4 across the past 13 games overall.

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