The Detroit Tigers (15-18) open a 3-game series with the Cleveland Guardians (16-18) Monday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 2-1
Detroit picked up 2 wins in a 3-game set at Comerica Park from April 18-19, with the Under cashing in each of the 3 meetings.
The Tigers enter this series on a roll with 5 wins in their last 6 games against the St. Louis Cardinals (Friday-Sunday) and New York Mets (Wednesday-Thursday). Detroit has won 4 of the past 6 road games.
The Guardians picked up 2 wins in 3 outings against the Minnesota Twins over the weekend in the first series of a 9-game homestand. Cleveland has won 17 of the past 24 games inside the AL Central but is just 3-3 vs. its divisional foes this season.
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Tigers at Guardians projected starters
LHP Joey Wentz vs. RHP Tanner Bibee
Wentz (0-3, 6.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 HR, 1 BB, 2 K in a 6-5 home win vs. New York Mets Wednesday
- Road split this season: 0-2, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), .263 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts
Bibee (1-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, 10.6 K/9 in 11 IP innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-2 road loss vs. New York Yankees Tuesday
- Has allowed just 3 ER, 10 H and 0 BB with 13 K across 11 IP in his 2 outings to date
Tigers at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Guardians -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 5, Tigers 2
Moneyline
The Guardians (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive given the Tigers have won 5 of their last 6 games.
However, Detroit’s Wentz has been very giving and Cleveland should get well against the southpaw.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are a much more attractive play on the run line at even money.
Cleveland has registered wins in 17 of its last 24 AL Central games and is 17-5 in the past 22 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in the previous outing.
The Tigers are just 3-7 in the past 10 games on the road against a right-handed starting pitcher and 16-47 in their last 63 games at Progressive Field.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean, but go lightly.
The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games overall for the Tigers and is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games. However, the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 on the road against a right-handed starting pitcher.
The Under has dominated for the Guardians lately, going 8-0 in the past 8 series openers and 6-0 in the past 6 at home. The Under is also 6-1 in the past 7 games against a left-handed starting pitcher.
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