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The Xavier Musketeers (21-11) and Texas Longhorns (19-15) meet Wednesday in Dayton, Ohio, as they tussle in a First Four game for the Midwest Region No. 11 seed. Tip time in the site’s second game of the evening from UD Arena is slated for 9:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Xavier vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Xavier, which made the tournament field as an at-large squad from the Big East Conference, closed the regular season with a 7-game win streak. But the Musketeers were ousted by Marquette in a Thursday quarterfinal, though they covered as 2.5-point underdogs in an 89-87 loss — with the Over (145 easily hitting). XU is an up-tempo 5, which is solid on the defensive glass and ranks seventh in the nation in accuracy from the 3-point arc with a 38.82% per NCAA.com.
Texas earned an at-large berth out of the Southeastern Conference after clocking 17 regular-season wins and then 2 victories in the SEC Tournament. The Longhorns fell to favored-by-9.5 Tennessee 83-72 in a Friday semifinal in Nashville with the Over (137.5) cashing. That loss stands as 1 of 5 since Feb. 22 as the ‘Horns are 3-5 in that span. In the larger picture, the Longhorns are just 8-13 after starting the season 11-2.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Xavier vs. Texas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Xavier -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Texas +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread (ATS): Xavier -2.5 (-115) | Texas +2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Xavier vs. Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Xavier 79, Texas 74
Moneyline
No interest. AVOID.
Against the spread
Since Feb. 12, the Musketeers are 7-1 straight up and 6-2 ATS.
Xavier coach Sean Miller has led teams to multiple tourney wins 8 times, and his Musketeers are the sharper team heading into this matchup. XU’s speed (adjusted tempo 74th in NCAA-I per KenPom) figures to be a potential problem for the Longhorns. Over the last six weeks, Texas has been an ATS minus against faster foes like Alabama, Arkansas, and Kentucky.
The Texas perimeter defense is just average, and the Longhorns are facing a Xavier team which has splashed on 40% of its attempts over its last 10 games. If things are close late, give XU an edge at the foul line: The Muskies rank sixth in the nation with a 79.4% accuracy rate, per NCAA.com.
With the Musketeers playing near its Cincinnati home, BACK XAVIER -2.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Over is 12-1 in Texas’ last 13 games.
Both sides generate a lot of looks at the free-throw line, and both have faster tempo numbers over the last month or so.
Consider a partial-unit play on OVER 151.5 (-105).
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