Texas at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Texas at Baylor odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Longhorns (19-10, 8-8 Big 12) face the No. 14 Baylor Bears (21-8, 10-6) Monday. Tip-off from Foster Pavilion is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Texas beat the Oklahoma State Cowboys 81-65 Saturday while covering as a 10-point home favorite. Texas won the turnover battle 15-8 and the rebounding battle 39-28 while also shooting better than the Cowboys from the field and from 3-point range. The Longhorns have won back-to-back games and 3 of their last 4.

Baylor picked up an 82-74 win over the No. 9 Kansas Jayhawks Saturday while covering as a 4-point home favorite. The Bears shot 55.6% from the field, hitting 7 of their 17 deep balls (41.2%), and won rebounding battle 31-23. Baylor has won back-to-back games.

Texas beat Baylor 75-73 as the home squad on Jan. 20

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Texas at Baylor odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texas +215 (bet $100 to win $215) | Baylor -265 (bet $265 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas +6.5 (-110) | Baylor -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texas at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 77, Texas 69

Moneyline

PASS.

Baylor is the much-better team and is 7-3 in its last 10 matchups with Texas. The Bears are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Longhorns are only 5-5. However, the Bears are not worth the risk of betting on as -266 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN BAYLOR -6.5 (-110).

Baylor has covered the spread in back-to-back outings and is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 games. The Bears have also covered in consecutive matchups vs. the Longhorns and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Baylor has also been the much better team ATS this season, being 17-9-2 while Texas is 11-18.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 145.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for Texas and is 7-3 in its last 10. The Over is also 17-12 for Texas this year. For Baylor, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 games and 15-13 on the season. The Over has also hit in back-to-back Texas-Baylor matchups and is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings.

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Texas at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 6 Texas Longhorns (3-0) take on the Baylor Bears (1-2) on Saturday at McLane Stadium in the Big 12 opener for both  teams. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Longhorns failed to cover as 30.5-point home favorites in their 31-10 win over Wyoming in Week 3 as the Under (48.5) cashed. Texas needed a 21-point 4th quarter to win the game.

The Bears secured their 1st win of the season in Week 3, beating LIU 30-7, but not covering as 45-point home favorites as the Under (53.5) cashed. Baylor is set to play its 4th straight home game to begin the season.

Texas is No. 6 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Texas at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texas -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Baylor +475 (bet $100 to win $475)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas -14.5 (-110) | Baylor +14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texas at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 30, Baylor 17

Moneyline

Even with Texas being heavily favored in Saturday’s Big 12 matchup, AVOID the moneyline in this game. Taking the Longhorns at -650 odds isn’t advised given the minimal profit you’ll receive if they win.

Against the spread

BAYLOR +14.5 (-110) is the play in this game despite the Bears struggling through the 1st 3 weeks. Texas and Baylor are both playing its 1st conference game of the season, and the Bears can keep it closer than expected at home.

At the same time, the Longhorns needed 21 points in the 4th quarter of last week’s game just to beat Wyoming at home. Texas could have still been looking back at its win over Alabama in Week 2, but it’ll be interesting to see how the Longhorns respond on Saturday.

Over/Under

UNDER 49.5 (-110) is the pick in this game as Baylor’s offense has looked inconsistent to begin the season. Even QB Quinn Ewers looked out of sorts for Texas last week, completing only 11 of his 21 attempts for 131 yards and 2 TDs.

Texas and Baylor are a combined 2-4 to the Over in the 1st 3 weeks of the season. Plus, the Over is 1-9 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire

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