Texas A&M at Georgia odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Texas A&M Aggies at Georgia Bulldogs betting odds and lines, with college football analysis, picks and best bets.

The Texas A&M Aggies (7-3, 4-2 SEC West) and Georgia Bulldogs (9-1, 6-1 SEC East) square off between the hedges at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Ga. at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday. We analyze the Texas A&M-Georgia odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Texas A&M at Georgia: Three things you need to know

1. The Aggies rank a respectable 25th in total defense, allowing 327.9 yards per game, and they’re 23rd in points allowed (20.3 PPG).

2. Georgia RB D’Andre Swift has rolled up 1,027 rushing yards and eight total touchdowns.

3. The Bulldogs rank sixth in total yards allowed (267.5), third in rushing yards allowed (75.8) and second in the nation with just 10.5 PPG allowed.


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Texas A&M at Georgia: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Georgia 31, Texas A&M 14

Moneyline (ML)

Georgia (-556) looks to keep hope alive for a spot in the College Football Playoff, but it has no room for error. While the Bulldogs will win this game, risking more than five times the potential winnings is just not worth it. A&M (+395) isn’t going to pull the upset, so save the money.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Georgia to win would return a profit of $1.80.

Against the Spread (ATS)

GEORGIA (-13.5, -110) is an attractive play at less than two touchdowns. Even at a flat 14 the Dawgs aren’t a bad play if the line moves up by Saturday.

Texas A&M (+13.5, -110) has a decent passing attack, and they are 11-5 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams. However, UGA is 14-5 ATS in the past 19 against winning teams and 20-8 ATS in the past 28 SEC battles. Look for UGA to keep it rolling.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The projected total of 45.5 is going to be super close. If I were to lean one way, I’d say Under (-139). The Under is 5-0 in UGA’s past five overall, and 26-9-2 in the past 37 in Athens. The Under is also 5-1 in A&M’s past six on the road. However, with big-time QBs like Jake Fromm, Kellen Mond and Swift, it could easily go Over, too.

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Texas A&M vs. Georgia Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Texas A&M vs. Georgia fearless prediction and game preview.

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Texas A&M vs. Georgia fearless prediction and game preview.


Texas A&M vs. Georgia Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 23
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Network: CBS

All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Texas A&M (7-3) vs. Georgia (9-1) Game Preview

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Why Texas A&M Will Win

Georgia is the exact type of team that should be in Texas A&M’s wheelhouse.

The Aggie passing game has been fine, but it’s a team that likes to own the time of possession battle, keep the tempo down, and battle in low scoring fights. That’s Georgia.

The Bulldogs are fantastic. They have amazing lines, Jake Fromm is Jake Fromm, and the defense is getting the job done, but it’s not going go all LSU and put up 50 points on the board.

It likes to control the clock – that’s not going to be easy against the Aggie bunch that can grind drives out – and it needs to win third down battles on both sides. Texas A&M is terrific on the money downs, is terrific at keeping the big pass plays to a minimum, and it’s been locking down on the struggling passing games.

Over the last four games, the Aggies haven’t allowed a team to complete more than 46% of its passes, haven’t given up a touchdown throw in three of those four, and on the year, are allowing fewer than six yards per pass.

As good as Fromm is, he’s been under 47% over the last two games against Missouri and Auburn and hasn’t thrown for more than 175 yards in three of his last four dates. However …

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Why Georgia Will Win

Fromm isn’t screwing up.

He threw three interceptions against South Carolina, and that’s been it. He might not be bombing away down the field, but his style is working with the overall scheme of what the team does. It might not be scintillating, but it’s awful effective.

No, he’s not bombing away, but he has thrown seven touchdown passes and no picks in his last three games.

On the other side, the run defense has been a bear.

Vanderbilt, South Carolina, and Kentucky. Those are the only three teams to run for 100 yards or more against the nation’s third-best defense. The line isn’t doing a ton to get into the backfield, but eats up everything.

How good has this underappreciated group been? It hasn’t allowed more than five yards per carry in any game, only gave up more than four to Kentucky in a 21-0 win, and over the last three games when it’s been time to step it up, it held Florida, Missouri and Auburn to a combined 155 rushing yards and just over two yards per carry.

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What’s Going To Happen

Kellen Mond needs to be fantastic for A&M.

He was great against Auburn – throwing for 335 yards and two scores, but he struggled against Clemson and was just okay when the game was still on against Alabama.

He’ll be good enough to throw a scare into the Dawgs, but the lack of a running game is going to be a killer.

Back to the Georgia run defense, Texas A&M has rushed for 125 yards or fewer four times this season. Once was in the inexplicably close win against Arkansas, and the other three times were against Clemson, Alabama and Auburn – the three losses.

This is the first time the two teams have met since Texas A&M joined the SEC, and just the fifth time overall. Georgia won the 2009 Independence Bowl 44-20 – that was the last time they played. Before that, it was a 42-0 wipeout by the eventual national champion Bulldogs in 1980. Before that? 1954.

This one will be bigger than the other five – A&M leads the head-to-head matchup 3-2, starting with a win in the 1950 Presidential Cup – with Georgia evening the series.


Texas A&M vs. Georgia Prediction, Line

Georgia 27, Texas A&M 17
Bet on A&M vs. UGA with BetMGM, or for latest line 
Georgia -13.5, o/u: 47
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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Must See Rating: 4.5

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