The No. 7 TCU Horned Frogs (7-0, 4-0 Big 12) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (3-4, 1-3) play Saturday at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, W.Va. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the TCU vs. West Virginia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Horned Frogs have not only won all 7 of their games, but TCU has posted a 5-1-1 ATS mark. That includes a 38-28 win last weekend against Kansas State, showing no hangover after an impressive 43-40 OT win over Oklahoma State in a battle for first place.
Things haven’t gone according to plan for the Mountaineers, winning just 3 of 7 games. However, West Virginia has managed a 2-1 SU/ATS mark at home, including a win against Baylor on Oct. 13 as a 3-point ‘dog.
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TCU at West Virginia odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:41 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): TCU -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | West Virginia +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread: TCU -7.5 (-107) | West Virginia +7.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 68.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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TCU at West Virginia picks and predictions
Prediction
TCU 41, West Virginia 30
Moneyline
TCU (-280) is expected to be able to ease by West Virginia (+220) in this conference battle, but it won’t be a simple task. Morgantown is a risky place to play, and laying 3 times your potential return on a road team in a hostile environment is not a great idea.
PASS.
Against the spread
TCU -7.5 (-107) is worth playing, as it should be able to exploit a shaky West Virginia +7.5 (-115) defense to get it done. The Mountaineers allow 275.7 passing yards per game and 33.7 PPG, both of which are 117th overall in the country.
There is also risk because TCU is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 visits to Morgantown.
No bettor of favorites enjoys laying 7 and a hook, but the Horned Frogs should be able to pull away a little in the 2nd half for a double-digit win.
Over/Under
OVER 68.5 (-107) is the lean here, as the trends point to the Over for both sides.
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 games overall for TCU, while cashing an impressive 11-1 clip in the last 12 games following a SU win. The Over is 4-1 in TCU’s last 5 conference tilts, too.
For West Virginia, the Over is 4-1 in the last 5 after an SU loss, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 following a cover.
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