Which MVP candidates give you the most bang for your buck?
Betting on Super Bowl MVP isn’t always about picking the player most favored to win — almost always a quarterback. Odds for the favorites aren’t usually great and require larger wagers for smaller payouts.
Unless you’re so sure one of the favorites will win the award, the best strategy is often finding players with the best combination of odds and opportunity. Someone with a track record of getting it done and a realistic chance of changing the game, but whose odds also make it worth the gamble. These are called value picks.
Looking at past Super Bowl MVP’s, non-quarterbacks to win it in the last 20 years have almost exclusively been wide receivers and linebackers. Keeping that in mind, below are the five players from the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams with the best value odds to win MVP of Super Bowl LVI.
4 takeaways from Tom Brady’s Super Bowl 55 win with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
What more can you say?
In his first season away from the New England Patriots, 43-year-old Tom Brady bested teams led by Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs to win his seventh Super Bowl ring — more Super Bowl wins than any NFL franchise.
Brady will always be remembered as a Patriot, first and foremost. His magnum opus remains Super 51, in which he famously erased a 28-3 deficit to beat the Atlanta Falcons to win in overtime.
But as NFL Media’s Judy Battista perfectly stated in her postgame piece, this is Brady’s “crowning achievement.”
Much will be made about Brady winning a Super Bowl outside of Bill Belichick’s ‘Patriot Way,’ and that’s notable, but this win did much more than that for Brady’s legacy.
Tom Brady won his 7th Super Bowl with the win over Kansas City. What schools have the most Super Bowl winning starting quarterbacks?
Tom Brady won his seventh Super Bowl with the win over Kansas City. Now that’s another win that Michigan can brag about – what schools have the most Super Bowl winning starting quarterbacks?
There’s still a whole lot of work to do by other massive football schools.
USC, Miami, Oklahoma, Florida, Ohio State, Penn State, Texas, Auburn, Clemson, Georgia, LSU, Nebraska, Texas A&M, Virginia Tech, Washington and Arizona State … none of them have a Super Bowl-winning starting quarterback on the resumé.
Which schools can claim the most Super Bowl-winning starting quarterbacks?
Jake Scott, one of the mainstays of the No-Name Defense that led the Miami Dolphins to the NFL’s only perfect season has died at the age of 75.
Scott’s former teammate and fellow defensive back Dick Anderson told the Miami Herald that Scott had fallen and hurt his head, leading to his hospitalization in Atlanta and ultimately his death. The University of Georgia, where Scott played college football, also confirmed the death.
The MVP of Super Bowl VII, five-time Pro Bowler, an All-Pro, a member of the Dolphins Honor Roll, and our all-time leader in interceptions.https://t.co/jXdqTl3jIg
We are saddened to learn of the passing of Georgia great, Jake Scott. Our thoughts and prayers go out to his family and friends during this difficult time. pic.twitter.com/ukytLrtOg2
Scott was a seventh-round draft pick in 1970. He went on to play for Miami for six seasons before joining Washington for the final three seasons of his career. He had begun his professional career in 1969 as a flanker and kick returner with the BC Lions of the CFL.
With the Dolphins, he was named to the Pro Bowl five times and was an All-Pro two times. He recorded 49 interceptions in 126 career games between the Dolphins and the Redskins. He was a part of the 1972 undefeated Dolphins team and the 1973 team. Both teams won the Super Bowl.
Scott avoided the spotlight after his career and took being away from it to another level. Check out this amazing story by Dave Hyde, here.
NEW: On the memorable life and career of Jake Scott, former Miami Dolphins star and Super Bowl MVP, who died today in Atlanta at 75: https://t.co/LGRflGglFt
Scott is the latest member of the 1972 Dolphins team to die this year. Legendary coach Don Shula passed away in May, Kiick died in June. Last year, Bob Kuechenberg, Nick Buoniconti, and Matt Langer all died.
• 2x Super Bowl Champion🏆🏆 • Super Bowl VII MVP (2 INT – played w/ separated shoulder)🏆 • 3x AFC Champion • 5 Pro Bowls • 4x All-Pro (2x First-Team) • 5x All-AFC • 49 career INT • Led NFL in punt return yards in 1971 pic.twitter.com/LUxNprOwub
Another Dolphins great of another generation offered condolences.
My condolences to the friends and family of Dolphins legend Jake Scott. The original No. 13! A great player, he will forever be remembered as the MVP of Super Bowl VII. RIP Jake 🙏🏼
Justin Herbert has faced Super Bowl MVPs in his first two starts and that easily could become four.
The Los Angeles Chargers had to start Justin Herbert against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 3 when a doctor somehow punctured Tyrod Taylor’s lung.
The rookie from Oregon has done quite well for himself in two losses.
And an oddity is going to continue in Week 5 week should the sixth overall pick meet the New Orleans Saints Monday at the Superdome.
How about opening your career against three Super Bowl MVPs?
That is exactly what Herbert would have done should he face Drew Brees and the Saints.
He went up against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Week 3, an overtime loss.
In Week 4, all Herbert had to do was wage an arms war with the legendary G.O.A.T., Tom Brady.
And up next on the Chargers’ docket is Brees.
Believe it or not, the run could not end at three.
The Chargers play host to the New York Jets on Oct. 18, Week 6 if you are counting.
Sam Darnold is out this week as the Jets play host to the Arizona Cardinals.
And, yes, if Darnold is out for the game with the Bolts, the starting job would continue to go to Joe Flacco. You know, the MVP of XLVII for the Baltimore Ravens.
Mahomes told ESPN’s Jenna Laine he has 250 text messages after Sunday’s Super Bowl win, but that he really wants to hear from Chris Paul.
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Patrick Mahomes might be the most popular guy in the NFL right now. Quite possibly, in all of sports.
Mahomes led the Kansas City Chiefs to a 31-20 comeback victory over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LIV on Sunday night. It’s the Chiefs’ first Super Bowl win in 50 years, so it’s kind of a big deal.
Mahomes was named the Super Bowl MVP after completing 26-of-42 passing attempts for 286 yards and two touchdowns. He also had a pair of early interceptions and a rushing touchdown on the night.
Not surprisingly, there were a lot of people that wanted to talk to Mahomes after the game ended.
He told ESPN’s Jenna Laine that he had received 250 text messages from famous names like Peyton Manning, Brett Favre, and Troy Polamalu.
But there’s one person in particular that he still really wanted to hear from. Oklahoma City’s Chris Paul.
The person @PatrickMahomes REALLY wants to hear from after his Super Bowl victory? Chris Paul, who told him during a Mavericks game last year, “Hey, man, I love your game!” That’s who Mahomes has watched for years.
The person @PatrickMahomes REALLY wants to hear from after his Super Bowl victory? Chris Paul, who told him during a Mavericks game last year, “Hey, man, I love your game!” That’s who Mahomes has watched for years.
No word on whether or not the Thunder’s All-Star guard even has Mahomes’ number, but as Laine suggested, worst case, CP3 can always drop him a direct message.
Patrick Mahomes came away with Super Bowl LIV’s Most Valuable Player award, but there was one Chiefs player more deserving of the award.
MIAMI — Eli Manning’s recent retirement had me thinking about the two Super Bowls Manning’s Giants won — Super Bowls XLII and XLVI — and the weight his performances had in those wins. Unless a quarterback throws up all over himself on the field, quarterbacks will always lead the charge when it comes to Most Valuable Player awards in the season’s biggest game, and Manning was, for the most part, perfectly adequate.
In those two Super Bowls, Manning combined for 49 completions in 74 attempts for 551 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. He had great throws in both Super Bowls — the David Tyree helmet catch in Super Bowl XLII, and this insane 38-yard completion to receiver Mario Manningham on the Giants’ game-winning drive in the second Super Bowl win. That’s still one of the best throws I’ve ever seen.
Not unlike Patrick Mahomes’ performance in Super Bowl LIV, really. Mahomes was a turbo-charged version of Manning, completing 26 of 42 passes for 286 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. He also added nine rushing plays for 29 yards and a touchdown. Like Manning in his day, Mahomes had a couple of crucial shot plays — a 44-yard pass to wide receiver Tyreek Hill with 7:13 left in the game, and a 38-yard completion to receiver Sammy Watkins with 3:58 remaining — and those plays were the difference-makers that erased the two picks when it came to Mahomes’ MVP equity.
All well and good — I wrote yesterday that Mahomes was utterly brilliant when he had to be. But was he the most valuable Chiefs player in that game? The argument can be made for at least three other players.
Right tackle Mitchell Schwartz allowed exactly zero total pressures — no sacks, no quarterback hits, and no quarterback hurries — on 52 pass-blocking snaps against San Francisco’s furious pass rush, per Pro Football Focus. It was an astonishing performance that the tape backs up.
Running back Damien Williams gained 104 yards and scored a touchdown on 17 carries, and his was the five-yard touchdown reception with 2:44 left in the game that put the Chiefs up, 24-20, for the lead they would never lose again.
But the guy I’ll choose is defensive lineman Chris Jones. And the reason I brought up the Manning comparison is that, in both of those Giants Super Bowls, defensive lineman Justin Tuck could have — and probably should have — been the MVP. It was Tuck, over and over, who pushed the middle of New England’s offensive line in both games, forcing Tom Brady out of the preferred vantage point he gets when he steps up in the pocket to throw. And it was Tuck who forced the intentional grounding penalty in Super Bowl XLVI that gave the Giants two points with a safety because Brady heaved the ball out of his own end zone. Tuck had two sacks, two quarterback hits, and a forced fumble in XLII. He had two sacks, two tackles for loss, and three quarterback hits in XLVI. In both games, he was the game-wrecker who made the difference.
Another interesting connection is that the guy who ran the Giants’ defense in XLII was Steve Spagnuolo, the Chiefs’ current defensive coordinator. When Spagnuolo took the Kansas City job before the 2019 season, it’s easy to imagine him watching Jones’ tape and thinking to himself, I’ve got my next Justin Tuck.
If that was indeed the theory, the theory proved true — though Jones, the fourth-year man from Mississippi State who has been one of the league’s more consistent interior disruptors over the last three seasons — wreaked his particular havoc in different ways. In Super Bowl LIV, Jones was credited with no tackles, one assist, no sacks, no quarterback hits, and three passes defensed. If you looked at the stat sheet, you might imagine Jones dropping back into zone blitzes and deflecting balls in coverage.
But that’s not what happened. Jones’ three pass defensed were all tipped passes at the line of scrimmage, and he was absolutely brilliant at disrupting 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo in that regard.
The first deflection came with 5:27 left in the game, and the 49ers up 20-17 with second-and-5 at their own 25-yard line. Jones (No. 95) isn’t going to get to Garoppolo in time to create pressure, so instead, he drops and deflects.
The second deflection came with 1:49 left in the game, the Chiefs now up 24-20, the 49ers with first-and-10 at their own 49-yard line. Once again, Jones is a primary point of focus for the 49ers’ offensive line, preventing him from collapsing the pocket. So again, Jones gets his hand up, and San Francisco has to go back to the drawing board.
The third deflection came on the very next play, and this one almost ended the game for good. Jones got the heel of his hand on a Garoppolo burner, and cornerback Kendall Fuller nearly came away with an interception.
The 49ers failed to score on either of those drives as the Chiefs were busy scoring three touchdowns in a five-minute stretch in the last 6:13 of the game. Without Jones’ efforts, it could well have been a very different story
But wait, as they say, there’s more! PFF gave Jones credit for just one quarterback pressure, but it provided a huge result. With 14:15 left in the first half, Garoppolo tried to get the ball out under pressure — first from Jones, and then from defensive lineman Mike Pennel. Instead, Garoppolo threw up a prayer that was intercepted by cornerback Bashaud Breeland.
“You’re at the point in the season where sacks don’t really count and they don’t matter,” Jones said after the game on a virtuoso performance that sadly left him lacking on the stat sheet. “As long as you affect the game in any type of way, that’s what matters. As long as you can put your team in a position to go out there and make a stop, that’s what matters. Sacks, tackles, none of that matters.”
Chris Jones is exactly correct, and his words bring his performance into more specific relief. The tape does an even more convincing job. And if you want to look at players who had a dominant effect on the result of Super Bowl LIV without the negative plays created by their quarterbacks, Chris Jones — just as could have been said of Justin Tuck — should have received more serious consideration.
Touchdown Wire editor Doug Farrar previously covered football for Yahoo! Sports, Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report, the Washington Post, and Football Outsiders. His first book, “The Genius of Desperation,” a schematic history of professional football, was published by Triumph Books in 2018 and won the Professional Football Researchers Association’s Nelson Ross Award for “Outstanding recent achievement in pro football research and historiography.”
Forecasting the odds on who will win Super Bowl LIV MVP, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets.
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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will square off on Sunday night in Super Bowl LIV. It’s a game that’s chock full of prop bets for viewers to wager on. One of the more common prop bets is the winner of Super Bowl MVP, which can be difficult to predict.
Just like the regular-season MVP award, it’s a quarterback-favored honor. However, there have been more than a few instances where a non-quarterback has won it.
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Will this year be one of those cases? First, let’s look at the odds and who’s favored to win it.
Obviously, Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the award. He has carried the Chiefs offense that ranked fifth in passing and 23rd in rushing, throwing for 26 touchdowns and five interceptions with 4,031 yards in only 14 games.
But when it comes to betting on the Super Bowl MVP, you first have to start with who you believe will win the game. Only one player in the history of the game has won Super Bowl MVP on the losing team (Chuck Howley, Super Bowl V).
So if you feel strongly about the Chiefs knocking off the 49ers on Sunday, Mahomes is a good bet. He’s going to get a ton of opportunities to throw the ball, attempting at least 25 passes in every game he started and finished this season; he averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game in 2019.
Mahomes is most likely going to score at least one touchdown, too. There have only been three games in his career where he didn’t throw at least one touchdown pass, and in one of those games, he scored a rushing touchdown.
The problem with betting Mahomes is that he’s only +110 to win it. That doesn’t provide much upside, because you’ll have to bet $10 just to win $11.
The quarterback on the other side, Jimmy Garoppolo, provides much greater value at +250. But he has only thrown 27 passes in the 49ers’ two wins this postseason with one touchdown and 208 yards. There have been eight games this season where he threw for 200 yards or less.
And as much as quarterbacks are favored for Super Bowl MVP, a non-QB has won it in three of the last six years – most recently with Julian Edelman taking home the award last year. If you’re going to bet on Garoppolo to win, I wouldn’t wager much because there’s a chance the 49ers will run the ball 30 times and only attempt 15 or so passes.
Instead, I’d rather go with someone like Raheem Mostert, who’s +750 to win MVP. He became the favorite option in the 49ers’ crowded backfield after Tevin Coleman injured his shoulder in the NFC Championship Game. Coleman would’ve been listed as questionable if the game were played yesterday, and it’s unclear what his status will be for the Super Bowl.
Watch Coleman’s status closely as the week progresses, because if he’s available, Mostert’s odds decrease – which will be reflected in the betting line.
Other good values for Super Bowl MVP include Nick Bosa (+2000) because of his pass-rushing ability against a team that throws the ball often, Coleman (+5000) if he’s healthy and plays, and even Richard Sherman (+8000) because of how often Mahomes is going to throw the ball. If Sherman has an interception or two, or a pick-six in a low-scoring game, he could win it.
A real long shot who might be worth putting a small wager on is Chiefs receiver/return specialist Mecole Hardman (+8000) because of his ability to make an impact as a returner. If he takes a kickoff or punt back for a touchdown and there aren’t many other scores, he could sneak in and win the award.
It’s not worth betting on a Chiefs defender because unless he forces a fumble on a running back, there isn’t a great chance of one making enough impact plays against the 49ers’ run-first offense.
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Eli Manning is retiring as a New York Giant after 16 seasons with the team. A remarkable run.
Eli Manning is retiring as a New York Giant after 16 seasons in Blue. The college star from Ole Miss brought the Giants a pair of Super Bowl rings and many thrills. Between brother Peyton and himself, the Manning Bros. threw for a combined 128,963 yards and 905 touchdowns. Eli Manning was twice Super Bowl MVP to Peyton’s one.
Forcing the trade to the Giants
Eli Manning — and his family — were not going to be pushed around from the start. The San Diego Chargers drafted the quarterback from Ole Miss No. 1 overall in 2004. He wanted no part of the West Coast and made the Bolts send him to the Giants. The deal saw Philip Rivers head to San Diego with the Giants’ third-round pick in 2004, and New York’s first- and fifth-round picks in 2005. Those players turned into Nate Kaeding, Shawne Merriman and Roman Oben.