Jets must right their receiver wrongs of drafts past

The past 17 receivers the Jets drafted haven’t scored more than 19 touchdowns in their Jets’ career. That needs to change.

The Jets haven’t drafted well over the past two decades, but they’ve been particularly been bad at picking wide receivers. With the presumption that Gang Green will grab at least one pass-catcher with their first four picks in the next week’s draft, whomever they choose needs to be significantly better than the wideouts the Jets have drafted in recent years.

Only one of the 18 receivers the Jets drafted since 2000 has tallied more than 20 touchdowns for New York. Laveranues Coles caught 459 receptions for 5,941 yards and 37 touchdowns in two separate three-year stints with the Jets after he went in the third round of the 2000 draft. No other drafted receiver has produced as well as Coles did for the Jets since. Santana Moss and Jerricho Cotchery were close but only caught 19 and 18 touchdowns, respectively.

The Jets picked wideouts poorly on an amazingly consistent basis. Though the Jets only drafted five of their 18 receivers in the first three rounds, three of those picks were duds: Stephen Hill, Devin Smith and ArDarius Stewart. For reference, players like Alshon Jeffery, T.Y. Hilton, Tyler Lockett, Stefon Diggs and Chris Godwin all went after Hill, Smith and Stewart in their respective drafts.

Of the 18 receivers New York has drafted since 2000, ten didn’t catch a touchdown. Four never even played a down for the team.

Bad drafting forced the Jets to overpay wide receivers in free agency in the past – including Eric Decker, Santonio Holmes and, to a lesser extent, Jamison Crowder. Such spending left other positions woefully without depth throughout the years. But with a competent general manager, solid draft capital and a young quarterback, the Jets finally have a chance to change course this year.

New York hasn’t picked a receiver since 2017 when it took Stewart in the third round and Chad Hansen and the fourth round, but that streak should snap in 2020.

The Jets had pre-draft conversations with Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb and Denzel Mims and also said heavily linked to Henry Ruggs III. But, with a heavy need at offensive tackle, it’s more likely the Jets will wait to grab a wideout until the second or third rounds in one of the deepest receiver classes in recent memory. Prospects like Laviska Shenault Jr., Michael Pittman, Van Jefferson, Donovan Peoples-Jones and Tyler Johnson all have the makings of solid offensive contributors and could be targets with the Jets’ 48th, 68th and/or 79th picks.

If the Jets use one of their early picks on a receiver, he’ll need to be a playmaker. The Jets’ receiver depth at the moment leaves much to be desired between Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman, Quincy Enunwa (if he’s healthy), Josh Doctson, Vyncint Smith and Braxton Berrios. Burning another pick on a receiver who can’t catch, stay on the field or run the right routes will be detrimental to the development of Sam Darnold and the rest of the offense.

Joe Douglas has a chance to turn this trend around for the Jets, but he doesn’t have a great track record with receivers in the draft. He drafted three receivers for the Eagles between 2016-19 when he was their vice president of player personnel, and none of them have panned out so far. The Bears drafted Kevin White seventh overall in 2015 when Douglas was Chicago’s director of college scouting. White never caught a touchdown in only 14 games of action in three seasons.

Douglas and the Jets both need to be better at finding young, talented receiver prospects in this draft. If they don’t, the Jets will continue to wallow in mediocrity at one of the most important offensive positions in the game.

Who have been the last 10 players drafted 43rd overall?

When considering the previous players that have been taken at 43rd overall, it’s a bit of a mixed bag in terms of impact.

The Chicago Bears are without a first-round pick for the second straight season, so their first pick will come at No. 43 in the second round.

When considering the previous players that have been taken at 43rd overall, it’s a bit of a mixed bag in terms of impact.

Let’s take a look at the last 10 picks at No. 43.

2019: LB Jahlani Tavai, Lions

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Tavai has only been in the NFL for one season so it’s difficult to judge the pick, but he showed promise in his NFL debut. In his rookie season, Tavai appeared in 15 games, where he logged 58 combined tackles, two sacks, two passes defensed and one interception.

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Can Joe Douglas buck Jets’ second-round curse?

The Jets have drafted two future Pro Bowlers out of 37 second-round picks since 1979. Joe Douglas can’t repeat history in his first draft.

The second round hasn’t been kind to the Jets in the past 40 years.

Only two of the team’s 37 second-round picks in the past 41 years have made a Pro Bowl. Defensive end Mark Gastineau, who was drafted in 1979, did it, as did return specialist Justin Miller, who was drafted in 2005.

Joe Douglas already has the 11th overall pick to work with, but he’ll make or break his first draft as the Jets’ general manager in the later rounds. 

The second-round bar is low for Douglas after a plethora of failures since the Jets drafted Gastineau. A brief glance at the recent second-rounders includes 18 players who started fewer than 20 games for the Jets, nine of which started fewer than five games. Meanwhile, only seven started more than 60 games in their career.

Not a great group.

The Jets’ success stories from the second round are few and far between.

Linebacker David Harris is probably the Jets’ best second-round pick after Gastineau. He played 10 seasons with the Jets and wracked up over 1,000 tackles in New York.

The jury is still out on safety Marcus Maye, who’s started all 38 games he’s played in since the Jets took him 39th overall in 2017. He’s been a complement to Jamal Adams in the deep secondary but is also injury prone.

The busts, meanwhile, are plentiful. 

Quarterbacks Geno Smith and Christian Hackenberg, as well as receivers Devin Smith and Stephen Hill, are the most recent notable mistakes. Hackenberg never even saw the field in the regular season despite his high selection, while Smith and Hill combined for 60 receptions, 842 yards and six touchdowns in 43 games.

The Jets have drafted mostly wide receivers, offensive lineman and defensive backs in the second round. Ironically, all are still positions of need. Douglas will have his pick of a deep receiver and lineman class and many mocks predict the Jets will take one of those two positions with the 48th overall pick. The other position will be the first-round pick. Players like tackle Isaiah Wilson and receivers Laviska Shenault and Michael Pittman Jr. should be among the Jets’ second-round targets.

Douglas himself has had mixed results in identifying and drafting talented players in the second round.

Tight end Dallas Goedert and running back Miles Sanders were great pick-ups for the Eagles during Douglas’ time as vice president of player personnel with the Eagles, but defensive back Sidney Jones and receiver J.J. Arcega-Whiteside haven’t panned out yet. As a scout with the Ravens for 14 years, he helped Ozzie Newsome grab players like Torrey Smith and Ray Rice in the second round. The Bears also drafted defensive tackle Eddie Goldman – who only has 12.5 sacks in five years – when Douglas was the director of college scouting for Chicago in 2015.

The best use of a Jets’ second-round pick in the past five years was actually the trade that landed New York the No. 3 overall pick in 2018 that resulted in Sam Darnold. The Jets moved up from No. 6 to No. 3 by giving the Colts their second-round pick in 2018 and their two second-rounders in 2019. Darnold still has a ways to go before becoming the franchise quarterback the Jets hope he can be, but he’s still better than what the Jets probably would have used with those three second-round picks.

With so many holes on the roster, the second round will be crucial for Douglas and the Jets. They can’t whiff again if they want to see Darnold progress. Douglas’  background in scouting and experience with successful franchises gives him a leg up on the Jets’ past general managers, but it’s impossible to predict how the draft board will fall and how the players will fit on Adam Gase’s team.