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The St. John’s Red Storm (9-2, 1-0 Big East) face the Providence Friars (7-5, 1-0) Friday. Tip-off from Amica Mutual Pavilion is set for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the St. John’s vs. Providence odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
St. John’s extended their winning streak to 4 games with an 89-61 victory over the DePaul Blue Demons on Tuesday. They covered as 11.5-point home favorites as the Under 151 hit. The defense was sharp, forcing 20 turnovers. Senior G Kadary Richmond stuffed the stat sheet with 18 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal.
Providence lost to the St. Bonaventure Bonnies 74-70 on Saturday, failing to cover as 3-point home favorites as the Over 127.5 hit. The Friars struggled in the paint, getting outscored 38-18. Guard Jayden Pierre contributed across the board with 12 points, 4 assists, 3 rebounds, 2 blocks, and a steal.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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St. John’s at Providence odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 6:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): St. John’s -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Providence +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread (ATS): St. John’s -6.5 (-105) | Providence +6.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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St. John’s at Providence picks and predictions
Prediction
St. John’s 77, Providence 63
Moneyline
PASS.
St. John’s (-275) will win this game on Friday night, but is too costly so I’ll take my wager to the spread.
Against the spread
BET ST. JOHN’S -6.5 (-105).
Rick Pitino has the Red Storm clicking on both ends of the court. St. John’s is 8-3 against the spread (ATS) this season and has won 14 of their last 15 games against non-ranked opponents.
While Providence allows just 64.6 points per game (PPG), they gave up 74 points in their last outing and now face a high-powered St. John’s offense averaging 84.8 PPG, ranking 28th in the nation. The Red Storm has scored 88+ points in 3 straight games and is 11th in KenPom’s ratings, thanks to their balanced attack. Defensively, they’re holding opponents to 67.5 PPG.
The Friars face an uphill battle, especially if F Bryce Hopkins (19 PPG) is sidelined. Providence is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 143.5 (-110).
St. John’s can score in bunches, but it also excels in gritty, defensive battles. They’re holding opponents to under 68 points per game and dominate the glass with 14.7 offensive rebounds per contest.
Providence has struggled offensively without Hopkins, averaging just 70.5 PPG (292nd nationally). Their free-throw struggles—67.8% on 19.4 attempts per game—haven’t helped either. The Friars have also hit the Under in 2 of their last 3 games.
This has all the makings of a tough, physical Big East showdown where every point will count.
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